IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jomega/v40y2012i1p21-30.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hedging against disruptions with ripple effects in location analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Liberatore, Federico
  • Scaparra, Maria P.
  • Daskin, Mark S.

Abstract

Supply systems are subject to disruptions whose impact may not remain confined, but might actually propagate across the network. We consider the problem of optimally protecting a capacitated median system with a limited amount of protective resources subject to disruptions. Specifically, the type of disruption studied is characterized by correlation effects between the facilities, and may result in partial or complete disruption of the facilities involved. The model optimizes protection plans in the face of large area disruptions; i.e., disruptions that affect regions rather than single elements of the system. Examples may be earthquakes, storms, floods, fires, hurricanes, droughts, the spread of diseases, the spread of chemical agents, and cascading failures. The model is also a general framework for the family of fortification problems in the context of location analysis, as it includes uncapacitated facilities and single-target disruptions as special cases. We provide a tri-level formulation of the problem, and we propose an exact solution algorithm which makes use of a tree-search procedure to identify which facilities to protect. The procedure is enhanced by a dual-based pruning rule. The underlying disruption problem is reformulated as a single-level mixed-integer program. The algorithm has been tested on a dataset based on the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake. We verify empirically the efficiency of the pruning rule, and we provide an evaluation of the importance of considering propagation effects in the disruptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Liberatore, Federico & Scaparra, Maria P. & Daskin, Mark S., 2012. "Hedging against disruptions with ripple effects in location analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 21-30, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:40:y:2012:i:1:p:21-30
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305048311000533
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rocco S, Claudio M. & Ramirez-Marquez, José Emmanuel, 2009. "Deterministic network interdiction optimization via an evolutionary approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 568-576.
    2. Scaparra, Maria P. & Church, Richard L., 2008. "An exact solution approach for the interdiction median problem with fortification," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 76-92, August.
    3. Fred Glover, 1975. "Improved Linear Integer Programming Formulations of Nonlinear Integer Problems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(4), pages 455-460, December.
    4. Azaiez, M.N. & Bier, Vicki M., 2007. "Optimal resource allocation for security in reliability systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 181(2), pages 773-786, September.
    5. Ossama Kettani & Muhittin Oral, 1990. "Equivalent Formulations of Nonlinear Integer Problems for Efficient Optimization," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(1), pages 115-119, January.
    6. (Noel) Bryson, Kweku-Muata & Millar, Harvey & Joseph, Anito & Mobolurin, Ayodele, 2002. "Using formal MS/OR modeling to support disaster recovery planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 679-688, September.
    7. Ramirez-Marquez, José Emmanuel & Rocco S., Claudio M., 2009. "Stochastic network interdiction optimization via capacitated network reliability modeling and probabilistic solution discovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(5), pages 913-921.
    8. Rocco S., Claudio M. & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, José & Salazar A., Daniel E., 2010. "Bi and tri-objective optimization in the deterministic network interdiction problem," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(8), pages 887-896.
    9. Richard Wollmer, 1964. "Removing Arcs from a Network," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 12(6), pages 934-940, December.
    10. Jun Zhuang & Vicki M. Bier, 2007. "Balancing Terrorism and Natural Disasters---Defensive Strategy with Endogenous Attacker Effort," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 976-991, October.
    11. J. Cole Smith & Churlzu Lim, 2008. "Algorithms for Network Interdiction and Fortification Games," Springer Optimization and Its Applications, in: Altannar Chinchuluun & Panos M. Pardalos & Athanasios Migdalas & Leonidas Pitsoulis (ed.), Pareto Optimality, Game Theory And Equilibria, pages 609-644, Springer.
    12. Chang, Ching-Ter, 2000. "An efficient linearization approach for mixed-integer problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 652-659, June.
    13. Altay, Nezih & Green III, Walter G., 2006. "OR/MS research in disaster operations management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 175(1), pages 475-493, November.
    14. Alan Murray & Timothy Matisziw & Tony Grubesic, 2007. "Critical network infrastructure analysis: interdiction and system flow," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 103-117, June.
    15. Bana e Costa, Carlos A. & Oliveira, Carlos S. & Vieira, Victor, 2008. "Prioritization of bridges and tunnels in earthquake risk mitigation using multicriteria decision analysis: Application to Lisbon," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 442-450, June.
