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Price distortions under coarse reasoning with frequent trade

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  • Steiner, Jakub
  • Stewart, Colin

Abstract

We study the effect of frequent trading opportunities and categorization on pricing of a risky asset. Frequent opportunities to trade can lead to large distortions in prices if some agents forecast future prices using a simplified model of the world that fails to distinguish between some states. In the limit as the period length vanishes, these distortions take a particular form: the price must be the same in any two states that a positive mass of agents categorize together. Price distortions therefore tend to be large when different agents categorize states in different ways, even if each individual's categorization is not very coarse.

Suggested Citation

  • Steiner, Jakub & Stewart, Colin, 2015. "Price distortions under coarse reasoning with frequent trade," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 159(PA), pages 574-595.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:159:y:2015:i:pa:p:574-595
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2015.07.011
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    Cited by:

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    2. Berman, Ron & Heller, Yuval, 2020. "Naive Analytics Equilibrium," MPRA Paper 103824, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Milo Bianchi & Philippe Jehiel, 2019. "Bundling, Belief Dispersion, and Mispricing in Financial Markets," Working Papers halshs-02183306, HAL.
    4. Antler, Yair, 2018. "Multilevel Marketing: Pyramid-Shaped Schemes or Exploitative Scams?," CEPR Discussion Papers 13054, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Bianchi, Milo & Jehiel, Philippe, 2020. "Bundlers' dilemmas in financial markets with sampling investors," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 15(2), May.
    6. Meixia Wang & Yunxia Wang, 2024. "Does Factor Market Distortion Inhibit Enterprise Innovation? Empirical Evidence from Chinese Industrial Enterprises," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 12830-12853, September.
    7. Halpern, Joe & Heller, Yuval & Winter, Eyal, 2022. "The Benefits of Coarse Preferences," MPRA Paper 111670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Daskalova, Vessela & Vriend, Nicolaas J., 2020. "Categorization and coordination," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Klishchuk, Bogdan, 2019. "Speculative Trade and Market Newcomers," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 175, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    10. Qiao, Sen & Chen, Hsing Hung & Zhang, Rong Rong, 2021. "Examining the impact of factor price distortions and social welfare on innovation efficiency from the microdata of Chinese renewable energy industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Categorization; Bounded rationality; Prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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