IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/intfin/v78y2022ics1042443122000403.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The direct and indirect effects of financial development on international trade: Evidence from the CEEC-6

Author

Listed:
  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Sova, Anamaria Diana
  • Sova, Robert

Abstract

This paper analyses the relationship between financial development and international trade in six EU members from Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC-6) using dynamic panel data approaches, specifically the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and pooled mean group (PMG) estimators. The empirical results indicate that financial development affects trade flows and the structure of international trade in the long run; more precisely, it has a positive long-run impact on exports and trade openness. Further, there are indirect long-run effects through the interaction terms between financial development and sectoral value added; these are more pronounced for manufacturing than for agriculture. On the whole, our analysis suggests that the CEEC-6 could benefit in terms of trade from further developing their financial systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Sova, Anamaria Diana & Sova, Robert, 2022. "The direct and indirect effects of financial development on international trade: Evidence from the CEEC-6," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:78:y:2022:i:c:s1042443122000403
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101550
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443122000403
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101550?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kalina Manova, 2013. "Credit Constraints, Heterogeneous Firms, and International Trade," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(2), pages 711-744.
    2. Iacovone, Leonardo & Ferro, Esteban & Pereira-López, Mariana & Zavacka, Veronika, 2019. "Banking crises and exports: Lessons from the past," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 192-204.
    3. Nicolas Berman & Philippe Martin, 2012. "The Vulnerability of Sub-Saharan Africa to Financial Crises: The Case of Trade," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 60(3), pages 329-364, September.
    4. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Shu-Chin Lin & Yu-Bo Suen, 2010. "Are Financial Development and Trade Openness Complements or Substitutes?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 76(3), pages 827-845, January.
    5. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    6. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Shu-Chin Lin & Yu-Bo Suen, 2010. "Are Financial Development and Trade Openness Complements or Substitutes?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 76(3), pages 827-845, January.
    7. David Roodman, 2009. "How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 9(1), pages 86-136, March.
    8. Thorsten Beck, 2003. "Financial Dependence and International Trade," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 296-316, May.
    9. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    10. Artūras Juodis & Yiannis Karavias & Vasilis Sarafidis, 2021. "A homogeneous approach to testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 93-112, January.
    11. Marta Wajda-Lichy & Paweł Kawa & Kamil Fijorek & Sabina Denkowska, 2020. "Trade Openness and Financial Development in the New EU Member States: Evidence from a Granger Panel Bootstrap Causality Test," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 242-263, May.
    12. Kletzer, Kenneth & Bardhan, Pranab, 1986. "Credit Markets and Patterns of International Trade," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt1g36f3sd, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    13. Dong‐Hyeon Kim & Shu‐Chin Lin & Yu‐Bo Suen, 2011. "Interactions Between Financial Development And Trade Openness," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 58(4), pages 567-588, September.
    14. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/lj8ndsutc8i5ast4viool3gqa is not listed on IDEAS
    15. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    16. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1996. "Stock Market Development and Long-Run Growth," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 10(2), pages 323-339, May.
    17. Stephen R. Bond, 2002. "Dynamic panel data models: a guide to micro data methods and practice," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 1(2), pages 141-162, August.
    18. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    19. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christophe Rault & Anamaria Diana Sova & Robert Sova, 2015. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from 10 New European Union Members," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 48-60, January.
    20. Chor, Davin & Manova, Kalina, 2012. "Off the cliff and back? Credit conditions and international trade during the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 117-133.
    21. David Roodman, 2009. "A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(1), pages 135-158, February.
    22. Nicolas Berman & Philippe Martin, 2012. "The Vulnerability of Sub-Saharan Africa to Financial Crises: the Case of Trade," SciencePo Working papers hal-03461159, HAL.
    23. Beck, Thorsten, 2002. "Financial development and international trade: Is there a link?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 107-131, June.
    24. Kiviet, Jan F., 1995. "On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 53-78, July.
    25. Stephen Bond, 2002. "Dynamic panel data models: a guide to microdata methods and practice," CeMMAP working papers CWP09/02, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    26. Katsiaryna Svirydzenka, 2016. "Introducing a New Broad-based Index of Financial Development," IMF Working Papers 2016/005, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Hur, Jung & Raj, Manoj & Riyanto, Yohanes E., 2006. "Finance and trade: A cross-country empirical analysis on the impact of financial development and asset tangibility on international trade," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1728-1741, October.
    28. Harris, Richard D. F. & Tzavalis, Elias, 1999. "Inference for unit roots in dynamic panels where the time dimension is fixed," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 201-226, August.
    29. Auboin, Marc, 2009. "Restoring trade finance during a period of financial crisis: Stocktaking of recent initiatives," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2009-16, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    30. Kletzer, Kenneth & Bardhan, Pranab, 1987. "Credit markets and patterns of international trade," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1-2), pages 57-70, October.
    31. Menyah, Kojo & Nazlioglu, Saban & Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2014. "Financial development, trade openness and economic growth in African countries: New insights from a panel causality approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 386-394.
