IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/mulfin/v74y2024ics1042444x24000240.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Navigating the complexities of GCC real state markets: An analysis of interlinkages amidst shocks and oil effects

Author

Listed:
  • Fetais, Alanoud Hamad
  • Aysan, Ahmet Faruk
  • Nagayev, Ruslan

Abstract

The study investigates the interconnectedness of GCC real estate markets using wavelet coherence analysis of daily data from 2013 to 2023 and analyzes the impact of various external shocks (political, economic, regulatory, and pandemic) and oil dependence on these dynamics. Despite shared cultural ties and energy intensity, findings reveal primarily weak to moderate linkages, with increased coherence observed during significant events. These linkages exhibit temporal variability, characterized by short-term spikes, loose medium-term correlations, and evolving long-term relationships. Isolating the effect of oil prices yielded limited impact, suggesting the influence of country-specific factors. This research offers valuable insights for policymakers, investors, and stakeholders, aiding informed decision-making during sensitive periods and fostering a deeper understanding of international finance and investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Fetais, Alanoud Hamad & Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Nagayev, Ruslan, 2024. "Navigating the complexities of GCC real state markets: An analysis of interlinkages amidst shocks and oil effects," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1042444x24000240
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100859
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X24000240
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100859?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ali Matar & Mahmoud Al-Rdaydeh & Anas Ghazalat & Bilal Eneizan, 2021. "Co-movement between GCC stock markets and the US stock markets: A wavelet coherence analysis," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1948658-194, January.
    2. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Al Refai, Hisham, 2019. "Political tensions, stock market dependence and volatility spillover: Evidence from the recent intra-GCC crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Bodart, Vincent & Candelon, Bertrand, 2009. "Evidence of interdependence and contagion using a frequency domain framework," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 140-150, June.
    4. Vacha, Lukas & Barunik, Jozef, 2012. "Co-movement of energy commodities revisited: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 241-247.
    5. Mohanty, Sunil K. & Nandha, Mohan & Turkistani, Abdullah Q. & Alaitani, Muhammed Y., 2011. "Oil price movements and stock market returns: Evidence from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 42-55.
    6. Salem Adel Ziadat & Ritab AlKhouri, 2022. "Revisiting volatility spillovers in the Gulf Cooperation Council," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2031683-203, December.
    7. Liow, Kim Hiang & Huang, Yuting, 2018. "The dynamics of volatility connectedness in international real estate investment trusts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 195-210.
    8. Ben Osman, Myriam & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Hamdi, Haykel & Naoui, Kamel, 2024. "Are markets sentiment driving the price bubbles in the virtual?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 272-285.
    9. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Christos Floros & David Gabauer, 2018. "The dynamic connectedness of UK regional property returns," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(14), pages 3110-3134, November.
    10. Xiuping Ji & Sujuan Wang & Honggen Xiao & Naipeng Bu & Xiaonan Lin, 2022. "Contagion Effect of Financial Markets in Crisis: An Analysis Based on the DCC–MGARCH Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, May.
    11. Shao, Jin & Hong, Jingke & Wang, Xianzhu & Yan, Xiaochen, 2023. "The relationship between social media sentiment and house prices in China: Evidence from text mining and wavelet analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    12. Nagayev, Ruslan & Disli, Mustafa & Inghelbrecht, Koen & Ng, Adam, 2016. "On the dynamic links between commodities and Islamic equity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 125-140.
    13. Wu, Kai & Zhu, Jingran & Xu, Mingli & Yang, Lu, 2020. "Can crude oil drive the co-movement in the international stock market? Evidence from partial wavelet coherence analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    14. Graeme Newell & Muhammad Jufri Marzuki, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 crisis on global real estate capital flows," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(5), pages 553-573, June.
    15. Agyemang, Abraham & Chowdhury, Iftekhar & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Quantifying Return Spillovers in Global Real Estate Markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    17. Sudipta Das, 2021. "The Time–Frequency Relationship between Oil Price, Stock Returns and Exchange Rate," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 129-149, November.
    18. Martin Hoesli & Richard Malle, 2023. "Commercial Real Estate Prices in Europe After COVID-19," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-73, Swiss Finance Institute.
    19. Charalampos Basdekis & Apostolos Christopoulos & Ioannis Katsampoxakis & Vasileios Nastas, 2022. "The Impact of the Ukrainian War on Stock and Energy Markets: A Wavelet Coherence Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-15, November.
    20. Shehzad, Khurram & Bilgili, Faik & Zaman, Umer & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda, 2021. "Is gold favourable than bitcoin during the COVID-19 outbreak? Comparative analysis through wavelet approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    21. Martin Hoesli & Richard Malle, 2023. "Commercial real estate prices in Europe after COVID-19," Post-Print hal-04287028, HAL.
    22. Kapar, Burcu & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Rana, Faisal & Balli, Faruk, 2024. "An investigation of the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness among GCC sectoral indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1442-1467.
    23. Moshirian, Fariborz & Pham, Toan, 2000. "Determinants of US investment in real estate abroad," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 63-72, January.
    24. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Korhan Gokmenoglu & Siamand Hesami, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and house prices in Germany: evidence from GSADF and wavelet coherence techniques," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(5), pages 842-859, November.
