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Asymmetric effects of uncertainty on investment: Empirical evidence from India

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  • Adil, Masudul Hasan
  • Roy, Amrita

Abstract

Investment is envisaged as a prerequisite for improving productivity and growth in any economy. In India, investment has decelerated during the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008, especially after 2011–12, which has spurred a heated discussion regarding causes accountable for elongated slowdown. To this end, we empirically examine the causal nexus between investment and its covariates in an asymmetric framework. The present study finds asymmetric cointegration along with short-run impact asymmetry, long-run reaction asymmetry, and adjustment asymmetry between investment and its covariates. Furthermore, evidence of asymmetric Granger causality is also established. Our study's conclusions have important policy outcomes to combat the economy's downturn in investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Adil, Masudul Hasan & Roy, Amrita, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of uncertainty on investment: Empirical evidence from India," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:29:y:2024:i:c:s1703494924000082
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2024.e00359
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Policy uncertainty; Investment; Asymmetric ARDL; Asymmetric granger-causality; Nonlinear unit root; COVID-19; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E71 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy

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