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Wealth creation, wealth dilution and demography

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  • Brunnschweiler, Christa N.
  • Peretto, Pietro F.
  • Valente, Simone

Abstract

Demographic forces are crucial drivers of macroeconomic performance. Yet, existing theories do not allow demography to respond to fundamentals and policies while determining key macroeconomic variables. We build a model of endogenous interactions between fertility and innovation-led productivity growth that delivers empirically consistent co-movements of population, income and wealth. Wealth dilution and wage dynamics stabilize population through non-Malthusian forces; demography determines the ratios of labor income and consumption to financial wealth. Shocks that reduce population size, like immigration barriers, reduce permanently the labor share and the mass of firms, creating prolonged stagnation and substantial intergenerational redistribution of income and welfare.

Suggested Citation

  • Brunnschweiler, Christa N. & Peretto, Pietro F. & Valente, Simone, 2021. "Wealth creation, wealth dilution and demography," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 441-459.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:441-459
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.02.002
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    Cited by:

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    2. Song, Wei & Yang, Yibai, 2024. "Monetary policy in a Schumpeterian economy with endogenous fertility and human capital accumulation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Gerlagh, Reyer, 2023. "Climate, technology, family size; on the crossroad between two ultimate externalities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Reyer Gerlagh & Veronica Lupi & Marzio Galeotti, 2023. "Fertility and climate change," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 208-252, January.
    5. Pietro F. Peretto & Simone Valente, 2021. "Growth with Deadly Spillovers," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2021-05, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    6. Chu, Angus & Cozzi, Guido & Fan, Haichao, 2022. "Natural Selection and Innovation-Driven Growth," MPRA Paper 113502, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    R&D-based growth; Overlapping generations; Endogenous fertility; Population level; Wealth dilution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

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