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Tail risk network analysis of Asian banks

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  • Pham, Thach N.
  • Powell, Robert
  • Bannigidadmath, Deepa

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the tail risk dependence of individual banks in Asian emerging markets. Using value at risk and conditional value at risk to measure tail risk and employing the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to build the network, this study analysed interconnectedness at three levels: system-wide, country level and individual bank level. This study yields three key findings. First, banks in Asian emerging markets have a notably high tail risk network, particularly during more extreme market conditions. Second, the smaller and more interconnected banks are the most systemically important in the region, rather than the largest banks. Third, the time-varying results suggest that tail risk dependence, primarily attributed to cross-country connectivity, increased after the global financial crisis but has decreased in recent years.

Suggested Citation

  • Pham, Thach N. & Powell, Robert & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2024. "Tail risk network analysis of Asian banks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:62:y:2024:i:c:s1044028324000899
    DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101017
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tail risk network; Interconnectedness; Asian banks; LASSO;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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