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Estimating the systematic risk of airlines: A methodological comparison

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  • Chuang, I-Yuan
  • Lu, Jin-Ray
  • Chen, Ching-Fu

Abstract

This paper focuses on the estimation of systematic risks in a sample of airlines by using three time-varying models (i.e. the Schwert and Seguin model, the multivariate GARCH model and the Kalman filter algorithm) as well as the conventional capital asset pricing model. Using both domestic and international market indices, the results show that the Kalman filter algorithm method with the domestic market index as a benchmark appears to be the superior model for capturing systematic risk in the airline industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Chuang, I-Yuan & Lu, Jin-Ray & Chen, Ching-Fu, 2006. "Estimating the systematic risk of airlines: A methodological comparison," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 103-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:12:y:2006:i:2:p:103-105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2005.11.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Turner, Sheelah & Morrell, Peter, 2003. "An evaluation of airline beta values and their application in calculating the cost of equity capital," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 201-209.
    2. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    3. Schwert, G William & Seguin, Paul J, 1990. "Heteroskedasticity in Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1129-1155, September.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
    5. R. D. Brooks & R. W. Faff & M. McKenzie, 2002. "Time varying country risk: an assessment of alternative modelling techniques," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 249-274.
    6. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jenatabadi, Hashem Salarzadeh & Ismail, Noor Azina, 2014. "Application of structural equation modelling for estimating airline performance," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 25-33.

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