To hedge or not to hedge: Carry trade dynamics in the emerging economies
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101358
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2022.
"Measuring Geopolitical Risk,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(4), pages 1194-1225, April.
- Matteo Iacoviello, 2018. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 79, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2018. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," International Finance Discussion Papers 1222r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 23 Mar 2022.
- Hansen, Lars Peter & Hodrick, Robert J, 1980. "Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(5), pages 829-853, October.
- Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2011.
"Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(3), pages 853-891.
- Eichenbaum, Martin & Rebelo, Sérgio & Burnside, Craig & Kleshchelski, Isaac, 2008. "Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6873, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- A. Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio T. Rebelo, 2010. "Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?," Working Papers 10-44, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- A. Craig Burnside & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2008. "Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?," NBER Working Papers 14054, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012.
"Carry Trades and Global Foreign Exchange Volatility,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(2), pages 681-718, April.
- Menkhoff, Lukas & Sarno, Lucio & Schrimpf, Paul & Schmeling, Maik, 2011. "Carry Trades and Global Foreign Exchange Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8291, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Victoria Dobrynskaya, 2014. "Downside Market Risk of Carry Trades," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(5), pages 1885-1913.
- Nina Karnaukh & Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2015.
"Understanding FX Liquidity,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(11), pages 3073-3108.
- Karnaukh, Nina & Ranaldo, Angelo & Söderlind, Paul, 2013. "Understanding FX Liquidity," Working Papers on Finance 1315, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Apr 2015.
- Hanno Lustig & Nikolai Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan, 2011.
"Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(11), pages 3731-3777.
- Hanno Lustig & Nikolai Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan, 2008. "Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 14082, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nick Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan & Hanno Lustig, 2008. "Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets," 2008 Meeting Papers 711, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Cho, Dooyeon & Han, Heejoon & Lee, Na Kyeong, 2019. "Carry trades and endogenous regime switches in exchange rate volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 255-268.
- Emmanuel Farhi & Xavier Gabaix, 2016. "Editor's Choice Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(1), pages 1-52.
- Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2008. "Carry Trade: The Gains of Diversification," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 581-588, 04-05.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016.
"Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," Economics Working Papers 15111, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 21633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEP Discussion Papers dp1379, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas & Davis, Steven J., 2015. "Measuring economic policy uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64986, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Davis, Steven & Bloom, Nicholas & Baker, Scott, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 10900, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mark, Nelson C., 1988. "Time-varying betas and risk premia in the pricing of forward foreign exchange contracts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 335-354, December.
- Loriano Mancini & Angelo Ranaldo & Jan Wrampelmeyer, 2013.
"Liquidity in the Foreign Exchange Market: Measurement, Commonality, and Risk Premiums,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(5), pages 1805-1841, October.
- Loriano MANCINI & Angelo RANALDO & Jan WRAMPELMEYER, 2009. "Liquidity in the Foreign Exchange Market: Measurement, Commonality,and Risk Premiums," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 09-44, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Loriano Mancini & Angelo Ranaldo & Jan Wrampelmeyer, 2010. "Liquidity in the Foreign Exchange Market: Measurement, Commonality, and Risk Premiums," Working Papers 2010-03, Swiss National Bank.
- Bekaert, Geert & Panayotov, George, 2020.
"Good Carry, Bad Carry,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(4), pages 1063-1094, June.
- Bekaert, Geert & Panayotov, George, 2019. "Good Carry, Bad Carry," CEPR Discussion Papers 13463, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Geert Bekaert & George Panayotov, 2019. "Good Carry, Bad Carry," NBER Working Papers 25420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jurek, Jakub W., 2014. "Crash-neutral currency carry trades," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 325-347.
- Lettau, Martin & Maggiori, Matteo & Weber, Michael, 2014.
"Conditional risk premia in currency markets and other asset classes,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 197-225.
- Lettau, Martin & Maggiori, Matteo & Weber, Michael, 2013. "Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes," CEPR Discussion Papers 9484, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin Lettau & Matteo Maggiori & Michael Weber, 2013. "Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes," NBER Working Papers 18844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thomas H. McCurdy & Ieuan G. Morgan, 1991. "Tests for a Systematic Risk Component in Deviations From Uncovered Interest Rate Parity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(3), pages 587-602.
- Stephen Gilmore & Fumio Hayashi, 2011.
"Emerging Market Currency Excess Returns,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 85-111, October.
- Stephen Gilmore & Fumio Hayashi, 2008. "Emerging Market Currency Excess Returns," NBER Working Papers 14528, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Craig Burnside, 2015.
"The Carry Trade in Industrialized and Emerging Markets,"
Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Claudio Raddatz & Diego Saravia & Jaume Ventura (ed.),Global Liquidity, Spillovers to Emerging Markets and Policy Responses, edition 1, volume 20, chapter 8, pages 245-280,
Central Bank of Chile.
- Craig Burnside, 2014. "The carry trade in industrialized and emerging markets," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 17(2), pages 48-78, August.
- Cenedese, Gino & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2014.
"Foreign exchange risk and the predictability of carry trade returns,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 302-313.
- Gino Cenedese & Lucio Sarno & Ilias Tsiakas, 2014. "Foreign Exchange Risk and the Predictability of Carry Trade Returns," Working Paper series 02_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Ricardo J. Caballero & Joseph B. Doyle, 2012. "Carry Trade and Systemic Risk: Why are FX Options so Cheap?," NBER Working Papers 18644, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Suh, Sangwon, 2019. "Unexploited currency carry trade profit opportunity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 236-254.
