IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v248y2024ics0951832024002138.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An integrated uncertainty analysis method for the risk assessment of hydrogen refueling stations

Author

Listed:
  • Xie, Qimiao
  • Zhou, Tianyi
  • Wang, Changjian
  • Zhu, Xu
  • Ma, Chao
  • Zhang, Aifeng

Abstract

In order to assess more rigorously the risks of hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) with consideration of uncertainties, an uncertainty analysis method integrating the Hydrogen Plus Other Alternative Fuels Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM+), Monte Carlo simulation, and Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) method is proposed in this paper. In order to discuss and demonstrate the potential ability of the proposed method, the leak risk of a 35 MPa dispenser at a HRS is assessed. The results indicate that the proposed method can effectively quantify the leak risk uncertainty of the dispenser at a HRS. These uncertainties considered have significant effects on the leak risks of the dispenser, and the risk contribution of jet fire is much larger than that from explosion. Moreover, the leak risk of the dispenser is underestimated by the HyRAM+, so it should be used by combining a reliable safety factor. Current work can provide a more accurate method for the risk assessment and performance-based design of HRSs.

Suggested Citation

  • Xie, Qimiao & Zhou, Tianyi & Wang, Changjian & Zhu, Xu & Ma, Chao & Zhang, Aifeng, 2024. "An integrated uncertainty analysis method for the risk assessment of hydrogen refueling stations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:248:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024002138
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110139
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024002138
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2024.110139?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gholamizadeh, Kamran & Zarei, Esmaeil & Yazdi, Mohammad & Ramezanifar, Ehsan & Aliabadi, Mostafa Mirzaei, 2024. "A hybrid model for dynamic analysis of domino effects in chemical process industries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    2. Queral, Cesar & Fernández-Cosials, Kevin & Zugazagoitia, Eneko & Paris, Carlos & Magan, Javier & Mendizabal, Rafael & Posada, Jose, 2021. "Application of Expanded Event Trees combined with uncertainty analysis methodologies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    3. Liu, Yushan & Li, Luyi & Zhao, Sihan & Song, Shufang, 2021. "A global surrogate model technique based on principal component analysis and Kriging for uncertainty propagation of dynamic systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    4. Ye, Dongwei & Nikishova, Anna & Veen, Lourens & Zun, Pavel & Hoekstra, Alfons G., 2021. "Non-intrusive and semi-intrusive uncertainty quantification of a multiscale in-stent restenosis model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    5. Tao, Longlong & Chen, Liwei & Ge, Daochuan & Yao, Yuantao & Ruan, Fang & Wu, Jie & Yu, Jie, 2022. "An integrated probabilistic risk assessment methodology for maritime transportation of spent nuclear fuel based on event tree and hydrodynamic model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    6. Jung, Sejin & Yoo, Junbeom & Lee, Young-Jun, 2020. "A Software Fault Tree Analysis Technique for Formal Requirement Specifications of Nuclear Reactor Protection Systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    7. Karanki, D.R. & Rahman, S. & Dang, V.N. & Zerkak, O., 2017. "Epistemic and aleatory uncertainties in integrated deterministic and probabilistic safety assessment: Tradeoff between accuracy and accident simulations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 91-102.
    8. Alsulieman, Abdullah & Ge, Xihe & Zeng, Zhiguo & Butenko, Sergiy & Khan, Faisal & El-Halwagi, Mahmoud, 2024. "Dynamic risk analysis of evolving scenarios in oil and gas separator," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    9. Yuan, Shuaiqi & Cai, Jitao & Reniers, Genserik & Yang, Ming & Chen, Chao & Wu, Jiansong, 2022. "Safety barrier performance assessment by integrating computational fluid dynamics and evacuation modeling for toxic gas leakage scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guo, Zehua & Dailey, Ryan & Feng, Tangtao & Zhou, Yukun & Sun, Zhongning & Corradini, Michael L & Wang, Jun, 2021. "Uncertainty analysis of ATF Cr-coated-Zircaloy on BWR in-vessel accident progression during a station blackout," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    2. Wang, Jian & Gao, Shibin & Yu, Long & Liu, Xingyang & Neri, Ferrante & Zhang, Dongkai & Kou, Lei, 2024. "Uncertainty-aware trustworthy weather-driven failure risk predictor for overhead contact