IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v95y2010i4p345-353.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

State-based modeling of continuous human-integrated systems: An application to air traffic separation assurance

Author

Listed:
  • Landry, Steven J.
  • Lagu, Amit
  • Kinnari, Jouko

Abstract

A method for modeling the safety of human-integrated systems that have continuous dynamics is introduced. The method is intended to supplement more detailed reliability-based methods. Assumptions for the model are defined such that the model is demonstrably complete, enabling it to yield a set of key agent characteristics. These key characteristics identify a sufficient set of characteristics that can be used to establish the safety of particular system configurations. The method is applied for the analysis of the safety of strategic and tactical separation assurance algorithms for the next generation air transportation system. It is shown that the key characteristics for this problem include the ability of agents (human or automated) to identify configurations that can enable intense transitions from a safe to unsafe state. However, the most technologically advanced algorithm for separation assurance does not currently attempt to identify such configurations. It is also discussed how, although the model is in a form that lends itself to quantitative evaluations, such evaluations are complicated by the difficulty of accurately quantifying human error probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Landry, Steven J. & Lagu, Amit & Kinnari, Jouko, 2010. "State-based modeling of continuous human-integrated systems: An application to air traffic separation assurance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 345-353.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:95:y:2010:i:4:p:345-353
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832009002567
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arnold Barnett & Mary K. Higgins, 1989. "Airline Safety: The Last Decade," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 1-21, January.
    2. Kirwan, Barry & Gibson, W. Huw & Hickling, Brian, 2008. "Human error data collection as a precursor to the development of a human reliability assessment capability in air traffic management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 217-233.
    3. Majdara, Aref & Wakabayashi, Toshio, 2009. "Component-based modeling of systems for automated fault tree generation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(6), pages 1076-1086.
    4. Zio, E., 2009. "Reliability engineering: Old problems and new challenges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 125-141.
    5. Colombo, S. & Demichela, M., 2008. "The systematic integration of human factors into safety analyses: An integrated engineering approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(12), pages 1911-1921.
    6. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission—Part 2: EOC quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1105-1122.
    7. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission, Part 1: EOC identification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1091-1104.
    8. A B Rauzy, 2008. "Guarded transition systems: A new states/events formalism for reliability studies," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 222(4), pages 495-505, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zarei, Esmaeil & Khan, Faisal & Abbassi, Rouzbeh, 2021. "Importance of human reliability in process operation: A critical analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    2. Vaurio, Jussi K., 2009. "Human factors, human reliability and risk assessment in license renewal of a nuclear power plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(11), pages 1818-1826.
    3. Baraldi, Piero & Podofillini, Luca & Mkrtchyan, Lusine & Zio, Enrico & Dang, Vinh N., 2015. "Comparing the treatment of uncertainty in Bayesian networks and fuzzy expert systems used for a human reliability analysis application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 176-193.
    4. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2016. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 44-56.
    5. Penttinen, Jussi-Pekka & Niemi, Arto & Gutleber, Johannes & Koskinen, Kari T. & Coatanéa, Eric & Laitinen, Jouko, 2019. "An open modelling approach for availability and reliability of systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 387-399.
    6. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2013. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 150-159.
    7. Podofillini, Luca & Reer, Bernhard & Dang, Vinh N., 2021. "Analysis of recent operational events involving inappropriate actions: influencing factors and root causes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Jaewhan, 2022. "Empirical study on human error probability of procedure-extraneous behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    9. Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N. & Nusbaumer, O. & Dres, D., 2013. "A pilot study for errors of commission for a boiling water reactor using the CESA method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 86-98.
    10. Vanderhaegen, Frédéric & Zieba, Stéphane & Enjalbert, Simon & Polet, Philippe, 2011. "A Benefit/Cost/Deficit (BCD) model for learning from human errors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 757-766.
    11. Zheng, Xi & Bolton, Matthew L. & Daly, Christopher & Biltekoff, Elliot, 2020. "The development of a next-generation human reliability analysis: Systems analysis for formal pharmaceutical human reliability (SAFPHâ–ª)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    12. Asadzadeh, S.M. & Azadeh, A., 2014. "An integrated systemic model for optimization of condition-based maintenance with human error," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 117-131.
    13. Rajkumar Bhimgonda Patil & Basavraj S Kothavale & Laxman Yadu Waghmode, 2019. "Selection of time-to-failure model for computerized numerical control turning center based on the assessment of trends in maintenance data," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(2), pages 105-117, April.
    14. Kwabena Asomanin Anaman & Ruth Quaye & Bernice Owusu-Brown, 2017. "Benefits of Aviation Weather Services: A Review of International Literature," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(1), pages 45-58, June.
    15. Rodrigo Andrade & Somayeh Moazeni & Jose Emmanuel Ramirez‐Marquez, 2020. "A systems perspective on contact centers and customer service reliability modeling," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(2), pages 221-236, March.
    16. Phan, Hieu Chi & Dhar, Ashutosh Sutra & Bui, Nang Duc, 2023. "Reliability assessment of pipelines crossing strike-slip faults considering modeling uncertainties using ANN models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    17. Rocchetta, Roberto & Crespo, Luis G., 2021. "A scenario optimization approach to reliability-based and risk-based design: Soft-constrained modulation of failure probability bounds," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    18. Niu, Gang & Yang, Bo-Suk & Pecht, Michael, 2010. "Development of an optimized condition-based maintenance system by data fusion and reliability-centered maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 786-796.
    19. Teng, Kuei-Yung & Thekdi, Shital A. & Lambert, James H., 2012. "Identification and evaluation of priorities in the business process of a risk or safety organization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 74-86.
    20. Ibsen Chivatá Cárdenas & Saad S.H. Al‐Jibouri & Johannes I.M. Halman & Frits A. van Tol, 2014. "Modeling Risk‐Related Knowledge in Tunneling Projects," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 323-339, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:95:y:2010:i:4:p:345-353. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.