IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v205y2021ics0951832020307328.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems using functional resonance analysis method and Dynamic Bayesian network

Author

Listed:
  • Zinetullina, Altyngul
  • Yang, Ming
  • Khakzad, Nima
  • Golman, Boris
  • Li, Xinhong

Abstract

The emergent hazards of chemical process systems cannot be wholly identified and are highly uncertain due to the complicated technical-human-organizational interactions. Under uncertain and unpredictable circumstances, resilience becomes an essential property of a chemical process system that helps it better adapt to disruptions and restore from surprising damages. The resilience assessment needs to be enhanced to identify the accident's root causes on the level of technical-human-organizational interactions, and development of the specific resilience attributes to withstand or recover from the disruptions. The outcomes of resilience assessment are valuable to identify potential design or operational improvements to ensure complex process system functionality and safety. The current study integrates the Functional Resonance Analysis Method and dynamic Bayesian Network for quantitative resilience assessment. The method is demonstrated through a two-phase separator of an acid gas sweetening unit. Aspen Hysys simulator is applied to estimate the failure probabilities needed in the resilience assessment model. The study provides a useful tool for rigorous quantitative resilience analysis of complex process systems on the level of technical-human-organizational interactions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zinetullina, Altyngul & Yang, Ming & Khakzad, Nima & Golman, Boris & Li, Xinhong, 2021. "Quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems using functional resonance analysis method and Dynamic Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:205:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020307328
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107232
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832020307328
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107232?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patriarca, Riccardo & Bergström, Johan & Di Gravio, Giulio, 2017. "Defining the functional resonance analysis space: Combining Abstraction Hierarchy and FRAM," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 34-46.
    2. Kammouh, Omar & Gardoni, Paolo & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo, 2020. "Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    3. Hiba Baroud & Jose E. Ramirez‐Marquez & Kash Barker & Claudio M. Rocco, 2014. "Stochastic Measures of Network Resilience: Applications to Waterway Commodity Flows," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(7), pages 1317-1335, July.
    4. Cai, Baoping & Xie, Min & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Yiliu & Feng, Qiang, 2018. "Availability-based engineering resilience metric and its corresponding evaluation methodology," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 216-224.
    5. Khakzad, Nima, 2015. "Application of dynamic Bayesian network to risk analysis of domino effects in chemical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 263-272.
    6. Adam Rose & Shu‐Yi Liao, 2005. "Modeling Regional Economic Resilience to Disasters: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Water Service Disruptions," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 75-112, February.
    7. Perrings, Charles, 2006. "Resilience and sustainable development," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 417-427, August.
    8. Faturechi, Reza & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2014. "Travel time resilience of roadway networks under disaster," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 47-64.
    9. Shirali, Gh.A. & Mohammadfam, I. & Ebrahimipour, V., 2013. "A new method for quantitative assessment of resilience engineering by PCA and NT approach: A case study in a process industry," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 88-94.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Hao & Yang, Ming & Wang, Haiqing, 2024. "An integrated approach to quantitative resilience assessment in process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    2. Li, Xin & Chen, Chao & Hong, Yi-du & Yang, Fu-qiang, 2023. "Exploring hazardous chemical explosion accidents with association rules and Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    3. Guiyuan Li & Guo Cheng & Zhenying Wu & Xiaoxiao Liu, 2022. "Coupling Coordination Research on Disaster-Adapted Resilience of Modern Infrastructure System in the Middle and Lower Section of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-24, November.
    4. Chen, Chao & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2021. "A dynamic stochastic methodology for quantifying HAZMAT storage resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Yin, Jiateng & Ren, Xianliang & Liu, Ronghui & Tang, Tao & Su, Shuai, 2022. "Quantitative analysis for resilience-based urban rail systems: A hybrid knowledge-based and data-driven approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    6. Tan, Xinxin & Xiao, Shenbin & Yang, Yu & Khakzad, Nima & Reniers, Genserik & Chen, Chao, 2024. "An agent-based resilience model of oil tank farms exposed to earthquakes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    7. Guo, Yunlong & Jin, Yongxing & Hu, Shenping & Yang, Zaili & Xi, Yongtao & Han, Bing, 2023. "Risk evolution analysis of ship pilotage operation by an integrated model of FRAM and DBN," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    8. