IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v99y2020ics0264837719316278.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Land use change drivers in the Hyrcanian Vegetation Area: Dynamic simultaneous equations system with panel data approach

Author

Listed:
  • Jahanifar, Komeil
  • Amirnejad, Hamid
  • Mojaverian, Seyed Mojtaba
  • Azadi, Hossein

Abstract

This case study has been carried out on the Hyrcanian Vegetation Area (HVA) located in Northern Iran. The current study aimed to identify the drivers and variables that have been effective in the land use changes (LUCs) of forests, rangelands, agricultural lands, and residential areas from 1997 to 2017 in 14 townships. For this purpose, satellite images are prepared and after the processing, the level of change is determined by using the Geospatial monitoring and modeling system. In the following, the level of LUCs along with economic, social, ecological, and legal drivers in the form of a simultaneous equation system was estimated by Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) estimator. LUCs’ results showed that the forest in 1997 was about 623529 ha, and it decreased by 618419 ha in 2017. In addition, the rangeland at the beginning of the period was 914780 ha, and in the end, it reached about 906103 ha. Satellite images showed that about 183592 ha of forests were converted into agricultural lands and about 276091 ha to residential areas. Moreover, in rangelands, 56035 ha of them have been farmed, and about 197894 ha have been changed to residential areas. Furthermore, the results stated that in all scenarios of changes, economic drivers such as income per capita, inflation, and products relative price played the main role. Moreover, social drivers play a significant role in changing the agricultural land and rangeland to residential areas. Factors such as population and the demand for food and housing show that the importance of this issue is more than ever before. Unfortunately, ecological drivers have unexpectedly had the least impact on LUCs. As a result, it is recommended to minimize the cost of agricultural inputs and adjust the market price of products considering the inflation rate. Moreover, population adjustment policies should also be considered to reduce the growing population pressure. Finally, the government should play a more effective role in protecting lands and preventing their change of use. This should be done through making fair distribution policies on wealth, applying the provision of funds and the long-term return to low-income farmers, strengthening the income sources of residents, and by developing and equipping protection units.