    25. Ahmed A. Elamer & Bassam A. Elbialy & Kholoud A. Alsaab & Mohamed A. Khashan, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Relationship between Non-Renewable Energy and Saudi Stock Market Sectors Using Wavelet Coherence Approach and Neural Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-24, November.
    26. Devaney, Steven & Xiao, Qin, 2017. "Cyclical co-movements of private real estate, public real estate and equity markets: A cross-continental spectrum," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 132-151.
    27. Karamti, Chiraz & Belhassine, Olfa, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic waves and global financial markets: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    28. Aloui, Chaker & Hkiri, Besma, 2014. "Co-movements of GCC emerging stock markets: New evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 421-431.
    29. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Todorova, Neda, 2023. "Dynamic co-movement in major commodity markets during crisis periods: A wavelet local multiple correlation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    30. Gilbert K. Amoako & Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei & Kofi Mintah Oware & Anokye M. Adam & Stefan Cristian Gherghina, 2022. "Do Volatilities Matter in the Interconnectedness between World Energy Commodities and Stock Markets of BRICS?," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-13, April.
    31. Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Financial connectedness of GCC emerging stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(4), pages 753-773, December.
    32. Edib Smolo & Ruslan Nagayev & Rashed Jahangir & Christo S. C. Tarazi, 2024. "Resilience amidst turmoil: a multi-resolution analysis of portfolio diversification in emerging markets during global financial and health crises," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 51-69, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "On the higher-order moment interdependence of stock and commodity markets: A wavelet coherence analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 135-151.
    2. Edib Smolo & Ruslan Nagayev & Rashed Jahangir & Christo S. C. Tarazi, 2024. "Resilience amidst turmoil: a multi-resolution analysis of portfolio diversification in emerging markets during global financial and health crises," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 51-69, February.
    3. Kapar, Burcu & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Rana, Faisal & Balli, Faruk, 2024. "An investigation of the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness among GCC sectoral indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1442-1467.
    4. Disli, Mustafa & Nagayev, Ruslan & Salim, Kinan & Rizkiah, Siti K. & Aysan, Ahmet F., 2021. "In search of safe haven assets during COVID-19 pandemic: An empirical analysis of different investor types," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2023. "Nonlinearity in the causality and systemic risk spillover between the OPEC oil and GCC equity markets: a pre- and post-financial crisis analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1027-1103, September.
    6. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Nasreen, Samia & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2020. "Time-frequency causality and connectedness between international prices of energy, food, industry, agriculture and metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    7. Bigerna, Simona & D'Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo & Simshauer, Paul, 2022. "Renewable energy and portfolio volatility spillover effects of GCC oil exporting countries," MPRA Paper 114164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Billah, Mabruk & Hadhri, Sinda & Balli, Faruk & Sahabuddin, Mohammad, 2024. "Exploring the dynamic links, implications for hedging and investment strategies between Sukuk and commodity market volatility: Evidence from country level analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 350-371.
    9. Alkathery, Mohammed A. & Chaudhuri, Kausik & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2023. "Dependence between the GCC energy equities, global clean energy and emission markets: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    10. Younis, Ijaz & Shah, Waheed Ullah & Hkiri, Besma & Qureshi, Fiza & Longsheng, Cheng, 2023. "Risk co-movements and portfolio strategies between energy, gold and BRICS markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Yang, Lu & Cai, Xiao Jing & Zhang, Huimin & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2016. "Interdependence of foreign exchange markets: A wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 6-14.
    12. Abdou, Hussein A. & Elamer, Ahmed A. & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ibrahim, Bassam A., 2024. "The impact of oil and global markets on Saudi stock market predictability: A machine learning approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Zeravan Abdulmuhsen Asaad & Amjad Saber Al-Delawi & Omed Rafiq Fatah & Awaz Mohamed Saleem, 2023. "Oil Exports, Political Issues, and Stock Market Nexus," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 362-373, January.
    14. Meng, Xiangcai & Huang, Chia-Hsing, 2019. "The time-frequency co-movement of Asian effective exchange rates: A wavelet approach with daily data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 131-148.
    15. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis H., 2018. "Extreme dependence and risk spillovers between oil and Islamic stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 42-63.
    16. Kang, Sang Hoon & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2019. "Time-frequency co-movements between the largest nonferrous metal futures markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 393-398.
    17. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Mpoha, Salifya, 2024. "Spillover effects from China and the United States to Key Regional Emerging Markets: A dynamic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    19. Sevda Kuşkaya & Nurhan Toğuç & Faik Bilgili, 2022. "Wavelet coherence analysis and exchange rate movements," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4675-4692, December.
    20. Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez & Juan David González-Ruiz & Sergio Botero Botero, 2022. "Dynamic Co-Movements among Oil Prices and Financial Assets: A Scientometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-26, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real estate; Shocks; GCC; Oil price; International investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services
    • R20 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - General
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1042444x24000240. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/mulfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.