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Interest on reserves, regime shifts, and bank behavior

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  • Dutkowsky, Donald H.
  • VanHoose, David D.

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that in the post-2008 environment with interest on reserves, monetary policy actions can generate regime shifts that yield quantitatively and even qualitatively different responses of bank balance-sheet configurations and loan and deposit market outcomes to exogenous changes. In contrast to the view that a one-time structural change occurred in 2008, switching between several different regimes plausibly can arise depending upon settings of the reserve ratio, federal funds rate, and the interest rate on reserves. Our results explain stylized facts regarding excess reserves and interbank lending. Analysis with calibrated values indicates that such regime switching has occurred.

Suggested Citation

  • Dutkowsky, Donald H. & VanHoose, David D., 2017. "Interest on reserves, regime shifts, and bank behavior," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:91:y:2017:i:c:p:1-15
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2017.03.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dutkowsky, Donald H. & VanHoose, David D., 2020. "Equal treatment under the Fed: Interest on reserves, the federal funds rate, and the ‘Third Regime’ of bank behavior," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    2. Paolo Fegatelli, 2021. "The one trillion euro digital currency: How to issue a digital euro without threatening monetary policy transmission and financial stability?," BCL working papers 155, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    3. Akcay, Mustafa & Elyasiani, Elyas, 2021. "The link between the federal funds rate and banking system distress: An empirical investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    4. Hendrickson, Joshua R., 2017. "Interest on reserves, settlement, and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 208-216.
    5. Enzo Dia & David VanHoose, 2022. "Unconventional-Policy Spillovers of U.S. Interest on Reserves within Global Dollar-Denominated Retail Loan and Deposit Markets," CRANEC - Working Papers del Centro di Ricerche in Analisi economica e sviluppo economico internazionale crn2203, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Centro di Ricerche in Analisi economica e sviluppo economico internazionale (CRANEC).
    6. Fegatelli, Paolo, 2022. "A central bank digital currency in a heterogeneous monetary union: Managing the effects on the bank lending channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    7. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2018. "The missing spillover of base expansion into monetary aggregates: Is there a puzzle?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 64-76.
    8. Dutkowsky, Donald H. & VanHoose, David D., 2018. "Interest on reserves and Federal Reserve unwinding," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 28-38.
    9. Stephen Matteo Miller & Blake Hoarty, 2021. "On regulation and excess reserves: The case of Basel III," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 215-247, June.
    10. Jordan, Jerry L. & Luther, William J., 2022. "Central bank independence and the Federal Reserve's new operating regime," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 510-515.
    11. Cutsinger, Bryan P. & Luther, William J., 2022. "Seigniorage payments and the Federal Reserve’s new operating regime," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    12. Cukierman, Alex, 2019. "A retrospective on the subprime crisis and its aftermath ten years after Lehman’s collapse," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    13. Miller, Steph & Hoarty, Blake, 2020. "On Regulation and Excess Reserves: The Case of Basel III," Working Papers 10243, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
    14. Hogan, Thomas L., 2021. "Bank lending and interest on excess reserves: An empirical investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    15. Nicolás Cachanosky & Bryan P. Cutsinger & Thomas L. Hogan & William J. Luther & Alexander W. Salter, 2021. "The Federal Reserve's response to the COVID‐19 contraction: An initial appraisal," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 87(4), pages 1152-1174, April.
    16. Nicolás Cachanosky & Alexander W. Salter, 2020. "The super-alertness of central banks," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 33(1), pages 187-200, March.
    17. Cukierman, Alex, 2018. "A retrospective on the subprime crisis and its aftermath ten years after Lehman’s collapse," CEPR Discussion Papers 13373, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Dutkowsky, Donald H. & VanHoose, David D., 2018. "Breaking up isn’t hard to do: Interest on reserves and monetary policy," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 15-27.
    19. Oxana Afanasyeva & Dmitriy Korovin, 2020. "The impact of reserve requirements of central banks on macroeconomic indicators," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(1), pages 413-429, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest on reserves; Federal funds rate; Bank lending; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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