IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/matcom/v210y2023icp260-280.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Supply option purchasing decisions via mismatch cost minimization

Author

Listed:
  • Xu, Xinsheng
  • Ji, Ping
  • Sang, Shuming

Abstract

In this paper, the optimal purchasing decisions of the option procurement of newsvendor-type commodities are studied. Based on the mismatch cost minimization criterion, the present study analyzes the option purchasing decisions of a risk-averse newsvendor under the measure of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). For the purpose of controlling the procurement risk, it is found that a newsvendor’s optimal option purchasing decision under the CVaR measure increases at the quantile level under certain conditions. The result provides alternative explanations for a newsvendor’s over-purchasing behaviors in reality. To mitigate the conservativeness of the CVaR measure, a combined objective defined as the mean-CVaR on mismatch cost is introduced, and the optimal option purchasing decision of a newsvendor minimizing the combined objective is derived. The combined objective can strike a balance between the minimization of CVaR of mismatch cost as well as the minimization of expected mismatch cost. In addition, a sensitivity analysis is performed to exhibit the results and managerial insights are presented to hedge against the potential risks for newsvendors in the option purchasing decision-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Xinsheng & Ji, Ping & Sang, Shuming, 2023. "Supply option purchasing decisions via mismatch cost minimization," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 260-280.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:210:y:2023:i:c:p:260-280
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2023.03.021
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037847542300126X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.matcom.2023.03.021?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chong Wang & Xu Chen, 2015. "Optimal ordering policy for a price-setting newsvendor with option contracts under demand uncertainty," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(20), pages 6279-6293, October.
    2. Xu, Xinsheng & Chan, Chi Kin & Langevin, Andre, 2018. "Coping with risk management and fill rate in the loss-averse newsvendor model," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 296-310.
    3. Feng, Yi & Mu, Yinping & Hu, Benyong & Kumar, Arun, 2014. "Commodity options purchasing and credit financing under capital constraint," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 230-237.
    4. Gotoh, Jun-ya & Takano, Yuichi, 2007. "Newsvendor solutions via conditional value-at-risk minimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 80-96, May.
    5. Mahesh Nagarajan & Steven Shechter, 2014. "Prospect Theory and the Newsvendor Problem," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 1057-1062, April.
    6. Asl-Najafi, Javad & Yaghoubi, Saeed & Zand, Fatemeh, 2021. "Dual-channel supply chain coordination considering targeted capacity allocation under uncertainty," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 566-585.
    7. Chen, Jianxin & Zhang, Tonghua & Zhou, Yongwu, 2020. "Dynamics of a risk-averse newsvendor model with continuous-time delay in supply chain financing," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 133-148.
    8. Wang, Charles X. & Webster, Scott, 2009. "The loss-averse newsvendor problem," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 93-105, February.
    9. Werner Jammernegg & Peter Kischka, 2007. "Risk-averse and risk-taking newsvendors: a conditional expected value approach," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 93-110, April.
    10. Xinsheng Xu & Felix T.S. Chan & Chi Kin Chan, 2019. "Optimal option purchase decision of a loss-averse retailer under emergent replenishment," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(14), pages 4594-4620, July.
    11. Chen, Jianxin & Zhang, Tonghua & Zhou, Yong-wu, 2021. "Stochastic sensitivity and dynamical complexity of newsvendor models subject to trade credit," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 471-486.
    12. Xin-Sheng Xu & Felix T. S. Chan, 2019. "Optimal Option Purchasing Decisions for the Risk-Averse Retailer with Shortage Cost," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 36(02), pages 1-25, April.
    13. Lei Yang & Minghui Xu & Gang Yu & Hanqin Zhang, 2009. "SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION WITH CVaR CRITERION," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 26(01), pages 135-160.
    14. Xinsheng Xu & Hong Yan & Chi Kin Chan, 2017. "Opportunity Loss Minimization and Newsvendor Behavior," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-11, April.
    15. Hu, Chaoming & Wan, Zhao Man & Zhu, Saihua & Wan, Zhong, 2022. "An integrated stochastic model and algorithm for constrained multi-item newsvendor problems by two-stage decision-making approach," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 280-300.
    16. Venu Nagali & Jerry Hwang & David Sanghera & Matt Gaskins & Mark Pridgen & Tim Thurston & Patty Mackenroth & Dwight Branvold & Patrick Scholler & Greg Shoemaker, 2008. "Procurement Risk Management (PRM) at Hewlett-Packard Company," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 38(1), pages 51-60, February.
    17. Zhiming Chen & Kunwen Yuan & Shaorui Zhou, 2019. "Supply chain coordination with trade credit under the CVaR criterion," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(11), pages 3538-3553, June.
    18. Lijing Zhu & Xiaohang Ren & Chulung Lee & Yumeng Zhang, 2017. "Coordination Contracts in a Dual-Channel Supply Chain with a Risk-Averse Retailer," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-21, November.
    19. Wu, Chengfeng & Liu, Xin & Li, Annan, 2021. "A loss-averse retailer–supplier supply chain model under trade credit in a supplier-Stackelberg game," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 353-365.
    20. Wang, Chong & Chen, Jing & Chen, Xu, 2019. "The impact of customer returns and bidirectional option contract on refund price and order decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(1), pages 267-279.
