IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v556y2020ics0378437120303897.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hybrid link prediction via model averaging

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Qi
  • Tong, Tingting
  • Wu, Shunyao

Abstract

It is a big challenge to select and combine multiple similarity-based approaches in a proper way for link prediction. Recently, some studies have focused on hybrid link prediction, but neglected to select models for link prediction. Actually, model averaging is more promising to reduce the risk of misspecified. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel linear model to integrate various kinds of local indices, and employs two typical model averaging approaches, Smooth Akaike Information Criterion (S-AIC) and Smooth Bayesian Information Criterion (S-BIC), for hybrid link prediction. It is worth noting that the objective function motivated by KL divergence matches our model quite well without unconfirmed links, which indicates node pairs of observed links should have larger similarities than unconnected node pairs. Experimental results on six datasets demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve more accurate performance. Our work provides a promising way for hybrid link prediction, and is a preliminary exploration to study on model averaging for high dimensional matrices.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Qi & Tong, Tingting & Wu, Shunyao, 2020. "Hybrid link prediction via model averaging," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:556:y:2020:i:c:s0378437120303897
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2020.124772
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437120303897
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2020.124772?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Claeskens,Gerda & Hjort,Nils Lid, 2008. "Model Selection and Model Averaging," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521852258, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mueller, Falko, 2023. "Link and edge weight prediction in air transport networks — An RNN approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 613(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jeffrey S. Racine & Qi Li & Dalei Yu & Li Zheng, 2023. "Optimal Model Averaging of Mixed-Data Kernel-Weighted Spline Regressions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1251-1261, October.
    2. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
    3. Davide Fiaschi & Andrea Mario Lavezzi & Angela Parenti, 2020. "Deep and Proximate Determinants of the World Income Distribution," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(3), pages 677-710, September.
    4. Zhongqi Liang & Qihua Wang & Yuting Wei, 2022. "Robust model selection with covariables missing at random," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(3), pages 539-557, June.
    5. Bhattacharya, Debopam & Dupas, Pascaline, 2012. "Inferring welfare maximizing treatment assignment under budget constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 168-196.
    6. Schomaker Michael & Heumann Christian, 2011. "Model Averaging in Factor Analysis: An Analysis of Olympic Decathlon Data," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, January.
    7. Tumala, Mohammed M & Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaaba, Baba N & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Akanbi, Olawale B, 2017. "Forecasting Nigerian Inflation using Model Averaging methods: Modelling Frameworks to Central Banks," MPRA Paper 88754, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2018.
    8. José Manuel Cordero Ferrera & Manuel Muñiz Pérez & Rosa Simancas Rodríguez, 2015. "The influence of socioeconomic factors on cognitive and non-cognitive educational outcomes," Investigaciones de Economía de la Educación volume 10, in: Marta Rahona López & Jennifer Graves (ed.), Investigaciones de Economía de la Educación 10, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 21, pages 413-438, Asociación de Economía de la Educación.
    9. Naoya Sueishi & Arihiro Yoshimura, 2017. "Focused Information Criterion for Series Estimation in Partially Linear Models," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 352-363, September.
    10. Liao, Jun & Zou, Guohua, 2020. "Corrected Mallows criterion for model averaging," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    11. Miao Han & Liuquan Sun & Yutao Liu & Jun Zhu, 2018. "Joint analysis of recurrent event data with additive–multiplicative hazards model for the terminal event time," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(5), pages 523-547, July.
    12. Gildas Mazo & François Portier, 2021. "Parametric versus nonparametric: The fitness coefficient," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1344-1383, December.
    13. Anwen Yin, 2024. "Predictive model averaging with parameter instability and heteroskedasticity," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 76(2), pages 418-442, April.
    14. Gerda Claeskens & Fabrizio Consentino, 2008. "Variable Selection with Incomplete Covariate Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1062-1069, December.
    15. Cornelius Fritz & Michael Lebacher & Göran Kauermann, 2020. "Tempus volat, hora fugit: A survey of tie‐oriented dynamic network models in discrete and continuous time," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 74(3), pages 275-299, August.
    16. Edvard Bakhitov, 2020. "Frequentist Shrinkage under Inequality Constraints," Papers 2001.10586, arXiv.org.
    17. Li, Degui & Linton, Oliver & Lu, Zudi, 2015. "A flexible semiparametric forecasting model for time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 345-357.
    18. Rina Wu & Jiquan Zhang & Yuhai Bao & Enliang Guo, 2019. "Run Theory and Copula-Based Drought Risk Analysis for Songnen Grassland in Northeastern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-17, October.
    19. Jäckel, Christoph, 2013. "Model uncertainty and expected return proxies," MPRA Paper 51978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Phillip Heiler & Jana Mareckova, 2019. "Shrinkage for Categorical Regressors," Papers 1901.01898, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:556:y:2020:i:c:s0378437120303897. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.