IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v490y2018icp1355-1367.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A sliding windows approach to analyse the evolution of bank shares in the European Union

Author

Listed:
  • Ferreira, Paulo
  • Dionísio, Andreia
  • Guedes, Everaldo Freitas
  • Zebende, Gilney Figueira

Abstract

Both sub-prime and Eurozone debt crisis problems caused severe financial crisis, which affected European markets in general, but particularly the banking sector. The continuous devaluation of bank shares in the financial sector caused a great decrease in market capitalization, and in citizen and investor confidence. Panic among investors led them to sell shares, while other agents took the opportunity to buy them. Therefore, the study of bank shares is important, particularly of their efficiency. In this paper, adopting a sliding windows detrended fluctuation approach, we analyse the efficiency concept dynamically with 63 European banks (both in and outside the Eurozone). The main results show that the crisis had an effect on changing the efficiency pattern.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Guedes, Everaldo Freitas & Zebende, Gilney Figueira, 2018. "A sliding windows approach to analyse the evolution of bank shares in the European Union," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1355-1367.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:490:y:2018:i:c:p:1355-1367
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.095
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437117308178
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.095?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Silvia Ardagna & Francesco Caselli, 2014. "The Political Economy of the Greek Debt Crisis: A Tale of Two Bailouts," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 291-323, October.
    2. Cao, Guangxi & Zhang, Minjia, 2015. "Extreme values in the Chinese and American stock markets based on detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 436(C), pages 25-35.
    3. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "Breaking down the barriers between econophysics and financial economics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 256-266.
    4. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Analysis of the efficiency and multifractality of gold markets based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 817-827.
    5. Paulo Ferreira, 2016. "Apple, Alphabet or Microsoft: Which Is the Most Efficient Share?," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 1(2), pages 67-79, December.
    6. Anagnostidis, P. & Varsakelis, C. & Emmanouilides, C.J., 2016. "Has the 2008 financial crisis affected stock market efficiency? The case of Eurozone," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 116-128.
    7. Ferreira, Paulo, 2016. "Does the Euro crisis change the cross-correlation pattern between bank shares and national indexes?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 320-329.
    8. Acharya, Viral V. & Steffen, Sascha, 2015. "The “greatest” carry trade ever? Understanding eurozone bank risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 215-236.
    9. Machado Filho, A. & da Silva, M.F. & Zebende, G.F., 2014. "Autocorrelation and cross-correlation in time series of homicide and attempted homicide," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 12-19.
    10. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2008. "Testing for time-varying long-range dependence in real state equity returns," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 293-307.
    11. Ardagna, Silvia & Caselli, Francesco, 2014. "The political economy of the Greek debt crisis: a tale of two bailouts," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60112, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Carbone, A. & Castelli, G. & Stanley, H.E., 2004. "Time-dependent Hurst exponent in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 267-271.
    13. Cajueiro, Daniel O & Tabak, Benjamin M, 2004. "The Hurst exponent over time: testing the assertion that emerging markets are becoming more efficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 336(3), pages 521-537.
    14. Ferreira, Paulo & Loures, Luís & Nunes, José Rato & Dionísio, Andreia, 2017. "The behaviour of share returns of football clubs: An econophysics approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 472(C), pages 136-144.
    15. Paulo Ferreira & Andreia Dionísio & Cesaltina Pires, 2010. "Adopt the euro? The GME approach," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 5(2), pages 231-247, December.
    16. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    17. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2004. "Evidence of long range dependence in Asian equity markets: the role of liquidity and market restrictions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 342(3), pages 656-664.
    18. Eugene F. Fama, 1963. "Mandelbrot and the Stable Paretian Hypothesis," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 420-420.
    19. Juan Luis Lopez & Jesus Guillermo Contreras, 2013. "Performance of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis on short time series," Papers 1311.2278, arXiv.org.
    20. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Detrended fluctuation analysis on spot and futures markets of West Texas Intermediate crude oil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 864-875.
    21. Franck Jovanovic & Christophe Schinckus, 2016. "Breaking down the Barriers between Econophysics and Financial Economics," Post-Print hal-03538922, HAL.
    22. Paulo Ferreira & Andreia Dionisio, 2015. "Revisiting Covered Interest Parity in the European Union: the DCCA Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 597-615, December.
    23. Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2006. "Testing for predictability in equity returns for European transition markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 56-78, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guedes, E.F. & da Silva Filho, A.M. & Zebende, G.F., 2021. "Detrended multiple cross-correlation coefficient with sliding windows approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    2. Paulo Ferreira, 2020. "Dynamic long-range dependences in the Swiss stock market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1541-1573, April.
