IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v616y2023ics0378437123001590.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stability of a delayed SARS-CoV-2 reactivation model with logistic growth and adaptive immune response

Author

Listed:
  • Elaiw, A.M.
  • Alsaedi, A.J.
  • Hobiny, A.D.
  • Aly, S.

Abstract

This paper develops and analyzes a SARS-CoV-2 dynamics model with logistic growth of healthy epithelial cells, CTL immune and humoral (antibody) immune responses. The model is incorporated with four mixed (distributed/discrete) time delays, delay in the formation of latent infected epithelial cells, delay in the formation of active infected epithelial cells, delay in the activation of latent infected epithelial cells, and maturation delay of new SARS-CoV-2 particles. We establish that the model’s solutions are non-negative and ultimately bounded. We deduce that the model has five steady states and their existence and stability are perfectly determined by four threshold parameters. We study the global stability of the model’s steady states using Lyapunov method. The analytical results are enhanced by numerical simulations. The impact of intracellular time delays on the dynamical behavior of the SARS-CoV-2 is addressed. We noted that increasing the time delay period can suppress the viral replication and control the infection. This could be helpful to create new drugs that extend the delay time period.

Suggested Citation

  • Elaiw, A.M. & Alsaedi, A.J. & Hobiny, A.D. & Aly, S., 2023. "Stability of a delayed SARS-CoV-2 reactivation model with logistic growth and adaptive immune response," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 616(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:616:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123001590
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.128604
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437123001590
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2023.128604?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qi, Kai & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Virus dynamic behavior of a stochastic HIV/AIDS infection model including two kinds of target cell infections and CTL immune responses," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 548-570.
    2. Elaiw, A.M. & Al Agha, A.D., 2021. "Global dynamics of SARS-CoV-2/cancer model with immune responses," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 408(C).
    3. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Abdullah J. Alsaedi & Afnan Diyab Al Agha & Aatef D. Hobiny, 2022. "Global Stability of a Humoral Immunity COVID-19 Model with Logistic Growth and Delays," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-28, May.
    4. Sabbar, Yassine & Kiouach, Driss & Rajasekar, S.P. & El-idrissi, Salim El Azami, 2022. "The influence of quadratic Lévy noise on the dynamic of an SIC contagious illness model: New framework, critical comparison and an application to COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) case," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    5. S. P. Rajasekar & M. Pitchaimani & Quanxin Zhu & Kaibo Shi, 2021. "Exploring the Stochastic Host-Pathogen Tuberculosis Model with Adaptive Immune Response," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-23, June.
    6. Christine S.M. Currie & John W. Fowler & Kathy Kotiadis & Thomas Monks & Bhakti Stephan Onggo & Duncan A. Robertson & Antuela A. Tako, 2020. "How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19," Journal of Simulation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 83-97, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dmitry Ivanov, 2022. "Viable supply chain model: integrating agility, resilience and sustainability perspectives—lessons from and thinking beyond the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 319(1), pages 1411-1431, December.
    2. Ortiz-Barrios, Miguel & Arias-Fonseca, Sebastián & Ishizaka, Alessio & Barbati, Maria & Avendaño-Collante, Betty & Navarro-Jiménez, Eduardo, 2023. "Artificial intelligence and discrete-event simulation for capacity management of intensive care units during the Covid-19 pandemic: A case study," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    3. Bianco, Débora & Bueno, Adauto & Godinho Filho, Moacir & Latan, Hengky & Miller Devós Ganga, Gilberto & Frank, Alejandro G. & Chiappetta Jabbour, Charbel Jose, 2023. "The role of Industry 4.0 in developing resilience for manufacturing companies during COVID-19," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    4. Michael Allen & Amir Bhanji & Jonas Willemsen & Steven Dudfield & Stuart Logan & Thomas Monks, 2020. "A simulation modelling toolkit for organising outpatient dialysis services during the COVID-19 pandemic," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-13, August.
    5. Yassine Sabbar & Mohammad Izadi & Aeshah A. Raezah & Waleed Adel, 2024. "Nonlinear Dynamics of a General Stochastic SIR Model with Behavioral and Physical Changes: Analysis and Application to Zoonotic Tuberculosis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, June.
    6. A. M. Elaiw & N. H. AlShamrani & E. Dahy & A. A. Abdellatif & Aeshah A. Raezah, 2023. "Effect of Macrophages and Latent Reservoirs on the Dynamics of HTLV-I and HIV-1 Coinfection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-26, January.
    7. Gorji, Mohammad-Ali & Shetab-Boushehri, Seyyed-Nader & Akbarzadeh, Meisam, 2023. "Evaluation and improvement of the resilience of a transportation system against epidemic diseases: A system dynamics approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 27-44.
    8. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    9. Kazim Topuz & Behrooz Davazdahemami & Dursun Delen, 2024. "A Bayesian belief network-based analytics methodology for early-stage risk detection of novel diseases," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 341(1), pages 673-697, October.
    10. Sabbar, Yassine & Kiouach, Driss & Rajasekar, S.P. & El-idrissi, Salim El Azami, 2022. "The influence of quadratic Lévy noise on the dynamic of an SIC contagious illness model: New framework, critical comparison and an application to COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) case," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    11. Akira Watanabe & Hiroyuki Matsuda, 2023. "Effectiveness of feedback control and the trade-off between death by COVID-19 and costs of countermeasures," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 46-61, March.
    12. Shi, Zhenfeng & Jiang, Daqing, 2022. "Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic HTLV-I infection model with general infection form and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P2).
    13. Bhavya Sharma & Murari Lal Mittal & Gunjan Soni & Bharti Ramtiyal, 2023. "An Implementation Framework for Resiliency Assessment in a Supply Chain," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 24(4), pages 591-614, December.
    14. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Abdulsalam S. Shflot & Aatef D. Hobiny & Shaban A. Aly, 2023. "Global Dynamics of an HTLV-I and SARS-CoV-2 Co-Infection Model with Diffusion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-33, January.
    15. Tan, Yiping & Cai, Yongli & Sun, Xiaodan & Wang, Kai & Yao, Ruoxia & Wang, Weiming & Peng, Zhihang, 2022. "A stochastic SICA model for HIV/AIDS transmission," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1).
    16. Sabbar, Yassine & Din, Anwarud & Kiouach, Driss, 2023. "Influence of fractal–fractional differentiation and independent quadratic Lévy jumps on the dynamics of a general epidemic model with vaccination strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    17. Calum MacRury & Nykyta Polituchyi & Paweł Prałat & Kinga Siuta & Przemysław Szufel, 2024. "Optimizing transport frequency in multi-layered urban transportation networks for pandemic prevention," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 381-418, June.
    18. Laaribi, Aziz & Boukanjime, Brahim & El Khalifi, Mohamed & Bouggar, Driss & El Fatini, Mohamed, 2023. "A generalized stochastic SIRS epidemic model incorporating mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    19. Seyyed-Mahdi Hosseini-Motlagh & Mohammad Reza Ghatreh Samani & Behnam Karimi, 2023. "Resilient and social health service network design to reduce the effect of COVID-19 outbreak," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 328(1), pages 903-975, September.
    20. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Abdullah J. Alsaedi & Afnan Diyab Al Agha & Aatef D. Hobiny, 2022. "Global Stability of a Humoral Immunity COVID-19 Model with Logistic Growth and Delays," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-28, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:616:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123001590. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.