lines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Bellaera, R. & Bonifetto, R. & Di Maio, F. & Pedroni, N. & Savoldi, L. & Zanino, R. & Zio, E., 2020. "Integrated deterministic and probabilistic safety assessment of a superconducting magnet cryogenic cooling circuit for nuclear fusion applications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    4. Zhang, Yang & Xu, Jun & Gardoni, Paolo, 2024. "A loading contribution degree analysis-based strategy for time-variant reliability analysis of structures under multiple loading stochastic processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    5. Braga, Joaquim A.P. & Andrade, António R., 2021. "Multivariate statistical aggregation and dimensionality reduction techniques to improve monitoring and maintenance in railways: The wheelset component," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    6. Lilli, Giordano & Sanavia, Matteo & Oboe, Roberto & Vianello, Chiara & Manzolaro, Mattia & De Ruvo, Pasquale Luca & Andrighetto, Alberto, 2024. "A semi-quantitative risk assessment of remote handling operations on the SPES Front-End based on HAZOP-LOPA," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    7. Rahman, S. & Karanki, D.R. & Epiney, A. & Wicaksono, D. & Zerkak, O. & Dang, V.N., 2018. "Deterministic sampling for propagating epistemic and aleatory uncertainty in dynamic event tree analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 62-78.
    8. Vincenzo Destino & Nicola Pedroni & Roberto Bonifetto & Francesco Di Maio & Laura Savoldi & Enrico Zio, 2021. "Metamodeling and On-Line Clustering for Loss-of-Flow Accident Precursors Identification in a Superconducting Magnet Cryogenic Cooling Circuit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-37, September.
    9. Sezer, Sukru Ilke & Camliyurt, Gokhan & Aydin, Muhmmet & Akyuz, Emre & Gardoni, Paolo, 2023. "A bow-tie extended D-S evidence-HEART modelling for risk analysis of cargo tank cracks on oil/chemical tanker," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    10. Liu, Jintao & Chen, Keyi & Duan, Huayu & Li, Chenling, 2024. "A knowledge graph-based hazard prediction approach for preventing railway operational accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    11. Kai Pan & Hui Liu & Xiaoqing Gou & Rui Huang & Dong Ye & Haining Wang & Adam Glowacz & Jie Kong, 2022. "Towards a Systematic Description of Fault Tree Analysis Studies Using Informetric Mapping," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-28, September.
    12. Bi, Yubo & Wu, Qiulan & Wang, Shilu & Shi, Jihao & Cong, Haiyong & Ye, Lili & Gao, Wei & Bi, Mingshu, 2023. "Hydrogen leakage location prediction at hydrogen refueling stations based on deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    13. Raoni, Rafael & Secchi, Argimiro R., 2019. "Procedures to model and solve probabilistic dynamic system problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    14. Jung, Yongsu & Lee, Ikjin, 2021. "Optimal design of experiments for optimization-based model calibration using Fisher information matrix," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    15. Elidolu, Gizem & Sezer, Sukru Ilke & Akyuz, Emre & Arslan, Ozcan & Arslanoglu, Yasin, 2023. "Operational risk assessment of ballasting and de-ballasting on-board tanker ship under FMECA extended Evidential Reasoning (ER) and Rule-based Bayesian Network (RBN) approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    16. Yoo, Yeongmin & Jung, Ui-Jin & Han, Yong Ha & Lee, Jongsoo, 2021. "Data Augmentation-Based Prediction of System Level Performance under Model and Parameter Uncertainties: Role of Designable Generative Adversarial Networks (DGAN)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    17. Yao, Wen & Zheng, Xiaohu & Zhang, Jun & Wang, Ning & Tang, Guijian, 2023. "Deep adaptive arbitrary polynomial chaos expansion: A mini-data-driven semi-supervised method for uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Wang, Zhiheng & Hawi, Philippe & Masri, Sami & Aitharaju, Venkat & Ghanem, Roger, 2023. "Stochastic multiscale modeling for quantifying statistical and model errors with application to composite materials," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    19. He, Zhichao & Shen, Kaixin & Lan, Meng & Weng, Wenguo, 2024. "An evacuation path planning method for multi-hazard accidents in chemical industries based on risk perception," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    20. Chemweno, Peter & Pintelon, Liliane & Muchiri, Peter Nganga & Van Horenbeek, Adriaan, 2018. "Risk assessment methodologies in maintenance decision making: A review of dependability modelling approaches," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 64-77.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:248:y:2024:i:c:s0951832024002138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.