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Does US monetary policy respond to oil and food prices?

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  • Kara, Engin

Abstract

A common view is that US monetary policy does not respond to changes in volatile energy and food prices. Despite this view, the popular New Keynesian models assume Taylor-type rules under which the short-term interest rates react to headline inflation. This paper evaluates the fit of alternative Taylor rules within an estimated New Keynesian model. A main finding is that the US central bank includes energy and food prices in its policy rule, although the weight assigned to these prices is much smaller than their share in the economy.

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  • Kara, Engin, 2017. "Does US monetary policy respond to oil and food prices?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 118-126.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:72:y:2017:i:c:p:118-126
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.12.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin, 2019. "Monetary Policy Effects on Energy Sector Bubbles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-13, February.
    2. Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2022. "The contribution of food subsidy policy to monetary policy in India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    3. Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2023. "Commodity price uncertainty as a leading indicator of economic activity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4194-4219, October.
    4. William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2022. "The Contribution of Food Subsidy Policy to Monetary Policy in India," Working Papers hal-02944209, HAL.
    5. Simranjeet Kaur, 2023. "A Decade of Impact of Monetary Policy on Food Inflation: An Overview and Future Direction," Vision, , vol. 27(4), pages 498-509, August.
    6. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Özer Depren, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between global and national factors and domestic food prices: evidence from Turkey with novel nonlinear approaches," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    7. Jiang, Qisheng & Cheng, Sheng, 2021. "How the fiscal and monetary policy uncertainty of China respond to global oil price volatility: A multi-regime-on-scale approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Liu, Feng & Xu, Jie & Ai, Chunrong, 2023. "Heterogeneous impacts of oil prices on China's stock market: Based on a new decomposition method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    9. Liu, Feng & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xin & Pan, Na & Qi, Yu, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, jump dynamics, and oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    10. Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2020. "Should a central bank react to food inflation? Evidence from an estimated model for Chile," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 221-234.
    11. Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
    12. Raymond Swaray & Afees A. Salisu, 2017. "The impact of crude oil prices on stock prices of oil firms: Should upstream-downstream dichotomy in supply chain be ignored?," Working Papers 021, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    13. Emmanuel Oladapo GEORGE & Jimoh Sina OGEDE, 2020. "Asymmetric Oil Price and Inflation: Evidence from Net Oil Exporting Countries in Africa," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 168-179.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE models; Multiple Calvo; Taylor rules; Sector-specific shocks; Core inflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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