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The cost of deviating from the optimal monetary policy: A panel VAR analysis

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  • Guerello, Chiara

Abstract

Exploiting the panel VAR GMM estimator's features, macroeconomic country factors are combined with micro-economic bank data to test for the risk taking channel in the Euro Area. According to prior expectations based on an extended DSGE model, the analysis demonstrates that the monetary policy incentives bank risk taking by increasing the bank leverage, but it is not able to influence the level of credit risk. However, deeper investigations indicates the Taylor gap adds to the bank risk appetite in all its forms, while regarding the reactions to target variables, movements in the interest rate smooth the bank risk.

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  • Guerello, Chiara, 2014. "The cost of deviating from the optimal monetary policy: A panel VAR analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 210-229.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:15:y:2014:i:c:p:210-229
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2014.10.004
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nektarios A. Michail & Christos S. Savva & Demetris Koursaros, 2021. "Are central banks to blame? Monetary policy and bank lending behavior," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 762-779, October.
    3. Nave, Juan M. & Ruiz, Javier, 2015. "Risk aversion and monetary policy in a global context," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 14-35.
    4. Umut Akdugan & Nilhun Dogan, 2022. "Factors Affecting Innovation in OECD Countries," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(36), pages 111-136, June.
    5. Birgit Leick & Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal & Mehtap Aldogan Eklund & Evgueni Vinogradov, 2022. "Exploring the relationship between Airbnb and traditional accommodation for regional variations of tourism markets," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1258-1279, August.
    6. Nektarios A. Michail & Demetris Koursaros & Christos S. Savva, 2016. "The Lack of Persistence of Interest Rate Changes on Banks’ Lending and Risk Taking Behaviour," Working Papers 2016-01, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    7. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "Carbon dioxide emissions reduction in China's transport sector: A dynamic VAR (vector autoregression) approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 486-495.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk taking channel; Taylor gap; Monetary policy; Credit risk; Panel VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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