IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v148y2016icp44-56.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II

Author

Listed:
  • Preischl, Wolfgang
  • Hellmich, Mario

Abstract

This paper is a continuation of an earlier publication (Preischl et al., Reliab Eng Syst Saf 2013;109:150–9) and presents the second part of a project aimed to collect human reliability data from the operational experience of German nuclear power plants. We employ a method which utilizes the German licensee event reporting system to gather the data. In this way, in addition to the data already presented in the previous paper, another 30 estimates for human error probabilities (HEP) are obtained. Moreover, a new method to access parts of the operational experience below the notification threshold of the German event reporting system is described. This method is demonstrated in cooperation with a reference nuclear power plant, resulting in 18 additional HEP estimates. As a result of both projects altogether 74 usable HEP estimates for a wide variety of tasks were derived. Notably, a number of them concern memory related or cognitive errors. A comparison with the THERP database shows that for 48 of these HEP estimates THERP provides no data, whereas in the 26 cases where THERP proposes a HEP it agrees with our data in all but eight cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2016. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 44-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:148:y:2016:i:c:p:44-56
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.11.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832015003385
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2015.11.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2013. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 150-159.
    2. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission—Part 2: EOC quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1105-1122.
    3. James Chang, Y. & Bley, Dennis & Criscione, Lawrence & Kirwan, Barry & Mosleh, Ali & Madary, Todd & Nowell, Rodney & Richards, Robert & Roth, Emilie M. & Sieben, Scott & Zoulis, Antonios, 2014. "The SACADA database for human reliability and human performance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 117-133.
    4. Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N. & Nusbaumer, O. & Dres, D., 2013. "A pilot study for errors of commission for a boiling water reactor using the CESA method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 86-98.
    5. Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2007. "OPERA—a human performance database under simulated emergencies of nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(4), pages 503-519.
    6. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission, Part 1: EOC identification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1091-1104.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2017. "A classification scheme of erroneous behaviors for human error probability estimations based on simulator data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-13.
    2. Park, Jinkyun, 2024. "A framework to determine the holistic multiplier of performance shaping factors in human reliability analysis – An explanatory study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Ayoub, Ali & Stankovski, Andrej & Kröger, Wolfgang & Sornette, Didier, 2021. "The ETH Zurich curated nuclear events database: Layout, event classification, and analysis of contributing factors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    4. Mkrtchyan, L. & Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N., 2016. "Methods for building Conditional Probability Tables of Bayesian Belief Networks from limited judgment: An evaluation for Human Reliability Application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 93-112.
    5. Deng, Wanyi & Ma, Xiaoxue & Qiao, Weiliang, 2024. "A novel methodology to quantify the impact of safety barriers on maritime operational risk based on a probabilistic network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    6. Park, Jooyoung & Boring, Ronald L. & Ulrich, Thomas A. & Lew, Roger & Lee, Sungheon & Park, Bumjun & Kim, Jonghyun, 2022. "A framework to collect human reliability analysis data for nuclear power plants using a simplified simulator and student operators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    7. Patriarca, Riccardo & Ramos, Marilia & Paltrinieri, Nicola & Massaiu, Salvatore & Costantino, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio & Boring, Ronald Laurids, 2020. "Human reliability analysis: Exploring the intellectual structure of a research field," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    8. Jung, Wondea & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2020. "HuREX – A framework of HRA data collection from simulators in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    9. Ren, Xin & Nane, Gabriela F. & Terwel, Karel C. & van Gelder, Pieter H.A.J.M., 2024. "Measuring the impacts of human and organizational factors on human errors in the Dutch construction industry using structured expert judgement," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zarei, Esmaeil & Khan, Faisal & Abbassi, Rouzbeh, 2021. "Importance of human reliability in process operation: A critical analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    2. Podofillini, Luca & Reer, Bernhard & Dang, Vinh N., 2021. "Analysis of recent operational events involving inappropriate actions: influencing factors and root causes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Jung, Wondea & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2020. "HuREX – A framework of HRA data collection from simulators in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    4. Liao, Huafei & Groth, Katrina & Stevens-Adams, Susan, 2015. "Challenges in leveraging existing human performance data for quantifying the IDHEAS HRA method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 159-169.
    5. Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Jaewhan, 2022. "Empirical study on human error probability of procedure-extraneous behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    6. Park, Jooyoung & Boring, Ronald L. & Ulrich, Thomas A. & Lew, Roger & Lee, Sungheon & Park, Bumjun & Kim, Jonghyun, 2022. "A framework to collect human reliability analysis data for nuclear power plants using a simplified simulator and student operators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    7. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea & Jang, Inseok & Hyun Seong, Poong, 2015. "A statistical approach to estimating effects of performance shaping factors on human error probabilities of soft controls," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 378-387.
    8. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2018. "Estimating the quantitative relation between PSFs and HEPs from full-scope simulator data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 12-22.
    9. Ekanem, Nsimah & Mosleh, Ali & Shen, Song-Hua & Ramos, Marilia, 2024. "Phoenix–A model-based human reliability analysis methodology: Data sources and quantitative analysis procedure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    10. Morais, Caroline & Estrada-Lugo, Hector Diego & Tolo, Silvia & Jacques, Tiago & Moura, Raphael & Beer, Michael & Patelli, Edoardo, 2022. "Robust data-driven human reliability analysis using credal networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    11. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2017. "A quantitative measure of fitness for duty and work processes for human reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 595-601.
    12. Vaurio, Jussi K., 2009. "Human factors, human reliability and risk assessment in license renewal of a nuclear power plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(11), pages 1818-1826.
    13. Garg, Vipul & Vinod, Gopika & Kant, Vivek, 2023. "Auto-CREAM: Software application for evaluation of HEP with basic and extended CREAM for PSA studies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    14. Groth, Katrina M. & Smith, Reuel & Moradi, Ramin, 2019. "A hybrid algorithm for developing third generation HRA methods using simulator data, causal models, and cognitive science," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    15. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2017. "A classification scheme of erroneous behaviors for human error probability estimations based on simulator data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-13.
    16. Park, J. & Chang, Y.J. & Kim, Y. & Choi, S. & Kim, S. & Jung, W., 2017. "The use of the SACADA taxonomy to analyze simulation records: Insights and suggestions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 174-183.
    17. Shirley, Rachel Benish & Smidts, Carol & Zhao, Yunfei, 2020. "Development of a quantitative Bayesian network mapping objective factors to subjective performance shaping factor evaluations: An example using student operators in a digital nuclear power plant simul," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    18. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2013. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 150-159.
    19. Landry, Steven J. & Lagu, Amit & Kinnari, Jouko, 2010. "State-based modeling of continuous human-integrated systems: An application to air traffic separation assurance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 345-353.
    20. Park, Jinkyun, 2024. "A framework to determine the holistic multiplier of performance shaping factors in human reliability analysis – An explanatory study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:148:y:2016:i:c:p:44-56. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.