IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v100y2021ics0264837718317885.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Land use and cover modeling as a tool for analyzing nature conservation policies – A case study of Juréia-Itatins

Author

Listed:
  • Assaf, Camila
  • Adams, Cristina
  • Ferreira, Fernando Fagundes
  • França, Helena

Abstract

Land Use and Cover Changes (LUCCs) have been a cause of great concern for socio-environmental sustainability. Applied study in this field should take into account the history of the interaction between man and nature, and the effect on the landscape that this dynamic projects. This paper’s objective is to assess LUCCs with regard to the effect of a nature conservation policy and correlate such changes with the practice of shifting cultivation. For that, historical aerial photos of the study site (a protected area located in São Paulo, Brazil) were analyzed and Markov and Cellular Automata models were built and compared to simulate different scenarios, including a counterfactual one. The results showed that the policy was important to stop pressures against nature conservation and that there is a lack of correlation between shifting cultivation and reducing forest cover, highlighting the fact that the ban on shifting cultivation, justified by nature conservation, can be overestimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Assaf, Camila & Adams, Cristina & Ferreira, Fernando Fagundes & França, Helena, 2021. "Land use and cover modeling as a tool for analyzing nature conservation policies – A case study of Juréia-Itatins," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:100:y:2021:i:c:s0264837718317885
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104895
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837718317885
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104895?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bell, E. J. & Hinojosa, R. C., 1977. "Markov analysis of land use change: Continuous time and stationary processes," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 13-17.
    2. Nicholas R Magliocca & Daniel G Brown & Erle C Ellis, 2014. "Cross-Site Comparison of Land-Use Decision-Making and Its Consequences across Land Systems with a Generalized Agent-Based Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, January.
    3. Amadou, Mahamadou L. & Villamor, Grace B. & Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas, 2018. "Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 196-209.
    4. Courage Kamusoko & Yukio Wada & Toru Furuya & Shunsuke Tomimura & Mitsuru Nasu & Khamma Homsysavath, 2013. "Simulating Future Forest Cover Changes in Pakxeng District, Lao People’s Democratic Republic (PDR): Implications for Sustainable Forest Management," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, January.
    5. Norman Myers & Russell A. Mittermeier & Cristina G. Mittermeier & Gustavo A. B. da Fonseca & Jennifer Kent, 2000. "Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities," Nature, Nature, vol. 403(6772), pages 853-858, February.
    6. Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho & Daniel Curtis Nepstad & Lisa M. Curran & Gustavo Coutinho Cerqueira & Ricardo Alexandrino Garcia & Claudia Azevedo Ramos & Eliane Voll & Alice McDonald & Paul Lefebvre, 2006. "Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin," Nature, Nature, vol. 440(7083), pages 520-523, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Changjun Gu & Pei Zhao & Qiong Chen & Shicheng Li & Lanhui Li & Linshan Liu & Yili Zhang, 2020. "Forest Cover Change and the Effectiveness of Protected Areas in the Himalaya since 1998," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-24, July.
    2. A.S. Duden & P.A. Verweij & A.P.C. Faaij & D. Baisero & C. Rondinini & F. van der Hilst, 2020. "Biodiversity Impacts of Increased Ethanol Production in Brazil," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, January.
    3. Campos, Pedro Bueno Rocha & Almeida, Cláudia Maria de & Queiroz, Alfredo Pereira de, 2018. "Educational infrastructure and its impact on urban land use change in a peri-urban area: a cellular-automata based approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 774-788.
    4. Syed Amir Manzoor & Geoffrey Griffiths & David Christian Rose & Martin Lukac, 2021. "The Return of Wooded Landscapes in Wales: An Exploration of Possible Post-Brexit Futures," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
    5. Giulio Volpi, 2007. "Climate Mitigation, Deforestation and Human Development in Brazil," Human Development Occasional Papers (1992-2007) HDOCPA-2007-39, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
    6. Laxmi D. Bhatta & Sunita Chaudhary & Anju Pandit & Himlal Baral & Partha J. Das & Nigel E. Stork, 2016. "Ecosystem Service Changes and Livelihood Impacts in the Maguri-Motapung Wetlands of Assam, India," Land, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-14, June.
    7. Ferraro, Diego O. & Ghersa, Felipe & Castro, Rodrigo, 2024. "Predicting land use and environmental dynamics in Argentina's Pampas region: An agent-based modeling approach across varied price and climatic scenarios," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 498(C).
    8. McLennan, D. & Sharma, R., 2012. "The Delivering Ecological Services Index (DESI)," Working papers 119, Rimisp Latin American Center for Rural Development.
    9. Klaus Jaffe, 2015. "Agent based simulations visualize Adam Smith's invisible hand by solving Friedrich Hayek's Economic Calculus," Papers 1509.04264, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.
    10. Caviedes, Julián & Ibarra, José Tomás & Calvet-Mir, Laura & Álvarez-Fernández, Santiago & Junqueira, André Braga, 2024. "Indigenous and local knowledge on social-ecological changes is positively associated with livelihood resilience in a Globally Important Agricultural Heritage System," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Maeda, Eduardo Eiji & Clark, Barnaby J.F. & Pellikka, Petri & Siljander, Mika, 2010. "Modelling agricultural expansion in Kenya's Eastern Arc Mountains biodiversity hotspot," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(9), pages 609-620, November.
    12. Sébastien Marchand, 2011. "Technical Efficiency, Farm Size and Tropical Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazonian Forest," Working Papers halshs-00552981, HAL.
    13. Aibo Jin & Gachen Zhang & Ping Ma & Xiangrong Wang, 2024. "Ecosystem Services Trade-Offs in the Chaohu Lake Basin Based on Land-Use Scenario Simulations," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-29, December.
    14. Jaiswal, Sreeja & Balietti, Anca & Schäffer, Daniel, 2023. "Environmental Protection and Labor Market Composition," Working Papers 0736, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    15. Chomitz, Kenneth M. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Brandão, Antônio Salazar P., 2005. "The economic and environmental impact of trade in forest reserve obligations: a simulation analysis of options for dealing with habitat heterogeneity," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 43(4), January.
    16. Claudia Suzanne Marie Nathalie Vitel & Gabriel Cardoso Carrero & Mariano Colini Cenamo & Maya Leroy & Paulo Mauricio Lima A. Graça & Philip Martin Fearnside, 2013. "Land-use Change Modeling in a Brazilian Indigenous Reserve: Construction of a Reference Scenario for the Suruí REDD Project," Post-Print hal-01466513, HAL.
    17. Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero & Charlotte H. Chang & Toby A. Gardner & Mariluce Rezende Messias & William J. Sutherland & Fernanda A. C. Delben, 2017. "Habitat Loss on Rondon’s Marmoset Potential Distribution," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-15, January.
    18. Xinba Li & Weidong Li & Chuanrong Zhang, 2024. "Time-Lag Transiograms and Their Implications for Landscape Change Characterization," Stats, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-19, December.
    19. Elisa Barbour & Lara Kueppers, 2012. "Conservation and management of ecological systems in a changing California," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(1), pages 135-163, March.
    20. Tyler M Harms & Kevin T Murphy & Xiaodan Lyu & Shane S Patterson & Karen E Kinkead & Stephen J Dinsmore & Paul W Frese, 2017. "Using landscape habitat associations to prioritize areas of conservation action for terrestrial birds," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:100:y:2021:i:c:s0264837718317885. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.