Profitability of technical trading rules in the Chinese stock market
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102278
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2005.
"Stepwise Multiple Testing as Formalized Data Snooping,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(4), pages 1237-1282, July.
- Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2003. "Stepwise multiple testing as formalized data snooping," Economics Working Papers 712, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Joseph P. Romano & Michael Wolf, 2015. "Stepwise Multiple Testing as Formalized Data Snooping," Working Papers 17, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Frankel, Jeffrey A & Froot, Kenneth A, 1990. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 181-185, May.
- Fuwei Jiang & Guoshi Tong & Guokai Song, 2019. "Technical Analysis Profitability Without Data Snooping Bias: Evidence from Chinese Stock Market," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 191-206, March.
- Romano, Joseph P. & Shaikh, Azeem M. & Wolf, Michael, 2008.
"Formalized Data Snooping Based On Generalized Error Rates,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 404-447, April.
- Joseph P & Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh & Michael Wolf, 2005. "Formalized Data Snooping Based on Generalized Error Rates," IEW - Working Papers 259, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
- Allen, Helen & Taylor, Mark P, 1990. "Charts, Noise and Fundamentals in the London Foreign Exchange Market," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(400), pages 49-59, Supplemen.
- Taylor, Mark P. & Allen, Helen, 1992. "The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 304-314, June.
- Goetzmann, William N. & Massa, Massimo, 2002.
"Daily Momentum and Contrarian Behavior of Index Fund Investors,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(3), pages 375-389, September.
- William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa, 1999. "Daily Momentum And Contrarian Behavior Of Index Fund Investors," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm13, Yale School of Management.
- William N. Goetzmann & Massimo Massa, 2000. "Daily Momentum and Contrarian Behavior of Index Fund Investors," NBER Working Papers 7567, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Massimo Massa & William Goetzmann, 2000. "Daily Momentum And Contrarian Behavior Of Index Fund Investors," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm134, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Apr 2001.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan, 2016. "Technical trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 188-208.
- Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
- Brock, William & Lakonishok, Josef & LeBaron, Blake, 1992.
"Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 1731-1764, December.
- Brock, W. & Lakonishok, J. & Lebaron, B., 1991. "Simple Technical Trading Rules And The Stochastic Properties Of Stock Returns," Working papers 90-22, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Hsu, Yu-Chin & Kuan, Chung-Ming, 2010. "Testing the predictive ability of technical analysis using a new stepwise test without data snooping bias," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 471-484, June.
- Po-Hsuan Hsu & Chung-Ming Kuan, 2005. "Reexamining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with Data Snooping Checks," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 606-628.
- Massoud Metghalchi & Juri Marcucci & Yung-Ho Chang, 2012. "Are moving average trading rules profitable? Evidence from the European stock markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(12), pages 1539-1559, April.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Hassanniakalager, Arman & Sermpinis, Georgios & Stasinakis, Charalampos, 2021. "Trading the foreign exchange market with technical analysis and Bayesian Statistics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 230-251.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan & Li, Yan, 2024.
"The out-of-sample performance of carry trades,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Wang, Zigan, 2020. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of Carry Trades," CEPR Discussion Papers 15052, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fong, Tom Pak Wing & Wu, Shui Tang, 2020.
"Predictability in sovereign bond returns using technical trading rules: Do developed and emerging markets differ?,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Tom Fong & Gabriel Wu, 2019. "Predictability in sovereign bond returns using technical trading rule: do developed and emerging markets differ?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The use of big data analytics and artificial intelligence in central banking, volume 50, Bank for International Settlements.
- Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan, 2014. "Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in t," CEPR Discussion Papers 10018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kuang, P. & Schröder, M. & Wang, Q., 2014.
"Illusory profitability of technical analysis in emerging foreign exchange markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 192-205.
- P Kuang & M Schroder & Q Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," Discussion Papers 13-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Kuang, P. & Schröder, M. & Wang, Q., 2014.
"Illusory profitability of technical analysis in emerging foreign exchange markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 192-205.
- P Kuang & M Schroder & Q Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," Discussion Papers 13-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Pei Kuang & M. Schröder & Q. Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," CDMA Working Paper Series 201302, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Kevin Rink, 2023. "The predictive ability of technical trading rules: an empirical analysis of developed and emerging equity markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 37(4), pages 403-456, December.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan, 2016. "Technical trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 188-208.
- Bajgrowicz, Pierre & Scaillet, Olivier, 2012.
"Technical trading revisited: False discoveries, persistence tests, and transaction costs,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 473-491.
- Pierre Bajgrowicz & Olivier Scaillet, 2008. "Technical Trading Revisited: False Discoveries, Persistence Tests, and Transaction Costs," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 08-05, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Jul 2009.
- Sermpinis, Georgios & Hassanniakalager, Arman & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Psaradellis, Ioannis, 2021. "Technical analysis profitability and Persistence: A discrete false discovery approach on MSCI indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Dan Anghel, 2013. "How Reliable is the Moving Average Crossover Rule for an Investor on the Romanian Stock Market?," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 5(2), pages 089-115, December.
- Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller, 2011. "Technical analysis in the foreign exchange market," Working Papers 2011-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Raquel Almeida Ramos & Federico Bassi & Dany Lang, 2020.
"Bet against the trend and cash in profits,"
CEPN Working Papers
halshs-02956879, HAL.
- Raquel Almeida Ramos & Federico Bassi & Dany Lang, 2020. "Bet against the trend and cash in profits," Working Papers halshs-02956879, HAL.
- Raquel Almeida Ramos & Federico Bassi & Dany Lang, 2020. "Bet against the trend and cash in profits," FMM Working Paper 60-2020, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Raquel Almeida Ramos & Federico Bassi & Dany Lang, 2020. "Bet against the trend and cash in profits," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def090, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Federico Bassi & Raquel Ramos & Dany Lang, 2023.
"Bet against the trend and cash in profits: An agent-based model of endogenous fluctuations of exchange rates,"
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 429-472, April.
- Federico Bassi & Dany Lang & Raquel Almeida Ramos, 2023. "Bet against the trend and cash in profits: An agent‑based model of endogenous fluctuations of exchange rates," Post-Print hal-04428234, HAL.
- Souropanis, Ioannis & Vivian, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with wavelet decomposition," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Georgios Sermpinis & Arman Hassanniakalager & Charalampos Stasinakis & Ioannis Psaradellis, 2018. "Technical Analysis and Discrete False Discovery Rate: Evidence from MSCI Indices," Papers 1811.06766, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
- Anghel, Dan Gabriel, 2021. "Data Snooping Bias in Tests of the Relative Performance of Multiple Forecasting Models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Han, Qiheng & Wu, Wensheng & Cao, Zhiguang, 2018. "Asset allocation strategies, data snooping, and the 1 / N rule," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 257-269.
- Zarrabi, Nima & Snaith, Stuart & Coakley, Jerry, 2017. "FX technical trading rules can be profitable sometimes!," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 113-127.
- Flavio Ivo Riedlinger & João Nicolau, 2020. "The Profitability in the FTSE 100 Index: A New Markov Chain Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(1), pages 61-81, March.
More about this item
Keywords
Technical analysis; Multiple testing; Stepwise RC test; FWER; FDP;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:84:y:2024:i:c:s0927538x24000295. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.