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Supply option purchasing decisions via mismatch cost minimization

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  • Xu, Xinsheng
  • Ji, Ping
  • Sang, Shuming

Abstract

In this paper, the optimal purchasing decisions of the option procurement of newsvendor-type commodities are studied. Based on the mismatch cost minimization criterion, the present study analyzes the option purchasing decisions of a risk-averse newsvendor under the measure of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). For the purpose of controlling the procurement risk, it is found that a newsvendor’s optimal option purchasing decision under the CVaR measure increases at the quantile level under certain conditions. The result provides alternative explanations for a newsvendor’s over-purchasing behaviors in reality. To mitigate the conservativeness of the CVaR measure, a combined objective defined as the mean-CVaR on mismatch cost is introduced, and the optimal option purchasing decision of a newsvendor minimizing the combined objective is derived. The combined objective can strike a balance between the minimization of CVaR of mismatch cost as well as the minimization of expected mismatch cost. In addition, a sensitivity analysis is performed to exhibit the results and managerial insights are presented to hedge against the potential risks for newsvendors in the option purchasing decision-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Xinsheng & Ji, Ping & Sang, Shuming, 2023. "Supply option purchasing decisions via mismatch cost minimization," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 260-280.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:210:y:2023:i:c:p:260-280
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2023.03.021
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