IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v104y2012icp96-105.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An automated method for estimating reliability of grid systems using Bayesian networks

Author

Listed:
  • Doguc, Ozge
  • Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose

Abstract

Grid computing has become relevant due to its applications to large-scale resource sharing, wide-area information transfer, and multi-institutional collaborating. In general, in grid computing a service requests the use of a set of resources, available in a grid, to complete certain tasks. Although analysis tools and techniques for these types of systems have been studied, grid reliability analysis is generally computation-intensive to obtain due to the complexity of the system. Moreover, conventional reliability models have some common assumptions that cannot be applied to the grid systems. Therefore, new analytical methods are needed for effective and accurate assessment of grid reliability. This study presents a new method for estimating grid service reliability, which does not require prior knowledge about the grid system structure unlike the previous studies. Moreover, the proposed method does not rely on any assumptions about the link and node failure rates. This approach is based on a data-mining algorithm, the K2, to discover the grid system structure from raw historical system data, that allows to find minimum resource spanning trees (MRST) within the grid then, uses Bayesian networks (BN) to model the MRST and estimate grid service reliability.

Suggested Citation

  • Doguc, Ozge & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "An automated method for estimating reliability of grid systems using Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 96-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:104:y:2012:i:c:p:96-105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2012.03.016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832012000506
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2012.03.016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dai, Yuan-Shun & Wang, Xiao-Long, 2006. "Optimal resource allocation on grid systems for maximizing service reliability using a genetic algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(9), pages 1071-1082.
    2. Doguc, Ozge & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose Emmanuel, 2009. "A generic method for estimating system reliability using Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 542-550.
    3. Langseth, Helge & Portinale, Luigi, 2007. "Bayesian networks in reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 92-108.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Lu & Xu, Zhengguo & Wang, Wenhai & Sun, Youxian, 2013. "A new fault detection method for computer networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 45-51.
    2. Tuballa, Maria Lorena & Abundo, Michael Lochinvar, 2016. "A review of the development of Smart Grid technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 710-725.
    3. Cai, Baoping & Liu, Yu & Fan, Qian, 2016. "A multiphase dynamic Bayesian networks methodology for the determination of safety integrity levels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 105-115.
    4. Kamyab, Shahabeddin & Nematollahi, Mohammadreza & Henneaux, Pierre & Labeau, Pierre-Etienne, 2021. "Development of a hybrid method to assess grid-related LOOP scenarios for an NPP," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zheng, Yi-Xuan & Xiahou, Tangfan & Liu, Yu & Xie, Chaoyang, 2021. "Structure function learning of hierarchical multi-state systems with incomplete observation sequences," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Andrews, John & Fecarotti, Claudia, 2017. "System design and maintenance modelling for safety in extended life operation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 95-108.
    3. Amrin, Andas & Zarikas, Vasileios & Spitas, Christos, 2018. "Reliability analysis and functional design using Bayesian networks generated automatically by an “Idea Algebra†framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 211-225.
    4. Kondakci, Suleyman, 2015. "Analysis of information security reliability: A tutorial," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 275-299.
    5. Cai, Baoping & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Zengkai & Tian, Xiaojie & Dong, Xin & Yu, Shilin, 2012. "Using Bayesian networks in reliability evaluation for subsea blowout preventer control system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 32-41.
    6. Zhong, X. & Ichchou, M. & Saidi, A., 2010. "Reliability assessment of complex mechatronic systems using a modified nonparametric belief propagation algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1174-1185.
    7. Francis, Royce A. & Guikema, Seth D. & Henneman, Lucas, 2014. "Bayesian Belief Networks for predicting drinking water distribution system pipe breaks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-11.
    8. Pan, Yue & Ou, Shenwei & Zhang, Limao & Zhang, Wenjing & Wu, Xianguo & Li, Heng, 2019. "Modeling risks in dependent systems: A Copula-Bayesian approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 416-431.
    9. Rogerson, Ellen C. & Lambert, James H., 2012. "Prioritizing risks via several expert perspectives with application to runway safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 22-34.
    10. Ibsen Chivatá Cárdenas & Saad S.H. Al‐Jibouri & Johannes I.M. Halman & Frits A. van Tol, 2014. "Modeling Risk‐Related Knowledge in Tunneling Projects," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 323-339, February.
    11. Marquez, David & Neil, Martin & Fenton, Norman, 2010. "Improved reliability modeling using Bayesian networks and dynamic discretization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 412-425.
    12. George-Williams, Hindolo & Patelli, Edoardo, 2017. "Efficient availability assessment of reconfigurable multi-state systems with interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 431-444.
    13. Vimal Vijayan & Sanjay K Chaturvedi, 2021. "Multi-component maintenance grouping optimization based on stochastic dependency," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 235(2), pages 293-305, April.
    14. Vimal Vijayan & Sanjay K Chaturvedi & Ritesh Chandra, 2020. "A failure interaction model for multicomponent repairable systems," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(3), pages 470-486, June.
    15. Michail Cheliotis & Evangelos Boulougouris & Nikoletta L Trivyza & Gerasimos Theotokatos & George Livanos & George Mantalos & Athanasios Stubos & Emmanuel Stamatakis & Alexandros Venetsanos, 2021. "Review on the Safe Use of Ammonia Fuel Cells in the Maritime Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-20, May.
    16. Babaleye, Ahmed O. & Kurt, Rafet Emek & Khan, Faisal, 2019. "Safety analysis of plugging and abandonment of oil and gas wells in uncertain conditions with limited data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 133-141.
    17. Marhavilas, P.K. & Koulouriotis, D.E., 2012. "A combined usage of stochastic and quantitative risk assessment methods in the worksites: Application on an electric power provider," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 36-46.
    18. Ait Mokhtar, El Hassene & Laggoune, Radouane & Chateauneuf, Alaa, 2023. "Imperfect maintenance modeling and assessment of repairable multi-component systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    19. Iamsumang, Chonlagarn & Mosleh, Ali & Modarres, Mohammad, 2018. "Monitoring and learning algorithms for dynamic hybrid Bayesian network in on-line system health management applications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 118-129.
    20. Daniele Codetta-Raiteri & Luigi Portinale, 2014. "Approaching dynamic reliability with predictive and diagnostic purposes by exploiting dynamic Bayesian networks," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 228(5), pages 488-503, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:104:y:2012:i:c:p:96-105. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.