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The impact of interest rate risk on bank lending

Author

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  • Beutler, Toni
  • Bichsel, Robert
  • Bruhin, Adrian
  • Danton, Jayson

Abstract

This paper analyzes the transmission of realized interest rate risk to bank lending. It exploits unique supervisory information about the interest rate risk exposure of Swiss banks net of hedging. By weakening the banks’ economic capital, realized interest rate risk explains on average around one eighth or 30 basis points of the predicted total reduction in cumulative loan growth a year after an upward shock in nominal rates by one percentage point. Moreover, heterogeneity in exposures implies that the effects would differ across institutions. Finally, bank lending is mainly driven by the banks’ capital- rather than their liquidity-situation.

Suggested Citation

  • Beutler, Toni & Bichsel, Robert & Bruhin, Adrian & Danton, Jayson, 2020. "The impact of interest rate risk on bank lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:115:y:2020:i:c:s0378426620300650
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105797
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    2. Tsai, Pei-Hsuan & Wang, Ying-Wei & Chang, Wen-Chang, 2023. "Hybrid MADM-based study of key risk factors in house-for-pension reverse mortgage lending in Taiwan's banking industry," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Shi, Tao & Li, Chongyang & Wanyan, Hong & Xu, Ying & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "The lending risk predicting of the folk informal financial organization from big data using the deep learning hybrid model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Beutler, Toni & Gubler, Matthias & Hauri, Simona & Kaufmann, Sylvia, 2021. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Driven by business models and exposed to uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Toni Beutler & Matthias Gubler & Simona Hauri & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2020. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Capturing cross-sectional heterogeneity and asymmetry over time," Working Papers 20.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
    6. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Ahmet Sensoy, 2022. "Interest rate uncertainty and the predictability of bank revenues," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1559-1569, December.
    7. Christoph Basten & Benjamin Guin & Cathérine Tahmee Koch, 2017. "How Do Banks and Households Manage Interest Rate Risk? Evidence from the Swiss Mortgage Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 6649, CESifo.
    8. Shouwei Li & Xin Wu, 2023. "How does climate risk affect bank loan supply? Empirical evidence from China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2169-2204, August.
    9. Kabir, Anis & Abdul Rehman Shah, Syed Muhammad & Hassan, M. Kabir & Akmal, Muhammad, 2022. "The Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy via Bank’ Balance Sheet: An Empirical Study of Dual Banking System in Pakistan," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(2), pages 129-140.
    10. Stefanie Behncke, 2023. "Effects of Macroprudential Policies on Bank Lending and Credit Risks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 63(2), pages 175-199, April.
    11. Mariya Gubareva, 2018. "Historical Interest Rate Sensitivity of Emerging Market Sovereign Debt: Evidence of Regime Dependent Behavior," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 405-442, November.
    12. Dawood Ashraf & Muhammad Suhail Rizwan & Barbara L’Huillier, 2022. "Environmental, social, and governance integration: the case of microfinance institutions," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(1), pages 837-891, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest Rate Risk; Bank Lending; Monetary Policy Transmission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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