    3. Guedes, E.F. & Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Zebende, G.F., 2019. "An econophysics approach to study the effect of BREXIT referendum on European Union stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1175-1182.
    4. da Silva Filho, A.M. & Zebende, G.F. & Guedes, E.F., 2021. "Analysis of intentional lethal violent crimes: A sliding windows approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 567(C).
    5. Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Lucey, Brian, 2020. "How do dynamic responses of exchange rates to oil price shocks co-move? From a time-varying perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. Dias, Rui & da Silva, Jacinto Vidigal & Dionísio, Andreia, 2019. "Financial markets of the LAC region: Does the crisis influence the financial integration?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 160-173.
    7. Grillini, Stefano & Ozkan, Aydin & Sharma, Abhijit & Al Janabi, Mazin A.M., 2019. "Pricing of time-varying illiquidity within the Eurozone: Evidence using a Markov switching liquidity-adjusted capital asset pricing model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 145-158.
    8. Ferreira, Paulo & Loures, Luís & Nunes, José & Brito, Paulo, 2018. "Are renewable energy stocks a possibility to diversify portfolios considering an environmentally friendly approach? The view of DCCA correlation coefficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 675-681.
    9. Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Assessing the relationship between dependence and volume in stock markets: A dynamic analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 90-97.
    10. da Silva, L.S. Almeida & Guedes, E.F. & Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Zebende, G.F., 2019. "ρx,y between open-close stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ferreira, Paulo, 2018. "Long-range dependencies of Eastern European stock markets: A dynamic detrended analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 454-470.
    2. Paulo Ferreira & Luís Carlos Loures, 2020. "An Econophysics Study of the S&P Global Clean Energy Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-9, January.
    3. Ferreira, Paulo, 2018. "Efficiency or speculation? A time-varying analysis of European sovereign debt," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1295-1308.
    4. Paulo Ferreira, 2020. "Dynamic long-range dependences in the Swiss stock market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1541-1573, April.
    5. Natália Costa & César Silva & Paulo Ferreira, 2019. "Long-Range Behaviour and Correlation in DFA and DCCA Analysis of Cryptocurrencies," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-12, September.
    6. Ferreira, Paulo, 2018. "What detrended fluctuation analysis can tell us about NBA results," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 92-96.
    7. Ferreira, Paulo & Quintino, Derick & Wundervald, Bruna & Dionísio, Andreia & Aslam, Faheem & Cantarinha, Ana, 2021. "Is Brazilian music getting more predictable? A statistical physics approach for different music genres," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 583(C).
    8. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & Andreia Dionisio & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2020. "EU Stock Markets vs. Germany, UK and US: Analysis of Dynamic Comovements Using Time-Varying DCCA Correlation Coefficients," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-23, May.
    9. Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Assessing the relationship between dependence and volume in stock markets: A dynamic analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 90-97.
    10. Laura Raisa Miloş & Cornel Haţiegan & Marius Cristian Miloş & Flavia Mirela Barna & Claudiu Boțoc, 2020. "Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) of Stock Market Indexes. Empirical Evidence from Seven Central and Eastern European Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, January.
    11. Ferreira, Paulo, 2016. "Does the Euro crisis change the cross-correlation pattern between bank shares and national indexes?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 320-329.
    12. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2021. "Dynamic cross-correlation and dynamic contagion of stock markets: a sliding windows approach with the DCCA correlation coefficient," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1127-1156, March.
    13. Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Correia, José, 2018. "Non-linear dependencies in African stock markets: Was subprime crisis an important factor?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 680-687.
    14. Paulo Ferreira & Éder J.A.L. Pereira & Hernane B.B. Pereira, 2020. "From Big Data to Econophysics and Its Use to Explain Complex Phenomena," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-10, July.
    15. Sukpitak, Jessada & Hengpunya, Varagorn, 2016. "The influence of trading volume on market efficiency: The DCCA approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 259-265.
    16. Kristoufek, Ladislav & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2014. "Commodity futures and market efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 50-57.
    17. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Mensi, Walid & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2017. "Examining the efficiency and interdependence of US credit and stock markets through MF-DFA and MF-DXA approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 351-363.
    18. Gu, Rongbao & Xiong, Wei & Li, Xinjie, 2015. "Does the singular value decomposition entropy have predictive power for stock market? — Evidence from the Shenzhen stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 439(C), pages 103-113.
    19. Paulo Ferreira, 2017. "Portuguese and Brazilian stock market integration: a non-linear and detrended approach," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(1), pages 49-63, April.
    20. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:490:y:2018:i:c:p:1355-1367. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.