    32. Bo Becker & Jinzhu Chen & David Greenberg, 2013. "Financial Development, Fixed Costs, and International Trade," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 1-28.
    33. Svaleryd, Helena & Vlachos, Jonas, 2005. "Financial markets, the pattern of industrial specialization and comparative advantage: Evidence from OECD countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 113-144, January.
    34. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2000. "A New Database on the Structure and Development of the Financial Sector," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 14(3), pages 597-605, September.
    35. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    36. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    37. Windmeijer, Frank, 2005. "A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 25-51, May.
    38. Bilas Vlatka & Bosnjak Mile & Novak Ivan, 2017. "Examining the Relationship between Financial Development and International Trade in Croatia," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 80-88, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Anamaria Diana Sova & Robert Sova, 2024. "The Covid‐19 pandemic and European trade flows: Evidence from a dynamic panel model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2563-2580, July.
    2. Sohail, Muhammad Tayyab & Din, Norashidah Md, 2024. "How do digital inclusion and energy security risks affect mineral resources trade? Evidence from world-leading mineral trading countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Saida Daly & Mohamed Abdouli, 2023. "The Nexus between Environmental Quality, Economic Growth, and Trade Openness in Saudi Arabia (1990-2017)," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 579-598, July.
    4. Yu, Xiuzhi & Jia, Fengshuo & Khan, Suliman & Khan, Zeeshan & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A., 2024. "Natural resources a curse or blessings for international trade? Empirical evidence from high indebted economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Anamaria Sova & Robert Sova, 2021. "Trade Flows, Private Credit and the Covid-19-Pandemic: Panel Evidence from 35 OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 9400, CESifo.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2019. "Financial Development and Tax Revenue in Developing Countries: Investigating the International Trade and Economic Growth Channels," EconStor Preprints 206628, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio Aquino & Lidia Mannarino, 2018. "Non-Price Competitiveness and Financial Drivers of Exports: Evidences from Italian Regions," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 4(1), pages 107-133, March.
    3. Bunje, Madinatou Yeh & Abendin, Simon & Wang, Yin, 2022. "The multidimensional effect of financial development on trade in Africa: The role of the digital economy," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(10).
    4. Demir, FIrat & Dahi, Omar S., 2011. "Asymmetric effects of financial development on South-South and South-North trade: Panel data evidence from emerging markets," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 139-149, January.
    5. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Anamaria Diana Sova & Robert Sova, 2023. "The short‐run and long‐run effects of trade openness on financial development: Some panel evidence for Europe," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3891-3901, October.
    6. Mustafa Caglayan & Omar S. Dahi & Firat Demir, 2013. "Trade Flows, Exchange Rate Uncertainty, and Financial Depth: Evidence from 28 Emerging Countries," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 79(4), pages 905-927, April.
    7. Peñasco, Cristina & del Río, Pablo & Romero-Jordán, Desiderio, 2017. "Gas and electricity demand in Spanish manufacturing industries: An analysis using homogeneous and heterogeneous estimators," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 45-60.
    8. Gächter, Martin & Gkrintzalis, Ioannis, 2017. "The finance–trade nexus revisited: Is the global trade slowdown also a financial story?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 21-25.
    9. Yongfu Huang & Jonathan Temple, 2005. "Does external trade promote financial development?," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 05/575, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    10. Scott, K. Rebecca, 2011. "Demand and Price Volatility: Rational Habits in International Gasoline Demand," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt2q87432b, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    11. Duc Bao Nguyen & Anne‐Gaël Vaubourg, 2021. "Financial intermediation, trade agreements and international trade," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 788-817, March.
    12. Roberto Dell'Anno & Adalgiso Amendola, 2015. "Social Exclusion and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation in European Economies," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 61(2), pages 274-301, June.
    13. Holod, Dmytro & Torna, Gökhan, 2018. "Do community banks contribute to international trade? Evidence from U.S. Data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 185-204.
    14. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2022. "Financial development and tax revenue in developing countries: investigating the international trade channel," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-26, January.
    15. Kwan Yong Lee, 2023. "Financial dependence and exports: Entrants or incumbents?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 89(4), pages 1102-1137, April.
    16. Iacovone, Leonardo & Ferro, Esteban & Pereira-López, Mariana & Zavacka, Veronika, 2019. "Banking crises and exports: Lessons from the past," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 192-204.
    17. Schmidt-Eisenlohr, Tim, 2013. "Towards a theory of trade finance," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 96-112.
    18. Armey, Laura E. & McNab, Robert M., 2018. "Expenditure decentralization and natural resources," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 52-61.
    19. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm & Iyer, Harish, 2021. "Effect of Aid for Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows on the Utilization of Unilateral Trade Preferences offered by the QUAD countries," EconStor Preprints 238211, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    20. Cabrillac, Bruno & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana & Borin, Alessandro & Bussière, Matthieu & Cezar, Raphael & Derviz, Alexis & Dimitropoulou, Dimitra & Ferrara, Laurent & Gächter, 2016. "Understanding the weakness in global trade - What is the new normal?," Occasional Paper Series 178, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial development; International trade; CEEC-6; System GMM estimator; PMG estimator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:78:y:2022:i:c:s1042443122000403. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/intfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.