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Monetary policy surprises, stock returns, and financial and liquidity constraints, in an exchange rate monetary policy system

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  • Sequeira, John M.

Abstract

This study examines the impact of monetary policy surprises on the stock price behaviour of a small developed economy, whose monetary policy is based on the exchange rate. We find that monetary policy surprises associated with all contractionary policy levers and a neutral policy lever, have a consistently significant and negative impact on stock returns. In comparison, only monetary policy surprises associated with a downward re-centering policy lever, has a significantly positive effect on stock returns. Using a recalibrated classification system, we also find that monetary policy surprises differ across sectors of the economy. Our results show how monetary policy surprises can have a significant impact on the stock market by having a disproportionate effect on sectors that face financial and liquidity constraints.

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  • Sequeira, John M., 2021. "Monetary policy surprises, stock returns, and financial and liquidity constraints, in an exchange rate monetary policy system," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 226-236.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:81:y:2021:i:c:p:226-236
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2021.06.005
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    1. Jingyuan Yang & Ling Wang & Ziyuan Sun & Fangming Zhu & Yihui Guo & Yan Shen, 2021. "Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on R&D Investment Smoothing Behavior of Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Enterprises: Empirical Research Based on a Threshold Regression Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-17, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Sector classification; Financial constraints; Liquidity constraint;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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