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Modelling the credit risk for portfolios of consumer loans: Analogies with corporate loan models

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  • Thomas, Lyn C.

Abstract

The New Basel accord has highlighted the need for models of the credit risk in portfolios of consumer loans. There are really no such models of the risks in consumer loan portfolios even though there is a well established industry – credit scoring – in modelling the risk of individual loans. Yet there are a number of models of the credit risk of portfolios of corporate loans. This paper discusses if and how one could use equivalent approaches to building such models in consumer lending even if the models themselves cannot translate across because of the assumptions underlying them.

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  • Thomas, Lyn C., 2009. "Modelling the credit risk for portfolios of consumer loans: Analogies with corporate loan models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2525-2534.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:8:p:2525-2534
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.12.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. de Andrade, Fabio Wendling Muniz & Thomas, Lyn, 2007. "Structural models in consumer credit," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(3), pages 1569-1581, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Allen, David E. & Gao, Jiti & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Modelling and managing financial risk: An overview," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2521-2524.
    2. Fernando A. F. Ferreira & Ieva Meidutė-Kavaliauskienė & Edmundas K. Zavadskas & Marjan S. Jalali & Sandra M. J. Catarino, 2019. "A Judgment-Based Risk Assessment Framework for Consumer Loans," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 7-33, January.
    3. Malik, Madhur & Thomas, Lyn C., 2012. "Transition matrix models of consumer credit ratings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 261-272.
    4. He, Ping & Hua, Zhongsheng & Liu, Zhixin, 2015. "A quantification method for the collection effect on consumer term loans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 17-26.
    5. Tong, Edward N.C. & Mues, Christophe & Thomas, Lyn C., 2012. "Mixture cure models in credit scoring: If and when borrowers default," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 132-139.

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