IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v158y2017icp106-116.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of performance interdependencies on structural vulnerability: A systems perspective of storm surge risk to coastal residential communities

Author

Listed:
  • Hatzikyriakou, Adam
  • Lin, Ning

Abstract

Interaction between residential structures during natural hazards can lead to interdependencies in their performance. During storm surge, for example, structures can affect the performance of inland buildings by generating damaging waterborne debris or by beneficially dampening surge loads. Quantifying the impact of this interaction on structural vulnerability is critical for risk assessment and informed decision-making. In this study we present and implement two general modeling approaches for investigating such interdependencies. The first method is to condition the vulnerability of a structure on the performance of neighboring buildings using a Markov model. The second uses a marginal model to account for correlation between damage observations when estimating a structure's vulnerability to the hazard. Both approaches are implemented using a case study of an impacted coastal community during Hurricane Sandy (2012). Findings indicate that a structure's performance during storm surge is strongly dependent on the damage state of the structure immediately seaward. Furthermore, considering the correlated damage states of buildings increases statistical uncertainty when relating structural performance to hazard intensity. Motivated by these findings, we propose a more coordinated approach to coastal risk mitigation which considers the effects of interdependencies on insurance pricing, structural design, mitigation strategies and community resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Hatzikyriakou, Adam & Lin, Ning, 2017. "Impact of performance interdependencies on structural vulnerability: A systems perspective of storm surge risk to coastal residential communities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 106-116.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:158:y:2017:i:c:p:106-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.10.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832016306627
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2016.10.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Siyuan Xian & Ning Lin & Adam Hatzikyriakou, 2015. "Storm surge damage to residential areas: a quantitative analysis for Hurricane Sandy in comparison with FEMA flood map," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(3), pages 1867-1888, December.
    2. Kathryn Bartimote-Aufflick & Peter C. Thomson, 2011. "The analysis of ordinal time-series data via a transition (Markov) model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(9), pages 1883-1897, September.
    3. S. le Cessie & J. C. van Houwelingen, 1994. "Logistic Regression for Correlated Binary Data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 43(1), pages 95-108, March.
    4. Ouyang, Min, 2014. "Review on modeling and simulation of interdependent critical infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 43-60.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Masato Yamazaki & Atsushi Koike & Yoshinori Sone, 2018. "A Heuristic Approach to the Estimation of Key Parameters for a Monthly, Recursive, Dynamic CGE Model," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 283-301, October.
    2. Box-Couillard, Sebastien & Xu, Yilan, 2022. "The Effect of Flood Insurance on Property Values after a Flood," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322191, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. M.-L. Feddag, 2016. "Pairwise likelihood estimation for the normal ogive model with binary data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 100(2), pages 223-237, April.
    4. Renard, Didier & Molenberghs, Geert & Geys, Helena, 2004. "A pairwise likelihood approach to estimation in multilevel probit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 649-667, January.
    5. Johnson, Caroline A. & Flage, Roger & Guikema, Seth D., 2021. "Feasibility study of PRA for critical infrastructure risk analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    6. Zou, Qiling & Chen, Suren, 2019. "Enhancing resilience of interdependent traffic-electric power system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    7. Hindolo George-Williams & Geng Feng & Frank PA Coolen & Michael Beer & Edoardo Patelli, 2019. "Extending the survival signature paradigm to complex systems with non-repairable dependent failures," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(4), pages 505-519, August.
    8. Mohamad Darayi & Kash Barker & Joost R. Santos, 2017. "Component Importance Measures for Multi-Industry Vulnerability of a Freight Transportation Network," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 1111-1136, December.
    9. Dylan Sanderson & Sabarethinam Kameshwar & Nathanael Rosenheim & Daniel Cox, 2021. "Deaggregation of multi-hazard damages, losses, risks, and connectivity: an application to the joint seismic-tsunami hazard at Seaside, Oregon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1821-1847, November.
    10. Hong, Liu & Ye, Bowen & Yan, Han & Zhang, Hui & Ouyang, Min & (Sean) He, Xiaozheng, 2019. "Spatiotemporal vulnerability analysis of railway systems with heterogeneous train flows," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 725-744.
    11. Monsalve, Mauricio & de la Llera, Juan Carlos, 2019. "Data-driven estimation of interdependencies and restoration of infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 167-180.
    12. Heracleous, Constantinos & Kolios, Panayiotis & Panayiotou, Christos G. & Ellinas, Georgios & Polycarpou, Marios M., 2017. "Hybrid systems modeling for critical infrastructures interdependency analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 89-101.
    13. Liu, Huan & Tatano, Hirokazu & Pflug, Georg & Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan, 2021. "Post-disaster recovery in industrial sectors: A Markov process analysis of multiple lifeline disruptions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    14. George-Williams, Hindolo & Patelli, Edoardo, 2017. "Efficient availability assessment of reconfigurable multi-state systems with interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 431-444.
    15. Thompson, James R. & Frezza, Damon & Necioglu, Burhan & Cohen, Michael L. & Hoffman, Kenneth & Rosfjord, Kristine, 2019. "Interdependent Critical Infrastructure Model (ICIM): An agent-based model of power and water infrastructure," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 144-165.
    16. Dubaniowski, Mateusz Iwo & Heinimann, Hans Rudolf, 2021. "Framework for modeling interdependencies between households, businesses, and infrastructure system, and their response to disruptions—application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    17. Lo, Huai-Wei & Liou, James J.H. & Huang, Chun-Nen & Chuang, Yen-Ching & Tzeng, Gwo-Hshiung, 2020. "A new soft computing approach for analyzing the influential relationships of critical infrastructures," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    18. Lu, Qing-Chang & Xu, Peng-Cheng & Zhao, Xiangmo & Zhang, Lei & Li, Xiaoling & Cui, Xin, 2022. "Measuring network interdependency between dependent networks: A supply-demand-based approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    19. Liu, Xiaoxue & Zhang, Jiexin & Zhu, Peidong, 2017. "Modeling cyber-physical attacks based on probabilistic colored Petri nets and mixed-strategy game theory," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 13-25.
    20. Zhao, Yixin & Cai, Baoping & Kang, Henry Hooi-Siang & Liu, Yiliu, 2023. "Cascading failure analysis of multistate loading dependent systems with application in an overloading piping network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:158:y:2017:i:c:p:106-116. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.