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What’s the contingency? A proposal for bank contingent capital triggered by systemic risk

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  • Allen, Linda
  • Tang, Yi

Abstract

Contingent capital (coco) automatically recapitalizes the banking system during financial crises if the trigger mechanism is properly designed. We propose a dual trigger mechanism based on: (1) aggregate systemic risk in the banking system, measured using CATFIN, and (2) the individual bank’s contribution to overall systemic risk, measured using delta CoVaR. The dual trigger is highly correlated with system-wide insolvency risk and prices systemic risk. We set different triggers for banks, insurance companies and broker-dealers. Using the 99% cut-off, systemic coco issued by Lehman and Bear Stearns would have been triggered in November 2007, months prior to their actual demise.

Suggested Citation

  • Allen, Linda & Tang, Yi, 2016. "What’s the contingency? A proposal for bank contingent capital triggered by systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:26:y:2016:i:c:p:1-14
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.06.005
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jalan, Akanksha & Matkovskyy, Roman, 2023. "Systemic risks in the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from the FTX collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    3. Philippe Oster, 2020. "Contingent Convertible bond literature review: making everything and nothing possible?," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 343-381, December.
    4. Pawe{l} Sakowski & Rafa{l} Sieradzki & Robert 'Slepaczuk, 2023. "Systemic risk indicator based on implied and realized volatility," Papers 2307.05719, arXiv.org.
    5. Gupta, Aparna & Wang, Runzu & Lu, Yueliang, 2021. "Addressing systemic risk using contingent convertible debt – A network analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(1), pages 263-277.
    6. Kund, Arndt-Gerrit & Petras, Matthias, 2023. "Can CoCo-bonds mitigate systemic risk?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Aida Barkauskaite & Ausrine Lakstutiene & Justyna Witkowska, 2018. "Measurement of Systemic Risk in a Common European Union Risk-Based Deposit Insurance System: Formal Necessity or Value-Adding Process?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-21, December.
    8. Paweł Sakowski & Rafał Sieradzki & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2023. "The systemic risk approach based on implied and realized volatility," Working Papers 2023-07, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    9. Allen, Linda & Golfari, Andrea, 2023. "Do CoCos serve the goals of macroprudential supervisors or bank managers?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Liu, Liang-Chih & Dai, Tian-Shyr & Zhou, Lei, 2024. "On the design of bail-in-able bonds from the perspective of non-financial firms," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1136-1155.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contingent capital; Callable put option; Dual trigger exercise price; Systemic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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