Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect volatility? Evidence from the ECB surveys
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.09.009
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Cited by:
- Gonzalo Cortazar & Cristobal Millard & Hector Ortega & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2016. "Commodity Price Forecasts, Futures Prices and Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 22991, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018.
"“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”,"
IREA Working Papers
201806, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
- Qingqing Hu & Tinghui Li & Xue Li & Hao Dong, 2021. "Dynamic Characteristics of Oil Attributes and Their Market Effects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020.
"“Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty”,"
AQR Working Papers
2012003, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2020.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty," IREA Working Papers 202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Ruttachai Seelajaroen & Pornanong Budsaratragoon & Boonlert Jitmaneeroj, 2020. "Do monetary policy transparency and central bank communication reduce interest rate disagreement?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 368-393, April.
- Czudaj, Robert L., 2022.
"Heterogeneity of beliefs and information rigidity in the crude oil market: Evidence from survey data,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Robert L. Czudaj, 2021. "Heterogeneity of Beliefs and Information Rigidity in the Crude Oil Market: Evidence from Survey Data," Chemnitz Economic Papers 050, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Sep 2021.
- Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021. "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2023. "Conditional macroeconomic survey forecasts: Revisions and errors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
- Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & L.D. Huynh, Toan, 2022. "A new momentum measurement in the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Economic Uncertainty: A Geometric Indicator of Discrepancy Among Experts’ Expectations," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 95-114, May.
- Li, Xuerong & Shang, Wei & Wang, Shouyang, 2019. "Text-based crude oil price forecasting: A deep learning approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1548-1560.
- Yu, Lean & Zhao, Yaqing & Tang, Ling & Yang, Zebin, 2019. "Online big data-driven oil consumption forecasting with Google trends," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 213-223.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Disagreement on expectations: firms versus consumers," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-23, December.
- Wachtmeister, Henrik & Henke, Petter & Höök, Mikael, 2018. "Oil projections in retrospect: Revisions, accuracy and current uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 138-153.
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Keywords
Disagreement; Forecaster; Oil price; Survey; Volatility;All these keywords.
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