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Choosing pandemic parameters for pandemic preparedness planning: A comparison of pandemic scenarios prior to and following the influenza A(H1N1) 2009 pandemic

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  • van der Weijden, Charlie P.
  • Stein, Mart L.
  • Jacobi, André J.
  • Kretzschmar, Mirjam E.E.
  • Reintjes, Ralf
  • van Steenbergen, Jim E.
  • Timen, Aura

Abstract

Mathematical models are used to explore various possible scenarios with regard to an influenza pandemic. We studied the ranges of parameter values in modelling studies on preparedness prior to 2009 in relation to the estimated parameter values of the influenza A(H1N1) 2009 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • van der Weijden, Charlie P. & Stein, Mart L. & Jacobi, André J. & Kretzschmar, Mirjam E.E. & Reintjes, Ralf & van Steenbergen, Jim E. & Timen, Aura, 2013. "Choosing pandemic parameters for pandemic preparedness planning: A comparison of pandemic scenarios prior to and following the influenza A(H1N1) 2009 pandemic," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 52-62.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:hepoli:v:109:y:2013:i:1:p:52-62
    DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2012.05.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Anne M Presanis & Daniela De Angelis & The New York City Swine Flu Investigation Team 3 ¶ & Angela Hagy & Carrie Reed & Steven Riley & Ben S Cooper & Lyn Finelli & Paul Biedrzycki & Marc Lipsitch, 2009. "The Severity of Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: A Bayesian Analysis," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(12), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Neil M. Ferguson & Derek A.T. Cummings & Simon Cauchemez & Christophe Fraser & Steven Riley & Aronrag Meeyai & Sopon Iamsirithaworn & Donald S. Burke, 2005. "Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia," Nature, Nature, vol. 437(7056), pages 209-214, September.
    4. Vittoria Colizza & Alain Barrat & Marc Barthelemy & Alain-Jacques Valleron & Alessandro Vespignani, 2007. "Modeling the Worldwide Spread of Pandemic Influenza: Baseline Case and Containment Interventions," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(1), pages 1-16, January.
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