- Daniel, Kent & Hodrick, Robert J. & Lu, Zhongjin, 2017.
"The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns,"
Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 6(2), pages 211-262, September.
- Kent Daniel & Robert J. Hodrick & Zhongjin Lu, 2014. "The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns," NBER Working Papers 20433, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2018.
"Measures of global uncertainty and carry-trade excess returns,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 212-227.
- Kimberly A. Berg & Nelson Mark, 2017. "Measures of Global Uncertainty and Carry-Trade Excess Returns," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2017_002, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel & Lasse H. Pedersen, 2009.
"Carry Trades and Currency Crashes,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 313-347,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel & Lasse H. Pedersen, 2008. "Carry Trades and Currency Crashes," NBER Working Papers 14473, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel & Lasse H. Pedersen, 2008. "Carry Trades and Currency Crashes," Working Papers 2008-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- George Panayotov, 0. "Global Risks in the Currency Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 24(6), pages 1237-1270.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2018.
"Common information in carry trade risk factors,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 37-47.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2016. "Common Information in Carry Trade Risk Factors," MPRA Paper 75367, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
- Hutchison, Michael & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2013. "Impact of macro-economic surprises on carry trade activity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1133-1147.
- Garman, Mark B. & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1983. "Foreign currency option values," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 231-237, December.
- George Panayotov, 2020. "Global Risks in the Currency Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 24(6), pages 1237-1270.
- Lustig, Hanno & Roussanov, Nikolai & Verdelhan, Adrien, 2014.
"Countercyclical currency risk premia,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(3), pages 527-553.
- Hanno Lustig & Nikolai Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan, 2010. "Countercyclical Currency Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 16427, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Fama, Eugene F., 1984. "Forward and spot exchange rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 319-338, November.
- Doukas, John A. & Zhang, Hao, 2013. "The performance of NDF carry trades," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 172-190.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Choi, Jin Ho & Suh, Sangwon, 2022. "Conditionally-hedged currency carry trades," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Jamali, Ibrahim & Yamani, Ehab & Smallwood, Aaron D., 2023. "An investment-based explanation of currency excess returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
- Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2017.
"International correlation risk,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(2), pages 270-299.
- Philippe Mueller & Andreas Stathopoulos & Andrea Vedolin, "undated". "International Correlation Risk," FMG Discussion Papers dp716, Financial Markets Group.
- Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2013. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 43087, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2017. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84140, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Andreas Stathopoulos & Andrea Vedolin & Philippe Mueller, 2012. "International Correlation Risk," 2012 Meeting Papers 818, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2014. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60955, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade: Evidence from financial crises," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-19.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "The time-varying risk price of currency portfolios," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Lee, Suzanne S. & Wang, Minho, 2019. "The impact of jumps on carry trade returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(2), pages 433-455.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2017. "The Time-Varying Risk Price of Currency Carry Trades," MPRA Paper 80788, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dupuy, Philippe & James, Jessica & Marsh, Ian W., 2021. "Attractive and non-attractive currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Vitaly Orlov, 2018. "Solvency Risk Premia and the Carry Trades," Working Papers on Finance 1802, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Choi, Jin Ho & Suh, Sangwon, 2021. "A filtered currency carry trade," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Wu, Chih-Chiang & Wu, Chang-Che, 2017. "The asymmetry in carry trade and the U.S. dollar," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 304-313.
- Fan, Zhenzhen & Paseka, Alexander & Qi, Zhen & Zhang, Qi, 2022. "Currency carry trade: The decline in performance after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Wenliang Guo, 2020. "Currency Regimes, Volatility Risks, and Carry Trades: The Option Value of Government Currency Intervention in Emerging Markets," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(3), pages 1-4.
- Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Foreign exchange market efficiency and the global financial crisis: Fundamental versus technical information," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 74-89.
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2018.
"Global macro risks in currency excess returns,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 300-315.
- Kimberly Berg & Nelson C. Mark, 2016. "Global Macro Risks in Currency Excess Returns," Staff Working Papers 16-32, Bank of Canada.
- Kimberly A. Berg & Nelson Mark, 2017. "Global Macro Risks in Currency Excess Returns," NBER Working Papers 23764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Egbers, Tom & Swinkels, Laurens, 2015. "Can implied volatility predict returns on the currency carry trade?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 14-26.
- Yung, Julieta, 2021.
"Can interest rate factors explain exchange rate fluctuations?,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 34-56.
- Julieta Yung, 2014. "Can interest rate factors explain exchange rate fluctuations?," Globalization Institute Working Papers 207, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Daniel, Kent & Hodrick, Robert J. & Lu, Zhongjin, 2017.
"The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns,"
Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 6(2), pages 211-262, September.
- Kent Daniel & Robert J. Hodrick & Zhongjin Lu, 2014. "The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns," NBER Working Papers 20433, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Opie, Wei & Riddiough, Steven J., 2020. "Global currency hedging with common risk factors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(3), pages 780-805.
More about this item
Keywords
Carry trade; Emerging markets; Uncovered interest parity; Hedged return; Unhedged return;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:73:y:2021:i:c:s1042443121000779. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/intfin .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.