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Reliability measures for indexed semi-Markov chains applied to wind energy production

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  • D׳Amico, Guglielmo
  • Petroni, Filippo
  • Prattico, Flavio

Abstract

The computation of the dependability measures is a crucial point in many engineering problems as well as in the planning and development of a wind farm. In this paper we address the issue of energy production by wind turbines by using an indexed semi-Markov chain as a model of wind speed. We present the mathematical model, the data and technical characteristics of a commercial wind turbine (Aircon HAWT-10kW). We show how to compute some of the main dependability measures such as reliability, availability and maintainability functions. We compare the results of the model with real energy production obtained from data available in the Lastem station (Italy) and sampled every 10min.

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  • D׳Amico, Guglielmo & Petroni, Filippo & Prattico, Flavio, 2015. "Reliability measures for indexed semi-Markov chains applied to wind energy production," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 170-177.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:144:y:2015:i:c:p:170-177
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.07.015
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    4. Guglielmo D’Amico & Fulvio Gismondi & Filippo Petroni, 2020. "Insurance Contracts for Hedging Wind Power Uncertainty," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Son, Kwang Seop & Kim, Dong Hoon & Kim, Chang Hwoi & Kang, Hyun Gook, 2016. "Study on the systematic approach of Markov modeling for dependability analysis of complex fault-tolerant features with voting logics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 44-57.
    6. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Devrim, Yilser, 2019. "Theoretical derivation of wind plant power distribution with the consideration of wind turbine reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 192-197.
    7. Tazi, Nacef & Châtelet, Eric & Bouzidi, Youcef, 2018. "How combined performance and propagation of failure dependencies affect the reliability of a MSS," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 531-541.
    8. D’Amico, Guglielmo & Petroni, Filippo & Prattico, Flavio, 2017. "Insuring wind energy production," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 542-553.
    9. Jagtap, Hanumant P. & Bewoor, Anand K. & Kumar, Ravinder & Ahmadi, Mohammad Hossein & Chen, Lingen, 2020. "Performance analysis and availability optimization to improve maintenance schedule for the turbo-generator subsystem of a thermal power plant using particle swarm optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    10. Guglielmo D’Amico & Raimondo Manca & Filippo Petroni & Dharmaraja Selvamuthu, 2021. "On the Computation of Some Interval Reliability Indicators for Semi-Markov Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-23, March.
    11. Yi, He & Cui, Lirong & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy, 2021. "New reliability indices for first- and second-order discrete-time aggregated semi-Markov systems with an application to TT&C system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

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