IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jmvana/v202y2024ics0047259x24000228.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Efficient calibration of computer models with multivariate output

Author

Listed:
  • Sun, Yang
  • Fang, Xiangzhong

Abstract

The classical calibration procedures of computer models only concern the univariate output, which would not be satisfied in practice. Multivariate output is gradually more prevalent in a wide range of real-world applications, which motivates us to develop a new calibration procedure to extend the classical calibration methods to multivariate cases. In this work, we propose an efficient calibration procedure for multivariate output within restricted correlation. First, we construct an estimator of the discrepancy function between the true process and the computer model by the local linear approximation, then obtain an estimator of the calibration parameter by the weighted profile least squares and establish its asymptotic properties. In addition, we also develop an estimator of the calibration parameter in a special situation, whose asymptotic normality has been derived. Numerical studies including simulations and an application to composite fuselage simulation verify the efficiency of the proposed calibration procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, Yang & Fang, Xiangzhong, 2024. "Efficient calibration of computer models with multivariate output," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s0047259x24000228
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2024.105315
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047259X24000228
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jmva.2024.105315?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raymond K. W. Wong & Curtis B. Storlie & Thomas C. M. Lee, 2017. "A frequentist approach to computer model calibration," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(2), pages 635-648, March.
    2. Fan, Jianqing & Huang, Tao & Li, Runze, 2007. "Analysis of Longitudinal Data With Semiparametric Estimation of Covariance Function," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 632-641, June.
    3. Higdon, Dave & Gattiker, James & Williams, Brian & Rightley, Maria, 2008. "Computer Model Calibration Using High-Dimensional Output," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 570-583, June.
    4. Xia, Yingcun & Härdle, Wolfgang, 2006. "Semi-parametric estimation of partially linear single-index models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(5), pages 1162-1184, May.
    5. Fangzheng Xie & Yanxun Xu, 2021. "Bayesian Projected Calibration of Computer Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(536), pages 1965-1982, October.
    6. Perrin, G., 2020. "Adaptive calibration of a computer code with time-series output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    7. F Ferraty & S NAGY, 2022. "Scalar-on-function local linear regression and beyond [Cross-validated estimations in the single-functional index model]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(2), pages 439-455.
    8. Marc C. Kennedy & Anthony O'Hagan, 2001. "Bayesian calibration of computer models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(3), pages 425-464.
    9. James M. Salter & Daniel B. Williamson & John Scinocca & Viatcheslav Kharin, 2019. "Uncertainty Quantification for Computer Models With Spatial Output Using Calibration-Optimal Bases," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(528), pages 1800-1814, October.
    10. Chih-Li Sung & Ying Hung & William Rittase & Cheng Zhu & C. F. J. Wu, 2020. "Calibration for Computer Experiments With Binary Responses and Application to Cell Adhesion Study," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(532), pages 1664-1674, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. SungKu Kang & Ran Jin & Xinwei Deng & Ron S. Kenett, 2023. "Challenges of modeling and analysis in cybermanufacturing: a review from a machine learning and computation perspective," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 415-428, February.
    2. Chen, Yewen & Chang, Xiaohui & Luo, Fangzhi & Huang, Hui, 2023. "Additive dynamic models for correcting numerical model outputs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    3. Giri Gopalan & Christopher K. Wikle, 2022. "A Higher-Order Singular Value Decomposition Tensor Emulator for Spatiotemporal Simulators," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 22-45, March.
    4. Giri Gopalan & Birgir Hrafnkelsson & Christopher K. Wikle & Håvard Rue & Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir & Alexander H. Jarosch & Finnur Pálsson, 2019. "A Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Statistical Model Motivated by Glaciology," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(4), pages 669-692, December.
    5. Huaimin Diao & Yan Wang & Dianpeng Wang, 2022. "A D-Optimal Sequential Calibration Design for Computer Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, April.
    6. Jung, Yongsu & Jo, Hwisang & Choo, Jeonghwan & Lee, Ikjin, 2022. "Statistical model calibration and design optimization under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    7. Lai, Peng & Wang, Qihua & Lian, Heng, 2012. "Bias-corrected GEE estimation and smooth-threshold GEE variable selection for single-index models with clustered data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 422-432.
    8. Drignei, Dorin, 2011. "A general statistical model for computer experiments with time series output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 460-467.
    9. Hwang, Youngdeok & Kim, Hang J. & Chang, Won & Yeo, Kyongmin & Kim, Yongku, 2019. "Bayesian pollution source identification via an inverse physics model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 76-92.
    10. Ioannis Andrianakis & Ian R Vernon & Nicky McCreesh & Trevelyan J McKinley & Jeremy E Oakley & Rebecca N Nsubuga & Michael Goldstein & Richard G White, 2015. "Bayesian History Matching of Complex Infectious Disease Models Using Emulation: A Tutorial and a Case Study on HIV in Uganda," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, January.
    11. Samantha M. Roth & Ben Seiyon Lee & Sanjib Sharma & Iman Hosseini‐Shakib & Klaus Keller & Murali Haran, 2023. "Flood hazard model calibration using multiresolution model output," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), March.
    12. Perrin, G., 2020. "Adaptive calibration of a computer code with time-series output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    13. White, Staci A. & Herbei, Radu, 2015. "A Monte Carlo approach to quantifying model error in Bayesian parameter estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 168-181.
    14. Mevin Hooten & Christopher Wikle & Michael Schwob, 2020. "Statistical Implementations of Agent‐Based Demographic Models," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(2), pages 441-461, August.
    15. Leatherman, Erin R. & Dean, Angela M. & Santner, Thomas J., 2017. "Designing combined physical and computer experiments to maximize prediction accuracy," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 346-362.
    16. Wu, Xu & Kozlowski, Tomasz & Meidani, Hadi, 2018. "Kriging-based inverse uncertainty quantification of nuclear fuel performance code BISON fission gas release model using time series measurement data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 422-436.
    17. Nott, David J. & Marshall, Lucy & Fielding, Mark & Liong, Shie-Yui, 2014. "Mixtures of experts for understanding model discrepancy in dynamic computer models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 491-505.
    18. Benedict Götz & Sebastian Kersting & Michael Kohler, 2021. "Estimation of an improved surrogate model in uncertainty quantification by neural networks," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(2), pages 249-281, April.
    19. Paulo, Rui & García-Donato, Gonzalo & Palomo, Jesús, 2012. "Calibration of computer models with multivariate output," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(12), pages 3959-3974.
    20. Jackson Samuel E. & Vernon Ian & Liu Junli & Lindsey Keith, 2020. "Understanding hormonal crosstalk in Arabidopsis root development via emulation and history matching," Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 1-33, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s0047259x24000228. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/622892/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.