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Short selling in extreme events

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  • Geraci, Marco Valerio
  • Garbaravičius, Tomas
  • Veredas, David

Abstract

We study the association between daily changes in short selling activity and financial stock prices during extreme events using TailCoR, a measure of tail correlation. For the largest European and US banks, as well as European insurers, we uncover a strong relation during exceptional (extreme) days and a weak relation during normal (average) days. Examining days with large increases in short positions and large downfalls in stock prices, we find evidence of both momentum and contrarian short selling taking place. For North American bank stocks, contrarian short selling appears more practiced than for European bank and insurance stocks. We find that the uncovered relationship decreases with firm size and increases during ban periods, which is in line with short selling becoming more informative when constrained.

Suggested Citation

  • Geraci, Marco Valerio & Garbaravičius, Tomas & Veredas, David, 2018. "Short selling in extreme events," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 90-103.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:39:y:2018:i:c:p:90-103
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2018.09.004
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    Cited by:

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    2. O'Donnell, Niall & Shannon, Darren & Sheehan, Barry, 2023. "A vaccine for volatility? An empirical analysis of global stock markets and the impact of the COVID-19 vaccine," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    3. Luu, Ellie & Xu, Fangming & Zheng, Liyi, 2023. "Short-selling activities in the time of COVID-19," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(4).
    4. Horvath, Roman, 2021. "Natural catastrophes and financial depth: An empirical analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    5. Ye, Qing & Zhou, Shengjie & Zhang, Jie, 2020. "Short-selling, margin-trading, and stock liquidity: Evidence from the Chinese stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Chen, Xinxin & Guo, Yanhong & Song, Yingying, 2024. "Multiple time scales investor sentiment impact the stock market index fluctuation: From margin trading business perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    7. Lorenzo Ricci & David Veredas, 2012. "TailCoR," Working Papers 1227, Banco de España.
      • Sla{dj}ana Babi'c & Christophe Ley & Lorenzo Ricci & David Veredas, 2020. "TailCoR," Papers 2011.14817, arXiv.org.
    8. Bessler, Wolfgang & Vendrasco, Marco, 2021. "The 2020 European short-selling ban and the effects on market quality," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    9. Wu, Qi & Yan, Xing, 2019. "Capturing deep tail risk via sequential learning of quantile dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Wang, Yifu & Lu, Wanbo & Lin, Min-Bin & Ren, Rui & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2024. "Cross-exchange crypto risk: A high-frequency dynamic network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    11. Bessler, Wolfgang & Vendrasco, Marco, 2022. "Short-selling restrictions and financial stability in Europe: Evidence from the Covid-19 crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Short selling; Tail correlation;

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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