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Economic slowdowns, hazard rates and foreign ownership

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  • Varum, Celeste
  • Rocha, Vera Catarina
  • Valente da Silva, Hélder

Abstract

This paper evaluates the link between foreign ownership and firm exit during crises, using a longitudinal micro dataset over an 18-year period. We address two main questions: first, if foreign affiliates have different failure rates than domestic firms during economic downturns, and second if the foreignness effect differs between two different economic downturns. The results partially confirm the liability of foreignness argument, suggesting that when the crisis was more pronounced at home than abroad, the differences in hazard rates between foreign and domestic firms reduce. The footloose argument is also only partially confirmed. For policy makers, our results on survival dynamics during crises are not against policies stimulating inward investment. There is no need to fear that foreign firms destabilize more than usual the host economy during economic slowdowns by immediately closing down operations.

Suggested Citation

  • Varum, Celeste & Rocha, Vera Catarina & Valente da Silva, Hélder, 2014. "Economic slowdowns, hazard rates and foreign ownership," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 761-773.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:iburev:v:23:y:2014:i:4:p:761-773
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ibusrev.2013.11.008
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    3. Emanuele Brancati & Raffaele Brancati & Dario Guarascio & Antonello Zanfei, 2022. "Innovation drivers of external competitiveness in the great recession," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1497-1516, March.
    4. Jacob A. Jordaan, 2023. "Firm‐level characteristics and the impact of COVID‐19: Examining the effects of foreign ownership and international trade," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(7), pages 1967-1998, July.
    5. Elena Cefis & Cristina Bettinelli & Alex Coad & Orietta Marsili, 2022. "Understanding firm exit: a systematic literature review," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 423-446, August.
    6. Kemal Türkcan & Hilal Erkuş-Öztürk, 2020. "The impact of economic and political crises on the survival of tourism-related firms: Evidence from Antalya," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1152-1174, November.
    7. Guimarães Barbosa, Evaldo, 2016. "The relationships between, on the hand, size, growth and age of the firm and, on the other hand, small business survival – a constructive critique and a proposal of a new framework," MPRA Paper 72111, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. European Commission, Directorate-General for Competition (Brussels) (ed.), 2016. "Ex-post evaluation of the impact of restructuring aid decisions on the viability of aided (non-financial) firms: Final report," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 130514.
    9. Ryan W. Tang & Ying Zhu & Hongbo Cai & Jinrong Han, 2021. "De-internationalization: A Thematic Review and the Directions Forward," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 267-312, June.
    10. Pedro Silva & António Carrizo Moreira, 2021. "Foreign and multinational ownership impact on firm exit: A sectoral analysis," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1550-1563, September.
    11. Jane W. Lu & Hao Ma & Xuanli Xie, 2022. "Foreignness research in international business: Major streams and future directions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(3), pages 449-480, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic slowdowns; Foreign ownership; Hazard rates; Manufacturing; Portugal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

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