    16. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco S, Claudio M. & Levitin, Gregory, 2009. "Optimal protection of general source–sink networks via evolutionary techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(10), pages 1676-1684.
    17. Garg, Manish & Smith, J. Cole, 2008. "Models and algorithms for the design of survivable multicommodity flow networks with general failure scenarios," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1057-1071, December.
    18. Konak, Abdullah & Bartolacci, Michael R., 2007. "Designing survivable resilient networks: A stochastic hybrid genetic algorithm approach," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 645-658, December.
    19. Lawrence V. Snyder & Mark S. Daskin, 2005. "Reliability Models for Facility Location: The Expected Failure Cost Case," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(3), pages 400-416, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Levitin, G. & Gertsbakh, I. & Shpungin, Y., 2013. "Evaluating the damage associated with intentional supply deprivation in multi-commodity network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 11-17.
    2. Chi Zhang & Jose Ramirez-Marquez, 2013. "Protecting critical infrastructures against intentional attacks: a two-stage game with incomplete information," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 244-258.
    3. Levitin, G. & Gertsbakh, I. & Shpungin, Y., 2011. "Evaluating the damage associated with intentional network disintegration," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 433-439.
    4. Yaghlane, Asma Ben & Azaiez, M. Naceur & Mrad, Mehdi, 2019. "System survivability in the context of interdiction networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 362-371.
    5. Losada, Chaya & Scaparra, M. Paola & O’Hanley, Jesse R., 2012. "Optimizing system resilience: A facility protection model with recovery time," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 217(3), pages 519-530.
    6. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco S, Claudio M. & Levitin, Gregory, 2009. "Optimal protection of general source–sink networks via evolutionary techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(10), pages 1676-1684.
    7. Sarhadi, Hassan & Tulett, David M. & Verma, Manish, 2017. "An analytical approach to the protection planning of a rail intermodal terminal network," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(2), pages 511-525.
    8. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco, Claudio M. & Levitin, Gregory, 2011. "Optimal network protection against diverse interdictor strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 374-382.
    9. Bier, Vicki M. & Hausken, Kjell, 2013. "Defending and attacking a network of two arcs subject to traffic congestion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 214-224.
    10. Zhang, Chi & Ramirez-Marquez, José Emmanuel & Wang, Jianhui, 2015. "Critical infrastructure protection using secrecy – A discrete simultaneous game," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 212-221.
    11. Li, Y.F. & Sansavini, G. & Zio, E., 2013. "Non-dominated sorting binary differential evolution for the multi-objective optimization of cascading failures protection in complex networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 195-205.
    12. Starita, Stefano & Scaparra, Maria Paola, 2016. "Optimizing dynamic investment decisions for railway systems protection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(2), pages 543-557.
    13. Rocco S., Claudio M. & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, José & Salazar A., Daniel E., 2010. "Bi and tri-objective optimization in the deterministic network interdiction problem," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(8), pages 887-896.
    14. Yan, Xihong & Ren, Xiaorong & Nie, Xiaofeng, 2022. "A budget allocation model for domestic airport network protection," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).
    15. Paola Cappanera & Maria Paola Scaparra, 2011. "Optimal Allocation of Protective Resources in Shortest-Path Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(1), pages 64-80, February.
    16. Ramirez-Marquez, José Emmanuel & Li, Qing, 2018. "Locating and protecting facilities from intentional attacks using secrecyAuthor-Name: Zhang, Chi," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 51-62.
    17. Parajuli, Anubhuti & Kuzgunkaya, Onur & Vidyarthi, Navneet, 2017. "Responsive contingency planning of capacitated supply networks under disruption risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 13-37.
    18. Smith, J. Cole & Song, Yongjia, 2020. "A survey of network interdiction models and algorithms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(3), pages 797-811.
    19. Peng, R. & Zhai, Q.Q. & Levitin, G., 2016. "Defending a single object against an attacker trying to detect a subset of false targets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 137-147.
    20. Ben Yaghlane, Asma & Azaiez, M. Naceur, 2017. "Systems under attack-survivability rather than reliability: Concept, results, and applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(3), pages 1156-1164.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:40:y:2012:i:1:p:21-30. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/375/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.