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Threshold cointegration and asymmetries between dividends and earnings news

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  • Sephton, Peter

Abstract

Cho et al. (2023) provided evidence of an asymmetric relationship between dividends and earnings using postwar US data. This note extends the analysis to threshold cointegration and demonstrates that dividends respond differently to positive and negative earnings shocks and that the response depends critically on which region the system lies when a shock occurs.

Suggested Citation

  • Sephton, Peter, 2023. "Threshold cointegration and asymmetries between dividends and earnings news," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:58:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323008061
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104434
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cho, Jin Seo & Kim, Tae-hwan & Shin, Yongcheol, 2015. "Quantile cointegration in the autoregressive distributed-lag modeling framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 281-300.
    2. Balke, Nathan S & Fomby, Thomas B, 1997. "Threshold Cointegration," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 38(3), pages 627-645, August.
    3. Sephton, Peter & Mann, Janelle, 2018. "Gold and crude oil prices after the great moderation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 273-281.
    4. Peter Sephton & Janelle Mann, 2013. "Threshold Cointegration: Model Selection with an Application," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 56(2), pages 54-77.
    5. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    6. Seo, Myung Hwan, 2008. "Unit Root Test In A Threshold Autoregression: Asymptotic Theory And Residual-Based Block Bootstrap," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1699-1716, December.
    7. Brav, Alon & Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Michaely, Roni, 2005. "Payout policy in the 21st century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 483-527, September.
    8. Cho, Jin Seo & Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Shin, Yongcheol, 2023. "The asymmetric response of dividends to earnings news," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    10. Gonzalo, Jesus & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2002. "Estimation and model selection based inference in single and multiple threshold models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 319-352, October.
    11. Sephton, Peter S., 2019. "El Niño, La Niña, and a cup of Joe," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Mann, Janelle & Sephton, Peter, 2016. "Global relationships across crude oil benchmarks," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-5.
    13. Peter Sephton, 2017. "Finite Sample Critical Values of the Generalized KPSS Stationarity Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(1), pages 161-172, June.
    14. Bart Hobijn & Philip Hans Franses & Marius Ooms, 2004. "Generalizations of the KPSS‐test for stationarity," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 58(4), pages 483-502, November.
    15. Peter S. Sephton, 2022. "Finite Sample Lag Adjusted Critical Values of the ADF-GLS Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 177-183, January.
    16. Burke, William J. & Myers, Robert J., 2014. "Spatial equilibrium and price transmission between Southern African maize markets connected by informal trade," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(P1), pages 59-70.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Hong-Quan & Yang, Yang, 2024. "Can the readability of an annual report forecast negative earnings surprises?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Payout policy; Dividend smoothing; Threshold cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy

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