IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v57y2023ics1544612323005846.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The relationship between social media sentiment and house prices in China: Evidence from text mining and wavelet analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Shao, Jin
  • Hong, Jingke
  • Wang, Xianzhu
  • Yan, Xiaochen

Abstract

This study explores the dynamic relationship between house prices and social media sentiment in China, a housing sentiment index is constructed from social media reviews based on natural language processing techniques, and wavelet analysis is used to investigate the causal correlations from a new time-frequency perspective. We find that the sentiment index is negatively correlated with the fluctuation of house prices during the whole period, house prices and sentiment have bidirectional causality at the long-term timescale, and house prices causally affect sentiment at the short-term timescale. Furthermore, the sentiment significantly affects house prices in third-tier cities and the western regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Shao, Jin & Hong, Jingke & Wang, Xianzhu & Yan, Xiaochen, 2023. "The relationship between social media sentiment and house prices in China: Evidence from text mining and wavelet analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:57:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323005846
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104212
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323005846
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104212?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cindy K Soo, 2018. "Quantifying Sentiment with News Media across Local Housing Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(10), pages 3689-3719.
    2. Yue-Jun Zhang & Shu-Hui Li, 2019. "The impact of investor sentiment on crude oil market risks: evidence from the wavelet approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(8), pages 1357-1371, August.
    3. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    4. Karl E. Case & Robert J. Shiller & Anne K. Thompson, 2012. "What Have They Been Thinking? Homebuyer Behavior in Hot and Cold Markets," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 43(2 (Fall)), pages 265-315.
    5. Siqi Zheng & Weizeng Sun & Matthew E. Kahn, 2016. "Investor Confidence as a Determinant of China's Urban Housing Market Dynamics," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 44(4), pages 814-845, October.
    6. Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
    7. Guégan, Dominique & Renault, Thomas, 2021. "Does investor sentiment on social media provide robust information for Bitcoin returns predictability?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    8. Zhou, Zhengyi, 2018. "Housing market sentiment and intervention effectiveness: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 91-110.
    9. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Keyang Li, 2023. "A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market in China: Text Mining of Narratives on Social Media," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 77-118, January.
    10. Hong, Yun & Li, Yi, 2020. "Housing prices and investor sentiment dynamics: Evidence from China using a wavelet approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    11. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2018. "Does sentiment matter for stock returns? Evidence from Indian stock market using wavelet approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 32-39.
    12. Li, Yuze & Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Xuerong & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "The role of news sentiment in oil futures returns and volatility forecasting: Data-decomposition based deep learning approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Lasse Bork & Stig V. Møller & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2020. "A New Index of Housing Sentiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(4), pages 1563-1583, April.
    14. Fang, Jianchun & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi-Keung Marco & Lu, Zhou, 2020. "The impact of Baidu Index sentiment on the volatility of China's stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    15. Li, Yelin & Bu, Hui & Li, Jiahong & Wu, Junjie, 2020. "The role of text-extracted investor sentiment in Chinese stock price prediction with the enhancement of deep learning," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1541-1562.
    16. Breitung, Jorg & Candelon, Bertrand, 2006. "Testing for short- and long-run causality: A frequency-domain approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 363-378, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Yandong & Shi, Yu & Wang, Yang & Tian, Zhu, 2024. "Social networks and household consumption," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    2. Gu, Jianqiang & Wu, Zhan & Song, Yubing & Nicolescu, Ana-Cristina, 2024. "A win-win relationship? New evidence on artificial intelligence and new energy vehicles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Fetais, Alanoud Hamad & Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Nagayev, Ruslan, 2024. "Navigating the complexities of GCC real state markets: An analysis of interlinkages amidst shocks and oil effects," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Keyang Li, 2023. "A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market in China: Text Mining of Narratives on Social Media," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 77-118, January.
    2. Shulin Shen & Yiyi Zhao & Jindong Pang, 2024. "Local Housing Market Sentiments and Returns: Evidence from China," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(3), pages 488-522, April.
    3. Alessia De Stefani, 2021. "House price history, biased expectations, and credit cycles: The role of housing investors," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1238-1266, December.
    4. Biktimirov, Ernest N. & Sokolyk, Tatyana & Ayanso, Anteneh, 2024. "What is behind housing sentiment?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Theresa Kuchler & Monika Piazzesi & Johannes Stroebel, 2022. "Housing Market Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9665, CESifo.
    6. Shen, Yiran & Liu, Chang & Sun, Xiaolei & Guo, Kun, 2023. "Investor sentiment and the Chinese new energy stock market: A risk–return perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 395-408.
    7. Zhenyu Gao & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2020. "Learning about the Neighborhood," NBER Working Papers 26907, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    9. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Yousaf, Imran & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Economic sanctions sentiment and global stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Bauer, Gregory H., 2017. "International house price cycles, monetary policy and credit," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 88-114.
    11. Xing, Li-Min & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil prices with shrinkage methods: Can nonconvex penalty and Huber loss help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    12. Bekiros, Stelios & Nilavongse, Rachatar & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Expectation-driven house prices and debt defaults: The effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    13. Hong, Yun & Li, Yi, 2020. "Housing prices and investor sentiment dynamics: Evidence from China using a wavelet approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    14. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
    15. Xu Gong & Keqin Guan & Qiyang Chen, 2022. "The role of textual analysis in oil futures price forecasting based on machine learning approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1987-2017, October.
    16. Yuan, Ying & Wang, Haiying & Jin, Xiu, 2022. "Pandemic-driven financial contagion and investor behavior: Evidence from the COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Cai, Yi & Tang, Zhenpeng & Chen, Ying, 2024. "Can real-time investor sentiment help predict the high-frequency stock returns? Evidence from a mixed-frequency-rolling decomposition forecasting method," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    18. Pyo, Dong-Jin, 2022. "Sentiment Shock and Housing Prices: Evidence from Korea," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 44(4), pages 79-108.
    19. Lauren Lambie‐Hanson & Wenli Li & Michael Slonkosky, 2022. "Real estate investors and the U.S. housing recovery," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(6), pages 1425-1461, November.
    20. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:57:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323005846. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.