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Restricted forecasting with VAR models: An analysis of a test for joint compatibility between restrictions and forecasts

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  • Gomez, Nicolas
  • Guerrero, Victor M.

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  • Gomez, Nicolas & Guerrero, Victor M., 2006. "Restricted forecasting with VAR models: An analysis of a test for joint compatibility between restrictions and forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 751-770.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:4:p:751-770
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    1. Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1989. "Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 95-131, April.
    2. Nieto, Fabio H. & Guerrero, Victor M., 1995. "Kalman filter for singular and conditional state-space models when the system state and the observational error are correlated," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 303-310, March.
    3. Thomas Doan & Robert B. Litterman & Christopher A. Sims, 1983. "Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distributions," NBER Working Papers 1202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Van Der Knoop, H. S., 1986. "Conditional forecasting with a multivariate time series model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(2-3), pages 233-236.
    5. Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1988. "Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 1," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 468-497, December.
    6. Pandher, Gurupdesh S, 2002. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series with Linear Restrictions Using Constrained Structural State-Space Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 281-300, July.
    7. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    8. Dufour, Jean-Marie, 1985. "Unbiasedness of Predictions from Etimated Vector Autoregressions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 387-402, December.
    9. Trabelsi, Abdelwahed & Hillmer, Steven C, 1989. "A Benchmarking Approach to Forecast Combination," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(3), pages 353-362, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pascual, Lorenzo & Fresoli, Diego Eduardo, 2011. "Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws113426, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Joan Paredes & Javier J. Pérez & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2023. "Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 472-492, June.
    3. Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & Antonio Sánchez Fuentes, 2014. "A Tookit to strengthen Government," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 211(4), pages 117-146, December.
    4. Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez-Fuentes, 2014. "A toolkit to strengthen government budget surveillance," Working Papers 1416, Banco de España.

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