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The evolutionary synchronization of the exchange rate system in ASEAN+6

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  • Feng, Xiaobing
  • Hu, Haibo
  • Wang, Xiaofan

Abstract

Although there are extensive researches on the behavior of the world currency network, the complexity of the Asian regional currency system is not well understood regardless of its importance. Using daily exchange rates this paper examines exchange rate co-movements in the region before and after the China exchange rate reform. It was found that the correlation between Asian currencies and the US Dollar, the previous regional key currency has become weaker and intra-Asia interactions have increased. Cross sample entropy and cross entropy approaches are also applied to examine the synchrony behavior among the Asian currencies. The study also shows that the Asian exchange rate markets featured are neither stochastic nor efficient. These findings may shed some light on the in-depth understanding of collective behaviors in a regional currency network; they will also lay a theoretical foundation for further policy formulation in Asian currency integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Xiaobing & Hu, Haibo & Wang, Xiaofan, 2010. "The evolutionary synchronization of the exchange rate system in ASEAN+6," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(24), pages 5785-5793.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:389:y:2010:i:24:p:5785-5793
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2010.09.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kapetanios, George & Shin, Yongcheol & Snell, Andy, 2003. "Testing for a unit root in the nonlinear STAR framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 359-379, February.
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    3. Jaroslaw Kwapien & Sylwia Gworek & Stanislaw Drozdz & Andrzej Gorski, 2009. "Analysis of a network structure of the foreign currency exchange market," Papers 0906.0480, arXiv.org.
    4. Jarosław Kwapień & Sylwia Gworek & Stanisław Drożdż & Andrzej Górski, 2009. "Analysis of a network structure of the foreign currency exchange market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 4(1), pages 55-72, June.
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