IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jotrge/v54y2016icp310-324.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling and analysing effects of complex seasonality and weather on an area's daily transit ridership rate

Author

Listed:
  • Kashfi, Syeed Anta
  • Bunker, Jonathan M.
  • Yigitcanlar, Tan

Abstract

Adverse weather is generally perceived as deterrent for public transit uses. This has also been highlighted in previous literatures. In contrary, our previous study found no association between weather and transit ridership while investigating the underlying temporal influences behind variation in daily ridership across the sub-tropical city of Brisbane, Australia. This contraindication led to the primary focus of this research. This research acknowledged that Inclusion of weather variables in conjunction with other relatively strong independent variables might result in washout of the weather effects on ridership. Variables such as rainfall do not recur on a daily basis throughout the year. Thus, generalising their effect on ridership with other independent variables that consistently influence ridership may create a similar problem. Hence, weather variables were converted into their normalised factors and combined with other independent variables while formulated the optimised the daily ridership rate estimation model. Several models were developed concerning various combinations of weather variables and through rigorous analysis it was identified that only the rain variable has noticeable effect on daily ridership. Evidently, this study functions as an update of our former study by directing towards a new approach to the analysis of the relationship between weather and transit ridership.

Suggested Citation

  • Kashfi, Syeed Anta & Bunker, Jonathan M. & Yigitcanlar, Tan, 2016. "Modelling and analysing effects of complex seasonality and weather on an area's daily transit ridership rate," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 310-324.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:54:y:2016:i:c:p:310-324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.06.018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0966692316300618
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.06.018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Singhal, Abhishek & Kamga, Camille & Yazici, Anil, 2014. "Impact of weather on urban transit ridership," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 379-391.
    2. Arana, P. & Cabezudo, S. & Peñalba, M., 2014. "Influence of weather conditions on transit ridership: A statistical study using data from Smartcards," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-12.
    3. Kalkstein, Adam J & Kuby, Michael & Gerrity, Daniel & Clancy, James J, 2009. "An analysis of air mass effects on rail ridership in three US cities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 198-207.
    4. Nankervis, Max, 1999. "The effect of weather and climate on bicycle commuting," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 417-431, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Junlong & Li, Xuhong & Chen, Dawei & Godding, Lucy, 2018. "Assessment of metro ridership fluctuation caused by weather conditions in Asian context: Using archived weather and ridership data in Nanjing," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 356-368.
    2. Zhao, Jinbao & Wang, Jian & Xing, Zhaomin & Luan, Xin & Jiang, Yang, 2018. "Weather and cycling: Mining big data to have an in-depth understanding of the association of weather variability with cycling on an off-road trail and an on-road bike lane," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 119-135.
    3. Wei, Ming, 2022. "How does the weather affect public transit ridership? A model with weather-passenger variations," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Zhou, Kaile & Hu, Dingding & Li, Fangyi, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on private driving behavior: Evidence from electric vehicle charging data," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 164-178.
    5. Zhou, Yufeng & Li, Zihao & Meng, Yangyang & Li, Zhongwen & Zhong, Maohua, 2021. "Analyzing spatio-temporal impacts of extreme rainfall events on metro ridership characteristics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 577(C).
    6. Yang, Xiaobao & Yue, Xianfei & Sun, Huijun & Gao, Ziyou & Wang, Wencheng, 2021. "Impact of weather on freeway origin-destination volume in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 30-47.
    7. Liping Ge & Malek Sarhani & Stefan Voß & Lin Xie, 2021. "Review of Transit Data Sources: Potentials, Challenges and Complementarity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-37, October.
    8. Kevin Lanza & Casey P. Durand, 2021. "Heat-Moderating Effects of Bus Stop Shelters and Tree Shade on Public Transport Ridership," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-15, January.