    21. Weili Xue & Xiaolin Xu & Lijun Ma, 2014. "Options Procurement Policy for Option Contracts with Supply and Spot Market Uncertainty," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-7, July.
    22. Qi Fu & Chung-Yee Lee & Chung-Piaw Teo, 2010. "Procurement management using option contracts: random spot price and the portfolio effect," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(11), pages 793-811.
    23. Wang, Limin & Song, Qiankun, 2020. "Pricing policies for dual-channel supply chain with green investment and sales effort under uncertain demand," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 79-93.
    24. Yufei Ren & Rachel Croson, 2013. "Overconfidence in Newsvendor Orders: An Experimental Study," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(11), pages 2502-2517, November.
    25. Maurice E. Schweitzer & Gérard P. Cachon, 2000. "Decision Bias in the Newsvendor Problem with a Known Demand Distribution: Experimental Evidence," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 404-420, March.
    26. Li, Yanhai & Ou, Jinwen, 2022. "Replenishment decisions for complementary components with supply capacity uncertainty under the CVaR criterion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 904-916.
    27. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    28. Wang, Qiang & Wu, Jie & Zhao, Nenggui, 2022. "Optimal operational policies of a dual-channel supply chain considering return service," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 414-437.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gongli Luo & Xiaoqing Liu & Felix T. S. Chan, 2023. "Optimal Ordering Decisions in Portfolio Procurement Considering Spot Price Fluctuation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-13, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xu, Xinsheng & Ji, Ping & Chan, Felix T.S., 2022. "On maximizing a loss-averse buyer’s expected utility in a multi-sourcing problem," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 388-404.
    2. Chen, Jianxin & Hou, Rui & Zhang, Tonghua & Zhou, Yongwu, 2024. "Newsvendor model for a dyadic supply chain with push-pull strategy under shareholding and risk aversion," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 645-662.
    3. Xiaoqing Liu & Felix T. S. Chan & Xinsheng Xu, 2019. "Hedging Risks in the Loss-Averse Newsvendor Problem with Backlogging," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-23, May.
    4. Xin-Sheng Xu & Felix T. S. Chan, 2019. "Optimal Option Purchasing Decisions for the Risk-Averse Retailer with Shortage Cost," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 36(02), pages 1-25, April.
    5. Wei Liu & Shiji Song & Ying Qiao & Han Zhao, 2020. "Supply Chain Coordination with a Loss-Averse Retailer and Combined Contract," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-20, April.
    6. Xinsheng, Xu & Zhiqing, Meng & Rui, Shen & Min, Jiang & Ping, Ji, 2015. "Optimal decisions for the loss-averse newsvendor problem under CVaR," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 146-159.
    7. Wei Liu & Han Zhao & Shiji Song & Wenxuan He & Xiaochen Li, 2021. "Coping with Loss Aversion and Risk Management in the Supply Chain Coordination," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-18, April.
    8. Xinsheng Xu & Zhiqing Meng & Ping Ji & Chuangyin Dang & Hongwei Wang, 2016. "On the newsvendor model with conditional Value-at-Risk of opportunity loss," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(8), pages 2449-2458, April.
    9. Jiarong Luo & Xu Chen & Chong Wang & Gaoxun Zhang, 2021. "Bidirectional options in random yield supply chains with demand and spot price uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 302(1), pages 211-230, July.
    10. Felix T. S. Chan & Xinsheng Xu, 2019. "The Loss-Averse Retailer’s Order Decisions Under Risk Management," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-16, July.
    11. Fan, Yinghua & Feng, Yi & Shou, Yongyi, 2020. "A risk-averse and buyer-led supply chain under option contract: CVaR minimization and channel coordination," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 66-81.
    12. Wang, Daao & Dimitrov, Stanko & Jian, Lirong, 2020. "Optimal inventory decisions for a risk-averse retailer when offering layaway," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 284(1), pages 108-120.
    13. Qin, Yan & Wang, Ruoxuan & Vakharia, Asoo J. & Chen, Yuwen & Seref, Michelle M.H., 2011. "The newsvendor problem: Review and directions for future research," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(2), pages 361-374, September.
    14. Haozhe Huang & Xiaowei Li & Shuai Liu, 2022. "Loss Aversion Order Strategy in Emergency Procurement during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-10, July.
    15. Kirshner, Samuel N. & Shao, Lusheng, 2018. "Internal and external reference effects in a two-tier supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(3), pages 944-957.
    16. Jörnsten, Kurt & Lise Nonås, Sigrid & Sandal, Leif & Ubøe, Jan, 2012. "Transfer of risk in the newsvendor model with discrete demand," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 404-414.
    17. Doran Wood & Sıla Çetinkaya, 2024. "A comparative analysis of how to handle stockout scenarios: the impact of newsvendor’s risk attitude," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 338(2), pages 1187-1218, July.
    18. Wu, Meng & Zhu, Stuart X. & Teunter, Ruud H., 2013. "The risk-averse newsvendor problem with random capacity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 328-336.
    19. Wu, Meng & Zhu, Stuart X. & Teunter, Ruud H., 2014. "A risk-averse competitive newsvendor problem under the CVaR criterion," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 13-23.
    20. Cao, Bing-Bing & Fan, Zhi-Ping & You, Tian-Hui, 2017. "The newsvendor problem with reference dependence, disappointment aversion and elation seeking," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 568-574.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:210:y:2023:i:c:p:260-280. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.