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Predicting the economic and demographic impacts of long distance commuting in the resources sector: A Surat basin case study

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  • Rolfe, John

Abstract

Predicting the economic and demographic impacts of resource development on regional areas is difficult to assess because of limited availability of analysis, difficulties of predicting where workforce are likely to be based, and different impacts on communities because of variations in size and economic structures. In this study modelling has been employed to identify future employment and demographic impacts of future resource developments on communities in the Surat Basin in southern Queensland, Australia. The analysis summarises potential employment increases over multiple projects and uses multipliers from Input–Output models to assess likely impacts by local government area when future workforce might commute to or live locally in the region. The results demonstrate that recent moves to commuting workforces limit the economic impacts on local and regional communities in complex ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Rolfe, John, 2013. "Predicting the economic and demographic impacts of long distance commuting in the resources sector: A Surat basin case study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 723-732.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:38:y:2013:i:4:p:723-732
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.03.002
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    1. W. Max Corden, 2012. "Dutch Disease in Australia: Policy Options for a Three-Speed Economy," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 45(3), pages 290-304, September.
    2. John Rolfe & Daniel Gregg & Galina Ivanova & Reuben Lawrence & David Rynne, 2011. "The Economic Contribution of the Resources Sector by Regional Areas in Queensland," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 15-36, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Manuel Pérez-Trujillo & Mauricio Oyarzo Aguilar & Dusan Paredes Araya, 2020. "Long-distance commuting and the effect of differentiated salary expectations in the commuters’ place of living on the wage obtained in the place of working," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 65(2), pages 459-489, October.
    2. Atienza, Miguel & Fleming-Muñoz, David & Aroca, Patricio, 2021. "Territorial development and mining. Insights and challenges from the Chilean case," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Franks, Daniel M. & Brereton, David & Moran, Chris J., 2013. "The cumulative dimensions of impact in resource regions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 640-647.
    4. David A. Fleming & Thomas G. Measham & Dusan Paredes, 2015. "Understanding the resource curse (or blessing) across national and regional scales: Theory, empirical challenges and an application," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(4), pages 624-639, October.
    5. Fleming, David A. & Measham, Thomas G., 2014. "Local job multipliers of mining," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 9-15.
    6. Viviana Carriel & Manuel Pérez‐Trujillo & Marcelo Lufin & Miguel Atienza, 2024. "The impact of long‐distance commuting on salaries and employment in host regions in Chile," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(2), pages 462-490, March.
    7. Viviana Carriel & Marcelo Lufin & Manuel Pérez-Trujillo, 2022. "Do workers negative self-select when they commute? Evidence for the Chilean case of long-distance commuting," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 255-279, August.
    8. De Valck, Jeremy & Williams, Galina & Kuik, Swee, 2021. "Does coal mining benefit local communities in the long run? A sustainability perspective on regional Queensland, Australia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Windle, Jill & Rolfe, John, 2014. "Valuation framing and attribute scope variation in a choice experiment to asses the impacts of changing land use from agriculture to mining," 2014 Conference (58th), February 4-7, 2014, Port Macquarie, Australia 165888, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    10. Fleming, David A. & Measham, Thomas G., 2015. "Local economic impacts of an unconventional energy boom: the coal seam gas industry in Australia," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(1), January.
    11. Measham, Thomas & Fleming, David & Schandl, Heinz, 2015. "A Conceptual Model of the Socioeconomic Impacts of Unconventional Fossil Fuel Extraction," MPRA Paper 68523, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Nov 2015.

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