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The relationship between yield curve components and equity sectorial indices: Evidence from China

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  • Umar, Zaghum
  • Yousaf, Imran
  • Aharon, David Y.

Abstract

This paper examines the static and dynamic connectedness (returns and volatility) between the components of the sovereign yield curve (level, slope, curvature) and sectorial equity indices in China. We document a strong connection between these factors, particularly during three periods: the August 2011 stock market crash, the 2015 Chinese stock market crash and the 2018 US-China trade war. Our results show that the level component of the yield curve is a net transmitter of return spillovers, whereas the curvature component of the yield curve is a net transmitter of volatility spillovers. These findings may be useful for portfolio managers and policymakers making decisions regarding portfolio allocations, risk management, and monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar, Zaghum & Yousaf, Imran & Aharon, David Y., 2021. "The relationship between yield curve components and equity sectorial indices: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:68:y:2021:i:c:s0927538x21000986
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101591
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Static spillover; Rolling spillover; Yield curve; Equity sectors; Financial crisis; Trade wars; Connectedness;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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