    9. Wei, Ming & Liu, Yan & Sigler, Thomas & Liu, Xiaoyang & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2019. "The influence of weather conditions on adult transit ridership in the sub-tropics," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 106-118.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wei, Ming & Liu, Yan & Sigler, Thomas & Liu, Xiaoyang & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2019. "The influence of weather conditions on adult transit ridership in the sub-tropics," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 106-118.
    2. Li, Junlong & Li, Xuhong & Chen, Dawei & Godding, Lucy, 2018. "Assessment of metro ridership fluctuation caused by weather conditions in Asian context: Using archived weather and ridership data in Nanjing," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 356-368.
    3. Yang, Xiaobao & Yue, Xianfei & Sun, Huijun & Gao, Ziyou & Wang, Wencheng, 2021. "Impact of weather on freeway origin-destination volume in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 30-47.
    4. Zanni, Alberto M. & Ryley, Tim J., 2015. "The impact of extreme weather conditions on long distance travel behaviour," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 305-319.
    5. Miao, Qing & Welch, Eric W. & Sriraj, P.S., 2019. "Extreme weather, public transport ridership and moderating effect of bus stop shelters," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 125-133.
    6. Wu, Jingwen & Liao, Hua, 2020. "Weather, travel mode choice, and impacts on subway ridership in Beijing," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 264-279.
    7. Kashfi, Syeed Anta & Bunker, Jonathan M. & Yigitcanlar, Tan, 2015. "Understanding the effects of complex seasonality on suburban daily transit ridership," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 67-80.
    8. Wu, Pan & Xu, Lunhui & Zhong, Lingshu & Gao, Kun & Qu, Xiaobo & Pei, Mingyang, 2022. "Revealing the determinants of the intermodal transfer ratio between metro and bus systems considering spatial variations," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Bean, Richard & Pojani, Dorina & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2021. "How does weather affect bikeshare use? A comparative analysis of forty cities across climate zones," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    10. Hyungkyoo Kim & Elizabeth Macdonald, 2016. "Does Wind Discourage Sustainable Transportation Mode Choice? Findings from San Francisco, California, USA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, March.
    11. Markolf, Samuel A. & Hoehne, Christopher & Fraser, Andrew & Chester, Mikhail V. & Underwood, B. Shane, 2019. "Transportation resilience to climate change and extreme weather events – Beyond risk and robustness," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 174-186.
    12. Timothy Otim & Leandro Dörfer & Dina Bousdar Ahmed & Estefania Munoz Diaz, 2022. "Modeling the Impact of Weather and Context Data on Transport Mode Choices: A Case Study of GPS Trajectories from Beijing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-18, May.
    13. Morton, Craig, 2020. "The demand for cycle sharing: Examining the links between weather conditions, air quality levels, and cycling demand for regular and casual users," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Peng Guo & Yanling Sun & Qiyi Chen & Junrong Li & Zifei Liu, 2022. "The Impact of Rainfall on Urban Human Mobility from Taxi GPS Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-16, July.
    15. Wei, Ming, 2022. "Investigating the influence of weather on public transit passenger’s travel behaviour: Empirical findings from Brisbane, Australia," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 36-51.
    16. Jiang, Shixiong & Guan, Wei & Zhang, Wenyi & Chen, Xu & Yang, Liu, 2017. "Human mobility in space from three modes of public transportation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 227-238.
    17. Tao, Sui & Corcoran, Jonathan & Hickman, Mark & Stimson, Robert, 2016. "The influence of weather on local geographical patterns of bus usage," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 66-80.
    18. Pan Wu & Jinlong Li & Yuzhuang Pian & Xiaochen Li & Zilin Huang & Lunhui Xu & Guilin Li & Ruonan Li, 2022. "How Determinants Affect Transfer Ridership between Metro and Bus Systems: A Multivariate Generalized Poisson Regression Analysis Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-31, August.
    19. Kevin Lanza & Casey P. Durand, 2021. "Heat-Moderating Effects of Bus Stop Shelters and Tree Shade on Public Transport Ridership," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-15, January.
    20. Najafabadi, Shirin & Hamidi, Ali & Allahviranloo, Mahdieh & Devineni, Naresh, 2019. "Does demand for subway ridership in Manhattan depend on the rainfall events?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 201-213.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:54:y:2016:i:c:p:310-324. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-transport-geography .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.