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Short-term residual reversal

Author

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  • Blitz, David
  • Huij, Joop
  • Lansdorp, Simon
  • Verbeek, Marno

Abstract

Conventional short-term reversal strategies exhibit dynamic exposures to the Fama and French (1993) factors. We develop a novel reversal strategy based on residual stock returns that does not exhibit these exposures and consequently earns risk-adjusted returns that are twice as large as those of a conventional reversal strategy. Residual reversal strategies generate statistically and economically significant profits net of trading costs, even when we restrict our sample to large-cap stocks over the post-1990 period. Our results are inconsistent with the notion that reversal effects are the result of trading frictions or non-synchronous trading of stocks and pose a serious challenge to rational asset pricing models.

Suggested Citation

  • Blitz, David & Huij, Joop & Lansdorp, Simon & Verbeek, Marno, 2013. "Short-term residual reversal," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 477-504.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:16:y:2013:i:3:p:477-504
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2012.10.005
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Salience theory and the cross-section of stock returns: International and further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 689-725.
    3. Xiang, Yun & He, Jiaxuan, 2022. "Pairs trading and asset pricing," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Nguyen, Anh Duy, 2020. "Alternative reversal variable," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    5. Jansen, Maarten & Swinkels, Laurens & Zhou, Weili, 2021. "Anomalies in the China A-share market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
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    7. Bianchi, Daniele & Babiak, Mykola & Dickerson, Alexander, 2022. "Trading volume and liquidity provision in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    8. Zaremba, Adam & Long, Huaigang & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas, 2019. "Short-term momentum (almost) everywhere," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    9. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, July.
    10. Anh Duy Nguyen, 2020. "Alternative reversal variable," Post-Print hal-02388743, HAL.
    11. Kentaro Imajo & Kentaro Minami & Katsuya Ito & Kei Nakagawa, 2020. "Deep Portfolio Optimization via Distributional Prediction of Residual Factors," Papers 2012.07245, arXiv.org.
    12. Zura Kakushadze & Juan Andrés Serur, 2018. "151 Trading Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-030-02792-6, July.
    13. Li, Yan & Huo, Jiale & Xu, Yongan & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Belief-based momentum indicator and stock market return predictability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    14. Anh Duc Nguyen, 2020. "Residual return reversals: European evidences," Post-Print hal-02493457, HAL.
    15. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam & Bianchi, Robert J. & Pham, Nga, 2021. "False discoveries in the anomaly research: New insights from the Stock Exchange of Melbourne (1927–1987)," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Chae, Joon & Kim, Ryumi, 2020. "Contrarian profits of the firm-specific component on stock returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    17. Nguyen, Anh Duy, 2019. "Residual return reversals: European evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 392-397.
    18. Shuai Zhao & Yunhai Tong & Zitian Wang & Shaohua Tan, 2016. "Identifying Key Drivers of Return Reversal with Dynamical Bayesian Factor Graph," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, November.
    19. Zhaobo Zhu & Licheng Sun & Chris Stivers, 2021. "Price anchors and short‐term reversals," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(2), pages 425-454, June.
    20. Hannah Lea Hühn & Hendrik Scholz, 2018. "Alpha Momentum and Price Momentum," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, May.
    21. Anh Duy Nguyen, 2019. "Alternative reversal variable," Working Papers hal-02388743, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Short-term reversal; Dynamic risks; Residual returns; Trading costs; Market efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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