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The asymmetric effect of oil price, news-based uncertainty, and COVID-19 pandemic on equity market

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  • Li, Cong
  • Lin, Shiwei
  • Sun, Yihan
  • Afshan, Sahar
  • Yaqoob, Tanzeela

Abstract

Equity markets are prone to several external factors, especially in the lethal pandemic situation when the uncertainty regarding the spread of the COVID disrupts the daily financial and economic activities along with the sharp decline in the oil price causing severe devastations to people not just in terms of life and health but also in the form of finance. Therefore, to assess the presence of empirical association of the oil price, Covid-19, and news-based uncertainty with the equity market condition, the method of QARDL was applied in the current investigation. The results revealed that the relationship of OIL was found to be positive and significant across all of the quantiles of the Stock Price Index (SPI); news-based uncertainty was found to be negative and significant across all of the quantiles of SPI, whereas COVID19 has the negative and significant impact on SPI only in the bearish and stable market conditions. Based on the findings, balance government interventions are recommended, balancing the generation of economic activities and counter COVID spread.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Cong & Lin, Shiwei & Sun, Yihan & Afshan, Sahar & Yaqoob, Tanzeela, 2022. "The asymmetric effect of oil price, news-based uncertainty, and COVID-19 pandemic on equity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:77:y:2022:i:c:s030142072200188x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102740
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