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A bank-level analysis of interest rate pass-through in South Africa

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  • Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew
  • Steenkamp, Daan
  • van Jaarsveld, Rossouw

Abstract

We study the pass-through of policy rate hikes and cuts to household and corporate lending and deposit interest rates in South Africa over the period January 2009 to December 2020. We show that rate hikes are typically passed through to mortgage interest rates completely while rate cuts are not. This asymmetry is more prevalent for household than corporate mortgages. Pass-through to household and corporate call deposit interest rates is typically complete, but cheque account interest rates are highly sticky and experience weak pass-through. Our results indicate that banks’ pass-through decisions often impose greater costs on households than firms, and may blunt the stimulatory effect of rate cuts by weakening their impact on debt servicing costs and the remuneration of deposit balances.

Suggested Citation

  • Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Steenkamp, Daan & van Jaarsveld, Rossouw, 2024. "A bank-level analysis of interest rate pass-through in South Africa," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:82:y:2024:i:c:s0164070424000545
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2024.103639
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    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "EnhancingtheQuarterlyProjectionModel," Working Papers 11044, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah & Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "Enhancing the Quarterly Projection Model," Working Papers 11048, South African Reserve Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest rate pass-through; Monetary policy transmission mechanism; Bank funding costs; Sign asymmetry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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