Suggested Citation

  • Jahanifar, Komeil & Amirnejad, Hamid & Mojaverian, Seyed Mojtaba & Azadi, Hossein, 2020. "Land use change drivers in the Hyrcanian Vegetation Area: Dynamic simultaneous equations system with panel data approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:99:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719316278
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104954
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837719316278
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104954?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jahanifar, Komeil & Amirnejad, Hamid & Azadi, Hossein & Adenle, Ademola A. & Scheffran, Jürgen, 2019. "Economic analysis of land use changes in forests and rangelands: Developing conservation strategies," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Amirnejad, Hamid & Khalilian, Sadegh & Assareh, Mohammad H. & Ahmadian, Majid, 2006. "Estimating the existence value of north forests of Iran by using a contingent valuation method," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 665-675, July.
    3. Sonter, Laura J. & Johnson, Justin A. & Nicholson, Charles C. & Richardson, Leif L. & Watson, Keri B. & Ricketts, Taylor H., 2017. "Multi-site interactions: Understanding the offsite impacts of land use change on the use and supply of ecosystem services," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 158-164.
    4. Robert Gilmore Pontius & Yan Gao & Nicholas M. Giner & Takashi Kohyama & Mitsuru Osaki & Kazuyo Hirose, 2013. "Design and Interpretation of Intensity Analysis Illustrated by Land Change in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Julie G. Zaehringer & Sandra Eckert & Peter Messerli, 2015. "Revealing Regional Deforestation Dynamics in North-Eastern Madagascar—Insights from Multi-Temporal Land Cover Change Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-21, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yunfei Peng & Fangling Yang & Lingwei Zhu & Ruru Li & Chao Wu & Deng Chen, 2021. "Comparative Analysis of the Factors Influencing Land Use Change for Emerging Industry and Traditional Industry: A Case Study of Shenzhen City, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, May.
    2. Movahedi, Reza & Jawanmardi, Sina & Azadi, Hossein & Goli, Imaneh & Viira, Ants-Hannes & Witlox, Frank, 2021. "Why do farmers abandon agricultural lands? The case of Western Iran," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    3. Zhuang, Zheng-Yun & Chung, Cheng-Kung, 2024. "Dissecting the visiting willingness of driving visitors facing a retail market's dual-pricing policy for parking," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ali Kourosh Niya & Jinliang Huang & Hazhir Karimi & Hamidreza Keshtkar & Babak Naimi, 2019. "Use of Intensity Analysis to Characterize Land Use/Cover Change in the Biggest Island of Persian Gulf, Qeshm Island, Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Evelyn Asante-Yeboah & George Ashiagbor & Kwabena Asubonteng & Stefan Sieber & Justice C. Mensah & Christine Fürst, 2022. "Analyzing Variations in Size and Intensities in Land Use Dynamics for Sustainable Land Use Management: A Case of the Coastal Landscapes of South-Western Ghana," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-28, May.
    3. Massimo Florio & Francesco Giffoni & Gelsomina Catalano, 2020. "Should governments fund basic science? Evidence from a willingness-to-pay experiment in five universities," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 16-33, January.
    4. Zhiwei Deng & Bin Quan, 2022. "Intensity Characteristics and Multi-Scenario Projection of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Hengyang, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-18, July.
    5. Syed Amir Manzoor & Geoffrey Hugh Griffiths & Elizabeth Robinson & Kikuko Shoyama & Martin Lukac, 2022. "Linking Pattern to Process: Intensity Analysis of Land-Change Dynamics in Ghana as Correlated to Past Socioeconomic and Policy Contexts," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-16, July.
    6. Nyamekye, Clement & Kwofie, Samuel & Ghansah, Benjamin & Agyapong, Emmanuel & Boamah, Linda Appiah, 2020. "Assessing urban growth in Ghana using machine learning and intensity analysis: A case study of the New Juaben Municipality," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    7. Yongjiu Feng & Jiafeng Wang & Xiaohua Tong & Yang Liu & Zhenkun Lei & Chen Gao & Shurui Chen, 2018. "The Effect of Observation Scale on Urban Growth Simulation Using Particle Swarm Optimization-Based CA Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-20, November.
    8. Jette Jacobsen & Nick Hanley, 2009. "Are There Income Effects on Global Willingness to Pay for Biodiversity Conservation?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 43(2), pages 137-160, June.
    9. A. Asciuto & V. Borsellino & M. D'Acquisto & C.P. Di Franco & M. Di Gesaro & E. Schimmenti, 2015. "Monumental trees and their existence value: the case study of an Italian natural park," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 55-61.
    10. Saengsupavanich, Cherdvong & Seenprachawong, Udomsak & Gallardo, Wenresti G. & Shivakoti, Ganesh P., 2008. "Port-induced erosion prediction and valuation of a local recreational beach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 93-103, August.
    11. Tuan, Tran Hu & Lindhjem, Henrik, 2008. "Meta-analysis of nature conservation values in Asia & Oceania: Data heterogeneity and benefit transfer issues," MPRA Paper 11470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Dadirai Matarira & Onisimo Mutanga & Maheshvari Naidu & Terence Darlington Mushore & Marco Vizzari, 2023. "Characterizing Informal Settlement Dynamics Using Google Earth Engine and Intensity Analysis in Durban Metropolitan Area, South Africa: Linking Pattern to Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, February.
    13. Akinyemi, Felicia O. & Mashame, Gofamodimo, 2018. "Analysis of land change in the dryland agricultural landscapes of eastern Botswana," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 798-811.
    14. Barrio, Melina & Loureiro, Maria L., 2010. "A meta-analysis of contingent valuation forest studies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(5), pages 1023-1030, March.
    15. George Halkos & Aikaterini Leonti & Eleni Sardianou, 2020. "Assessing the Preservation of Parks and Natural Protected Areas: A Review of Contingent Valuation Studies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-24, June.
    16. Majid Kholuzini Sharahi & Mohamad Hosein Mohamadi & Azam Abedini, 2015. "Estimating the Outdoor Recreational Value of Chitgar Forestial Park of Tehran with the Use of Contingent Valuation Method (CV)," Journal of Economic Development, Environment and People, Alliance of Central-Eastern European Universities, vol. 4(4), pages 64-75, December.
    17. Min-Ki Hyun & Jungho Nam & Seung-Hoon Yoo, 2024. "Public Willingness to Pay for Interstate Cooperation to Preserve the Ecological Integrity of the Han River Estuary in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-17, April.
    18. Moritz A. Drupp & Zachary M. Turk & Ben Groom & Jonas Heckenhahn, 2023. "Limited substitutability, relative price changes and the uplifting of public natural capital values," Papers 2308.04400, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    19. Massimo FLORIO & Francesco GIFFONI, 2017. "Willingness-to-Pay for Science as a Public Good: A Contingent Valuation Experiment," Departmental Working Papers 2017-17, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    20. Pek, Chuen-Khee & Tee, Chee-Hoong & Ng, Phuay-Ying, 2010. "A Contingent Valuation Estimation of Hill Recreational and Services Values in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 23125, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:99:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719316278. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.