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Continuum percolation and stochastic epidemic models on Poisson and Ginibre point processes

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  • Katori, Machiko
  • Katori, Makoto

Abstract

The most studied continuum percolation model in two dimensions is the Boolean model consisting of disks with the same radius whose centers are randomly distributed on the Poisson point process (PPP). We also consider the Boolean percolation model on the Ginibre point process (GPP) which is a typical repelling point process realizing hyperuniformity. We think that the PPP approximates a disordered configuration of individuals, while the GPP does a configuration of citizens adopting a strategy to keep social distancing in a city in order to avoid contagion. We consider the SIR models with contagious infection on supercritical percolation clusters formed on the PPP and the GPP. By numerical simulations, we studied dependence of the percolation phenomena and the infection processes on the PPP- and the GPP-underlying graphs. We show that in a subcritical regime of infection rate the PPP-based models show emergence of infection clusters on clumping of points which is formed by fluctuation of uncorrelated Poissonian statistics. On the other hand, the cumulative numbers of infected individuals in processes are suppressed in the GPP-based models.

Suggested Citation

  • Katori, Machiko & Katori, Makoto, 2021. "Continuum percolation and stochastic epidemic models on Poisson and Ginibre point processes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:581:y:2021:i:c:s0378437121004647
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126191
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. E. J. Newman & R. M. Ziff, 2001. "A Fast Monte Carlo Algorithm for Site or Bond Percolation," Working Papers 01-02-010, Santa Fe Institute.
    2. Ziff, Robert M., 2021. "Percolation and the pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
    3. de Souza, David R. & Tomé, Tânia, 2010. "Stochastic lattice gas model describing the dynamics of the SIRS epidemic process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(5), pages 1142-1150.
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    1. Li, Yang & Wu, Jialu & Xiao, Yunjiang & Hu, Hangqi & Wang, Wei & Chen, Jun, 2024. "Resilience analysis of highway network under rainfall using a data-driven percolation theory-based method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 638(C).

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