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Probabilistic prediction of outbreaks of meningococcus W-135 infections over the next few years in Spain

Author

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  • Acedo, L.
  • Burgos, C.
  • Cortés, J.-C.
  • Villanueva, R.-J.

Abstract

The genogroups of meningococcal and other bacteria are in competition in the ecosystem they form with the human hosts. Changes in vaccination strategies, prophylactic measures or usual habits, may also change the distribution of the genogroups in the ecosystem but, usually, this competition is ignored in most epidemiological models, despite it can be highly influential in the evolution of infection diseases and outbreaks.

Suggested Citation

  • Acedo, L. & Burgos, C. & Cortés, J.-C. & Villanueva, R.-J., 2017. "Probabilistic prediction of outbreaks of meningococcus W-135 infections over the next few years in Spain," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 106-117.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:106-117
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.043
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cortés, Juan-Carlos & Santonja, Francisco-J. & Tarazona, Ana-C. & Villanueva, Rafael-J. & Villanueva-Oller, Javier, 2015. "A probabilistic estimation and prediction technique for dynamic continuous social science models: The evolution of the attitude of the Basque Country population towards ETA as a case study," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 264(C), pages 13-20.
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    Cited by:

    1. Burgos, C. & Cortés, J.-C. & Villafuerte, L. & Villanueva, R.J., 2022. "Solving random fractional second-order linear equations via the mean square Laplace transform: Theory and statistical computing," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 418(C).

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