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    9. Caetano, Henrique O. & N., Luiz Desuó & Fogliatto, Matheus S.S. & Maciel, Carlos D., 2024. "Resilience assessment of critical infrastructures using dynamic Bayesian networks and evidence propagation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    10. Sun, Hao & Yang, Ming & Wang, Haiqing, 2022. "A virtual experiment for measuring system resilience: A case of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    11. Wei, Yian & Cheng, Yao & Liao, Haitao, 2024. "Optimal resilience-based restoration of a system subject to recurrent dependent hazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    12. Huang, Wencheng & Yin, Dezhi & Xu, Yifei & Zhang, Rui & Xu, Minhao, 2022. "Using N-K Model to quantitatively calculate the variability in Functional Resonance Analysis Method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    13. Sun, Hao & Wang, Haiqing & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "A STAMP-based approach to quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    14. Geng, Sunyue & Liu, Sifeng & Fang, Zhigeng, 2022. "A demand-based framework for resilience assessment of multistate networks under disruptions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    15. Zhang, Yanping & Cai, Baoping & Liu, Yiliu & Jiang, Qiangqiang & Li, Wenchao & Feng, Qiang & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Guijie, 2021. "Resilience assessment approach of mechanical structure combining finite element models and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    16. Zhou, Zhengshu & Matsubara, Yutaka & Takada, Hiroaki, 2023. "Resilience analysis and design for mobility-as-a-service based on enterprise architecture modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    17. Li, Jue & Wang, Hongwei, 2023. "Modeling and analyzing multiteam coordination task safety risks in socio-technical systems based on FRAM and multiplex network: Application in the construction industry," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Arman Nedjati & Mohammad Yazdi & Rouzbeh Abbassi, 2022. "A sustainable perspective of optimal site selection of giant air-purifiers in large metropolitan areas," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 8747-8778, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    3. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
    4. De Iuliis, Melissa & Kammouh, Omar & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo & Tesfamariam, Solomon, 2021. "Quantifying restoration time of power and telecommunication lifelines after earthquakes using Bayesian belief network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    5. Adumene, Sidum & Khan, Faisal & Adedigba, Sunday & Zendehboudi, Sohrab & Shiri, Hodjat, 2021. "Dynamic risk analysis of marine and offshore systems suffering microbial induced stochastic degradation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    6. Cai, Baoping & Zhang, Yanping & Wang, Haifeng & Liu, Yonghong & Ji, Renjie & Gao, Chuntan & Kong, Xiangdi & Liu, Jing, 2021. "Resilience evaluation methodology of engineering systems with dynamic-Bayesian-network-based degradation and maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Gonçalves, L.A.P.J. & Ribeiro, P.J.G., 2020. "Resilience of urban transportation systems. Concept, characteristics, and methods," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    8. MacKenzie, Cameron A. & Hu, Chao, 2019. "Decision making under uncertainty for design of resilient engineered systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    9. Corinne Curt & Jean‐Marc Tacnet, 2018. "Resilience of Critical Infrastructures: Review and Analysis of Current Approaches," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2441-2458, November.
    10. Yu, Yaocheng & Shuai, Bin & Huang, Wencheng, 2024. "Resilience evaluation of train control on-board system considering common cause failure: Based on a beta-factor and continuous-time bayesian network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    11. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    12. Dui, Hongyan & Liu, Meng & Song, Jiaying & Wu, Shaomin, 2023. "Importance measure-based resilience management: Review, methodology and perspectives on maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    13. Cheng, Yao & Elsayed, E.A. & Chen, Xi, 2021. "Random Multi Hazard Resilience Modeling of Engineered Systems and Critical Infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    14. Li, Zhaolong & Jin, Chun & Hu, Pan & Wang, Cong, 2019. "Resilience-based transportation network recovery strategy during emergency recovery phase under uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 503-514.
    15. Jiang, Qiangqiang & Cai, Baoping & Zhang, Yanping & Xie, Min & Liu, Cuiwei, 2023. "Resilience assessment methodology of natural gas network system under random leakage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    16. Zahra Mohammadnazari & Amir Aghsami & Masoud Rabbani, 2023. "A hybrid novel approach for evaluation of resiliency and sustainability in construction environment using data envelopment analysis, principal component analysis, and mathematical formulation," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 4453-4490, May.
    17. Wang, Nanxi & Wu, Min & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2023. "Assessment of port resilience using Bayesian network: A study of strategies to enhance readiness and response capacities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    18. Geng, Sunyue & Yang, Ming & Mitici, Mihaela & Liu, Sifeng, 2023. "A resilience assessment framework for complex engineered systems using graphical evaluation and review technique (GERT)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    19. Pierre Régibeau & Katharine Rockett, 2013. "Economic analysis of resilience: A framework for local policy response based on new case studies," Journal of Innovation Economics, De Boeck Université, vol. 0(1), pages 107-147.
    20. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:205:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020307328. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.