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Local biophysical effects of land use and land cover change: towards an assessment tool for policy makers

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  • Duveiller, Gregory
  • Caporaso, Luca
  • Abad-Viñas, Raul
  • Perugini, Lucia
  • Grassi, Giacomo
  • Arneth, Almut
  • Cescatti, Alessandro

Abstract

Land use and land cover change (LULCC) affects the climate through both biogeochemical (BGC) and biophysical (BPH) mechanisms. While BGC effects are assessed at global scale and are at the heart of climate treaties such as the Paris Agreement, BPH effects are totally absent despite their increasingly recognized impact, especially at local scale. This stems from the complexity in characterizing their climate impacts both at local and global scale, which makes it impractical to offer clear advices for the development of climate policies. To overcome this barrier, we built a prototype for an assessment tool to evaluate the local BPH impact of a series of land cover transitions. It relies on a dedicated methodology, based on satellite remote sensing data, that can estimate the local change in near surface air temperature associated with BPH effects of potential LULCC. This tool follows a tiered methodological approach, using transparent methods and mirroring what is currently provided by the IPCC to estimate the BGC effects, i.e. through different levels of increasing methodological complexity, from Tier 1 (i.e. default method and factors) to Tier 2 (i.e. similar to Tier 1 but with higher level of details and complexity) and Tier 3 (i.e. tailored solution to address national circumstances). The prototype tool enables the evaluation of the local impacts of land-related BPH effects, therefore facilitating a scientifically informed and comprehensive assessment of land-based climate policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Duveiller, Gregory & Caporaso, Luca & Abad-Viñas, Raul & Perugini, Lucia & Grassi, Giacomo & Arneth, Almut & Cescatti, Alessandro, 2020. "Local biophysical effects of land use and land cover change: towards an assessment tool for policy makers," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:91:y:2020:i:c:s0264837718311554
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104382
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    8. Smiley, Kevin T. & Hakkenberg, Christopher R., 2020. "Race and affluence shape spatio-temporal urbanization trends in Greater Houston, 1997 to 2016," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    9. Juliana Freitas Santos & Udo Schickhoff & Shabeh ul Hasson & Jürgen Böhner, 2023. "Biogeophysical Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes in South Asia: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-25, April.
    10. Chasia, Stanley & Olang, Luke O. & Sitoki, Lewis, 2023. "Modelling of land-use/cover change trajectories in a transboundary catchment of the Sio-Malaba-Malakisi Region in East Africa using the CLUE-s model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 476(C).
    11. Hossein Azadi & Guy Robinson & Ali Akbar Barati & Imaneh Goli & Saghi Movahhed Moghaddam & Narges Siamian & Rando Värnik & Rong Tan & Kristina Janečková, 2023. "Smart Land Governance: Towards a Conceptual Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, March.
    12. Xiao Zhao & Mengyao Zhu & Dandan Liu & Siqi Xu & Siyu Ye & Shuang Wang & Yaoping Cui & Shenghui Zhou, 2022. "Exploring the Ecological Climate Effects of Different Land Use Changes in the Yangtze River Basin from 2000 to 2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, September.
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