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Can monetary policy revive the housing market in a crisis? Evidence from high-resolution data on Norwegian transactions

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  • Røed Larsen, Erling

Abstract

Studying a Norwegian high-resolution housing transaction data set, this article examines the link between the monetary policy reversal and the housing market upswing in the fall of 2008. I construct a hedonic time dummy price index and track changes over short time periods in order to inspect interruptions and turning-points. To control for seasonal effects, I compare price differences in 2008 with differences in years before and after. The evidence shows the existence of a pronounced house price index turn-around immediately after the monetary policy reversal was initiated. Plausible transmission mechanisms are established. Alternative exogenous causal factors are ruled out or appear implausible. An endogenous explanation is shown to be unlikely. The evidence thus suggests that the monetary policy reversal played a significant role in the housing market recovery.

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  • Røed Larsen, Erling, 2018. "Can monetary policy revive the housing market in a crisis? Evidence from high-resolution data on Norwegian transactions," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 69-83.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:42:y:2018:i:c:p:69-83
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2018.01.002
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    Cited by:

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    2. Łaszkiewicz, Edyta & Heyman, Axel & Chen, Xianwen & Cimburova, Zofie & Nowell, Megan & Barton, David N, 2022. "Valuing access to urban greenspace using non-linear distance decay in hedonic property pricing," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    3. Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2022. "What is the impact of macroprudential regulations on the Swedish housing market?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Zhang, Xiaoyu & Pan, Fanghui, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy and output shocks on the real estate market in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    5. Benjamin Kwakye & Chan Tze Haw, 2020. "Interplay of the Macroeconomy and Real Estate: Systematic Review of Literature," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 262-271.
    6. Cheshire, Paul C. & Hilber, Christian A. L., 2018. "Housing in Europe: a different continent - a continent of differences," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90645, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interrupted time series; Housing market; Monetary policy reversal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis

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