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Household debt in the times of populism

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  • Pan, Wei-Fong

Abstract

This study examines the effects of populism on household debt in 30 countries. Using a newly developed database of populist leaders, we observe that populism has a significantly negative effect on household debt, that is, households tend to hold less debt when populist leaders are in office than when non-populist ones are in office. We explore potential channels for this phenomenon. We observe that left-wing populism diminishes household debt by reducing household consumption while right-wing populism diminishes household debt by increasing public debt. Both types of populism decrease household debt by reducing lenders’ willingness to lend. Overall, our results suggest that populism is an important factor in explaining household debt dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Pan, Wei-Fong, 2023. "Household debt in the times of populism," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 202-215.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:205:y:2023:i:c:p:202-215
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.11.012
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Populism; Private debt; Household debt; Bank credit; Public debt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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